| | HURRICANE DYNAMICS (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-20) |
 | | When intensity forecasts from 1998 were evaluated, the GFDL model did exhibit useful skill relative to the no-skill reference of the SHFR (climatology and persistence) scheme for tropical storms and weak to moderate hurricanes (Fig. |
 | | For the 1998 hurricane season in the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific basins, forecasts of surface wind radii from the AVN, UKMET, NOGAPS, Eta and NGM models were verified using the official marine advisories from NHC as verification. |
 | | The potential impact on hurricane intensity of a greenhouse gas-induced global warming has been investigated in a series of case studies in which a global climate model was used to generate boundary conditions representing both the present climate (control) and a high CO scenario (1527, hz). |
| www.gfdl.noaa.gov /reference/AR99/6HurricaneDynamics.html (2387 words) |