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Topic: 2003 Atlantic hurricane season

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2004 Atlantic hurricane season

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	USATODAY.com - Busy hurricane season ends (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-04)
		Hurricane Fabian was the strongest of the storms to hit land, raking Bermuda with 120 mph wind that tore up roofs and roads in early September.
		It was the strongest storm to hit the country since Hurricane Floyd in 1999 and was blamed for 40 deaths and $2 billion in damage, much of it from flooding as it swept over the mid-Atlantic states.
		Experts had expected the 2003 Atlantic hurricane season to be more active than usual, and it was, exceeding the average of 10 named storms and six hurricanes.
	www.usatoday.com /weather/news/2003-11-30-2003hurricaneseason_x.htm (594 words)

	NCDC: Climate of 2003: Hurricane Season Summary
		Preliminary estimates of Isabel's precipitation indicate that interior Virginia bore the brunt of the rainfall from Hurricane Isabel.
		Hurricane Juan initially appeared to be subtropical in nature, but after forming approximately 295 miles southeast of Bermuda on September 25th, it moved to the north-northwest and was classified as fully tropical.
		As the storm recurved in the western Atlantic, hurricane warnings were issued for the island of Bermuda and Fabian's eye passed very slightly to the west of the island on the afternoon of September 5th.
	www.ncdc.noaa.gov /oa/climate/research/2003/hurricanes03.html (2395 words)

	EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL
		Thus, based on this analysis, we expect 2003 to be an active hurricane season and in line with the average of six of the last eight years (1995-1996; 1998-2001).
		We foresee 2003 as being typical of hurricane seasons where the tropical-polar temperature gradient is weaker than average, vertical wind shear is reduced, and consequently hurricane activity is increased.
		Atlantic basin NTC can be skillfully hindcast, and the strength of the Atlantic Ocean thermohaline circulation can be inferred from SSTA* which is a measure of North Atlantic SST anomalies over the past few years.
	hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu /forecasts/2003/april2003 (5231 words)

	NOAA Seasonal Hurricane Forecasts
		NOAA's seasonal hurricane forecasts take the form of the probabilities of an active/near normal/quiet seasons occuring along with ranges of likely activity, rather than a discrete numerical prediction.
		Seasons are classified by a simple combination of their frequency, intensity and duration - called Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE).
		Specific climate features identified for influencing seasonal hurricane activity in the Atlantic are the El Nino-Southern Oscillation, the global mode (a multidecadal signal in the upper tropospheric circulation of the tropics and subtropics), Atlantic sea surface temperatures and the stratospheric Quasi-Biennial Oscillation.
	www.aoml.noaa.gov /hrd/project2003/seasonal.html (559 words)

	2003 Storm Season (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-04)
		Naomi Surgi, the advanced hurricane project leader at NOAA's environmental modeling center in Maryland, credits advancements in forecasters' observations but said some of this year's storms were simply easier to predict.
		Lapore said Hurricane Isabel, for example, was just 147 nautical miles off the course predicted by the NOAA, though the average forecast error is 323 nautical miles.
		She listed Hurricane Kate and tropical storm Nicholas, which never hit land as they formed in September and October, as particularly erratic storms that were more difficult to predict.
	www.floridatoday.com /!NEWSROOM/hurricane/120103canewrap.htm (494 words)

	Hurricane Forecast 2003 Season
		The storm seasons spanning 1995-2002 comprised the most active eight consecutive hurricane years on record, and the Colorado State forecasting team believes that we have entered a new multi-decadal cycle of increased hurricane and landfall probability as was witnessed in the 1940s and 1950s.
		The predicted hurricane activity of 2003 is expected to be in line with the global atmospheric and oceanic conditions of this new, more active era.
		Tropical Storm, Hurricane and Intense Hurricane Days are four six hour-long periods where storms attain wind speeds appropriate to their category on the Saffir/Simpson scale.
	www.maineharbors.com /weather/gray2003b.htm (1089 words)

	Caribbean Net News: 2003 Atlantic hurricane season officially over
		Hurricane Fabian (shown right) was the only hurricane to develop during the month of August, though in total, there were four tropical systems that formed during the month.
		As the storm recurved in the western Atlantic, hurricane warnings were issued for the island of Bermuda and Fabian's eye passed very slightly to the west of the island on the afternoon of September 5.
		Hurricane Juan initially appeared to be subtropical in nature, but after forming approximately 295 miles southeast of Bermuda on September 25, it moved to the north-northwest and was classified as fully tropical.
	www.caribbeannetnews.com /2003/12/01/season.htm (1498 words)

	NOAA News Online (Story 2131)
		Notable hurricanes during 2003 included: Claudette, which struck Texas near Matagorda Island; Isabel, which became one of the strongest hurricanes on record with maximum sustained winds of 165 mph; Juan, the worst hurricane to hit Halifax, Nova Scotia, in modern history; and Fabian, the most destructive hurricane to hit Bermuda in more than 75 years.
		Hurricane Isabel brought record storm surge flooding to the upper Chesapeake Bay, including the Washington, D.C., Baltimore, and Annapolis, Md., waterfronts.
		Hurricane Isabel’s model forecasts were the most accurate in terms of track and wave generation,” said Naomi Surgi, EMC’s advanced project leader for hurricanes.
	www.noaanews.noaa.gov /stories2003/s2131.htm (573 words)

	CNN.com - Busy hurricane season predicted - May. 21, 2003
		The 2002 Atlantic hurricane season was a mild one, producing 12 named storms, of which four became hurricanes.
		Hurricane Lili was the only hurricane to make landfall in the United States, hitting the Louisiana coast in early October.
		Hurricane experts attributed the mildness of the 2002 season to the strengthening El Nino system, in which water warms in the Pacific Ocean off of South America, affecting weather around the world.
	edition.cnn.com /2003/WEATHER/05/19/hurricane.predictions (547 words)

	EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-04)
		There were five hurricane seasons since 1949 with characteristics similar to what we observe in November 2002 and what we anticipate for the summer/fall 2003 period.
		Thus, based on this analysis, we expect 2003 to be an active hurricane season and in line with the average of six of the last eight years (1995, 1996; 1998-2001).
		Atlantic basin NTC can be skillfully hindcast, and the strength of the Atlantic Ocean thermohaline circulation can be inferred as SSTA* from North Atlantic SST anomalies in the current and prior years.
	hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu /forecasts/2002/dec2002 (3784 words)

	Dr. Dewpoint Article - The NOAA Hurricane Season 2003 Outlook (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-04)
		In the central Pacific, NOAA hurricane experts forecast two to three tropical storms; this is slightly less than the long-term average of 4.5 tropical storms per season.
		At a news conference aimed at increasing public awareness of the upcoming hurricane season, officials from NOAA and FEMA described the anticipated level of hurricane activity this season, interagency coordination efforts to help mitigate the consequences of a land falling hurricane and the importance of taking steps to prepare families and communities in advance.
		The Atlantic Hurricane Outlook is a consolidated team effort consisting of the NOAA Climate Prediction Center, Hurricane Research Division, and National Hurricane Center.
	www.intellicast.com /DrDewpoint/Library/1391 (850 words)

	Disaster News Network: Busy 2003 hurricane season seen
		Hurricane prognosticator William Gray is warning of a busy 2003 Atlantic Basin hurricane season with a greater chance of major storms developing and increased likelihood of storms making landfall along the East Coast and the Gulf of Mexico.
		The 2002 hurricane season saw 12 named storms, four of which became hurricanes and two of which were intense storms.
		His forecast indicated a 68 percent chance of a major hurricane hitting somewhere along the U.S. coastline this season, with a 48 percent chance an intense hurricane would strike along the East Coast including the Florida Peninsula.
	www.disasternews.net /news/news.php?articleid=1749 (401 words)

	A new eye on the storm \| csmonitor.com
		Hurricane Fabian, packing 135-mile-an-hour winds as it grazes the northern Leeward Islands and churns toward the Bahamas, is serving as a stark reminder that the 2003 Atlantic hurricane season has entered its peak period.
		Now, federal and university forecasters say they could be poised for significant gains in their ability to give coastal residents, emergency planners, insurance companies, and others affected by tropical cyclones advanced seasonal and even monthly warnings of what an upcoming hurricane season is likely to hold.
		Since the mid-1990s, he notes, the Atlantic and Caribbean hurricane seasons appear to have moved into their stronger-than-normal phases.
	www.csmonitor.com /2003/0904/p11s01-sten.htm (958 words)

	CNN.com - Above-normal hurricane season forecast - May 17, 2004
		Six to eight storms are predicted to become hurricanes with two to four storms developing into major hurricanes ranked as Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale of hurricane strength.
		Previous hurricane seasons similar to NOAA's forecast averaged two to three hurricanes that made landfall in the continental United States, and one to two hurricanes in the region around the Caribbean Sea.
		The National Hurricane Center monitors the oceans and determines a weather disturbance is a tropical storm when its wind speeds are faster than 39 mph.
	www.cnn.com /2004/WEATHER/05/17/hurricane.forecast/index.html (683 words)

	Ana Gives A Kick In The Pants To The 2003 Atlantic Hurricane Season.
		The end of the 2002 season was surprisingly quiet in light of the fact that recently over the past eight years, the last two months of the hurricane season: October and November, have been full of activity.
		On the contrary, the 2003 Atlantic Hurricane Season has already gotten underway although it is not scheduled to officially start until June 1st.
		Hurricanes thrive off the warm, moist air that rises from the tropical waters of the Eastern Atlantic.
	www.hurricaneville.com /ana.html (1130 words)

	CNN.com - Atlantic season: Seven hurricanes, 14 storms, 62 deaths - Nov. 30, 2003
		Atlantic season: Seven hurricanes, 14 storms, 62 deaths
		The 2003 Atlantic hurricane season was busier than usual, with 14 named storms blamed for 62 deaths by the season's end Sunday, but forecasters say it could have been worse.
		Hurricane Isabel's winds reached up to 160 mph in the eastern U.S. Hurricane Fabian's winds reached up to 145 mph in Bermuda.
	edition.cnn.com /2003/WEATHER/11/30/weatherpage.am.ap/index.html (640 words)

	Summary of the 2003 Atlantic Hurricane Season
		By the way, the 1933 season also was a season that had less than fifty percent of its named storms become hurricanes as only ten named storms emerged from the 21 storms that developed that year including two powerful hurricanes that ravaged the Mid-Atlantic including the Great Chesapeake Bay Hurricane of September, 1933.
		A hurricane that had the potential to end up on the same level as that Mid-Atlantic hurricane from 1933 was Hurricane Isabel, the most powerful hurricane to develop in the Atlantic since Hurricane Mitch in October, 1998.
		Meanwhile, Kate would be the last hurricane of the season, and it ended up being a major hurricane with 125 mph winds in early October.
	www.hurricaneville.com /2003.html (1074 words)

	Caribbean Hurricane Network - stormCARIB.com - 2003 Season - Local Reports on Tropical Systems threatening the ...
		It was only 3 weeks until the official end of hurricane season 2003 and, just when the US Virgin Islands thought they were out of the woods, a late season tropical wave, along with other elements, decided to park itself over the territory.
		While Hurricane Isabel continue's to churn inexhorably towards the North Carolina coast, the rest of the Atlantic Basis is relatively free of problem areas.
		Actually, Hurricane Isabel is doing us a big favor: Her northern outflow has pushes all the way down into the Atlantic, east of the islands.
	www.stormcarib.com /hurr03.htm (9108 words)

	"Project Safeside" Urges Preparedness for 2003 Hurricane Season
		This Sunday (June 1) marks the beginning of the 2003 Atlantic hurricane season and experts are warning it could be even more dangerous than years past.
		As hurricane season starts, Project Safeside is educating the public on weather safety by: distributing weather and disaster preparedness brochures; airing two public service announcements per day, 365 days a year on The Weather Channel®; holding school training sessions that simulate emergency response measures and; teaching weather preparedness clinics.
		All Atlantic, Gulf and Caribbean coastal residents are urged to tune in to Hurricane Preparedness Week June 6 - 13 for complete lessons on steps that can be taken to ready their families before the storms’ destructive winds and life-threatening flooding strike.
	www.redcross.org /article/0,1072,0_312_1166,00.html (939 words)

	NOAA News Online (Story 1146)
		May 19, 2003 — Top hurricane experts from NOAA today said the 2003 Atlantic hurricane season will likely have above normal levels of activity.
		Recognizing the damaging and potentially deadly effects of the tropical storms and hurricanes that form in the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico each year, President George W. Bush signed a proclamation announcing May 18 -24 as National Hurricane Awareness Week.
		Mahoney says residents along the USA Atlantic and Gulf coasts should be prepared during hurricane season.
	www.noaanews.noaa.gov /stories/s1146.htm (1048 words)

	USAID Press Release: USAID Announces Disaster Preparations for 2003 Hurricane Season
		Forecasts for the 2003 Atlantic hurricane season (June through November) indicate above average total activity, potentially triggering a humanitarian disaster of significant magnitude.
		USAID is prepared to respond to major hurricanes in Latin America and the Caribbean.
		CAMI programs support readiness for hurricane season through the formation and training of community rapid response teams, the establishment of community hazard monitoring and early warning systems, and risk and resource maps, among other activities.
	www.usaid.gov /press/releases/2003/pr030605.html (482 words)

	Dr. Gray's Hurricane Forecast Anticipates Active Season for 2003 (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-04)
		December 6, 2002 -- The recent upturn in Atlantic basin hurricane activity which began in 1995 is expected to continue in 2003, according to Dr. William Gray and his team of researchers at Colorado State University.
		This is the 20th year in which Dr. Gray has made forecasts of the coming season's Atlantic basin hurricane activity.
		Future seasonal updates of the 2003 Atlantic basin hurricane activity forecast will be issued on Friday 4 April, Friday 30 May (to coincide with the official start of the 2003 hurricane season on 1 June), Thursday 7 August and Wednesday 3 September 2003.
	www.emforum.org /news/02120601.htm (266 words)

	Hurricane Prediction Now, and Then (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-04)
		One with fast access to all sorts of sophisticated and current Atlantic hurricane model data, satellite imagery, and more is at atwc.org.
		With the 2003 Atlantic hurricane season having officially ended Nov. 30, 2003, NOAA hurricane specialists said the above-normal 2003 Atlantic hurricane season produced 14 tropical storms, of which 7 became hurricanes and 3 became major hurricanes (Fabian, Isabel and Kate).
		The prediction is based upon a combination of geographic and historical evidence suggesting that there are cycles in heat circulation in the Atlantic of 25-50 years, and we're headed into a hurricane-happy period.
	sailmag.com /features/hurricaneLinks (974 words)

	Visible Earth: Atlantic Hurricane Season 2003 Forecast SST Data (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-04)
		Researchers and forecasters often study sea surface temperatures for an indication of hurricane potential.
		Scientists say above normal Atlantic Ocean temperatures is one reason for the "above normal" hurricane forecast.
		Hurricanes convert heat from the tropical atmosphere and oceans to wind and waves, just as a car engine converts gasoline into motion.
	visibleearth.nasa.gov /view_rec.php?id=13122 (173 words)

	Busy Atlantic hurricane season ends - Weather News - MSNBC.com
		MIAMI, Nov. 30 - The 2003 Atlantic hurricane season was busier than usual, with 14 named storms blamed for 62 deaths by the season’s end Sunday, but forecasters say it could have been worse.
		Hurricane Isabel moves toward the U.S. East Coast in this satellite image taken Sept. 17.
		InsertArt(2082091)It isn’t clear why so many hurricanes and tropical storms have steered away from the United States in recent years, he said.
	www.msnbc.msn.com /id/3607180 (722 words)

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