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Topic: 2007 Atlantic hurricane season

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	Climate Prediction Center - Atlantic Hurricane Outlook Update
		For 2007, the ACE index is expected to be in the range of 140% to 200% of the median.
		Hurricane seasons during 1995-2006 have averaged 14.4 named storms, 8.2 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes, with an average ACE index of 172% of the median.
		The second key predictor for the 2007 hurricane season is the possibility of a La Niña episode in the tropical Pacific during ASO.
	www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov /products/outlooks/hurricane.shtml (1865 words)

	Green Car Congress: Forecasters Predict Active Hurricane Season in 2007 (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-31)
		Scientists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) announced that hurricane activity in 2006 was lower than expected due to the rapid development of El Niño—a periodic warming of the ocean waters in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, which influences pressure and wind patterns across the tropical Atlantic.
		The hurricane team’s forecasts are based on the premise that global oceanic and atmospheric conditions—such as El Niño, sea surface temperatures and sea level pressure—that preceded active or inactive hurricane seasons in the past provide meaningful information about similar trends in future seasons.
		He found that average air temperatures during hurricane season between June and November are useful in predicting sea surface temperatures—a vital component in nourishing hurricane winds as they strengthen in warm waters—but not vice-versa.
	www.greencarcongress.com /2006/12/forecasters_pre.html (2555 words)

	2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast
		Seasons following both winter La Niña and neutral ENSO conditions yield an average of 1.4 named storms, 0.85 hurricanes, and 0.1 major hurricanes developing in the northeast Atlantic, whereas the average for seasons following an El Niño is 2.3 named storms, 1.5 hurricanes, and 0.2 major hurricanes.
		The climatological peak of hurricane season 2007 is expected to underscore the effects of a moderately warm AMO combined with La Niña conditions that will have already been present for at least a month.
		Hurricanes Hattie and Roxanne in 1961 and 1995, respectively, are examples of late season major hurricanes that struck the Yucatán and later dissipated over the Bay of Campeche.
	www.independentwx.com /2007 (11594 words)

	Eglin Air Force Base - Hurricane Season
		Hurricane Condition 3 is declared by the 96th Air Base Wing commander when the forecast calls for the arrival of a tropical storm with 50-knot (58 mph) sustained winds or greater is possible within 48 hours.
		Tropical Storm Chantal was a short-lived tropical storm in the northern Atlantic Ocean in the 2007 Atlantic hurricane season.
		Hurricane Felix was the sixth named storm, second hurricane and second Category 5 hurricane of the 2007 Atlantic hurricane season.
	www.eglin.af.mil /hurricaneseason.asp (1242 words)

	Colorado State University Forecasters Predict Active Hurricane Season In 2007 (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-31)
		El Nino conditions that led to a quiet hurricane season in 2006 are likely to dissipate by next summer, leading to above-average hurricane activity for 2007, according to the early season forecast issued today by Colorado State University's forecasting team.
		Seven of the 14 storms are predicted to become hurricanes, and of those seven, three are expected to develop into intense or major hurricanes (Saffir/Simpson category 3-4-5) with sustained winds of 111 mph or greater.
		The hurricane team's forecasts are based on the premise that global oceanic and atmospheric conditions - such as El Nino, sea surface temperatures and sea level pressure - that preceded active or inactive hurricane seasons in the past provide meaningful information about similar trends in future seasons.
	www.yubanet.com /artman/publish/article_47143.shtml (871 words)

	Climate Prediction Center - Atlantic Hurricane Outlook
		The prediction for an above-normal 2007 hurricane season reflects the expected combination of two main climate factors: 1) the continuation of conditions that have been conducive to above-normal Atlantic hurricane seasons since 1995, and 2) the strong likelihood of either ENSO-neutral or La Niña conditions in the tropical Pacific Ocean.
		For the 2007 Atlantic hurricane season, the ACE index is expected to be in the range of 125% to 210% of the median.
		Hurricane seasons during 1995-2005 have averaged 15 named storms, 8.5 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes, with an average ACE index of 179% of the median.
	www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov /products/outlooks/hurricane2007/May/hurricane.shtml (1608 words)

	2007 Atlantic hurricane season - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
		The 2007 Atlantic hurricane season will be an ongoing event in the annual cycle of tropical cyclone formation.
		Forecasts of hurricane activity are issued before each hurricane season by noted hurricane experts Philip J. Klotzbach, Dr. William M. Gray, and their associates at Colorado State University; and separately by NOAA forecasters.
		In addition, the potential for major hurricane activity in the Caribbean is above average.
	en.wikipedia.org /wiki/2007_Atlantic_hurricane_season (394 words)

	AP Wire \| 12/08/2006 \| Forecaster calls for above-average hurricane season in 2007 (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-31)
		Still, they said fewer hurricanes are likely to make landfall next year than in the devastating 2005 season, which had 28 named storms, including 15 hurricanes, four of which hit the U.S. The worst was Katrina, which leveled parts of the Gulf Coast.
		That was considered a "near normal" season but fell short of predictions by Gray and government scientists.
		Gray said he believes the Atlantic basin is in an active hurricane cycle, despite the calm 2006 season.
	www.bradenton.com /mld/bradenton/news/local/16195337.htm (360 words)

	FEMA: 2007 Hurricane Season
		The 2007 hurricane season starts in a couple of weeks, and forecasters say this hurricane season could be nearly as destructive as 2005, the worst on record.
		On Tuesday, FEMA Administrator David Paulison and DHS Secretary Michael Chertoff participated in a press conference on the 2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook.
		Hurricanes cause heavy rains and become tropical systems that can also cause extensive flood damage in coastal and inland areas.
	www.fema.gov /hazard/hurricane/hu_season.shtm (418 words)

	Mid-Atlantic Weather Station: Hurricane News
		The long-term average for the Atlantic is for 10 storms to form during the six-month season, which begins on June 1, and for six of those storms to reach hurricane strength.
		Hurricane activity over the Atlantic has fluctuated naturally over decades going back as far as 1900, and it was unlikely that global warming could be having a significant impact, many researchers said.
		The strongest winds of a hurricane are in its eyewall, the swirling complex of clouds and rain that rotate around the eye of the storm.
	mywebpages.comcast.net /herbwx/hurrnews.html (15357 words)

	AP Wire \| 12/08/2006 \| Forecaster sees high hurricane activity
		Gray and fellow researcher Philip Klotzbach said fewer hurricanes are likely to make landfall compared to last year, which had the busiest and most destructive hurricane season on record.
		It had 28 named storms, including 15 hurricanes, four of which hit the U.S. The worst of those was Katrina, which leveled parts of the Gulf Coast.
		"Despite a fairly inactive 2006 hurricane season, we believe that the Atlantic basin is in an active hurricane cycle," Gray said.
	www.realcities.com /mld/realcities/news/16195362.htm (205 words)

	All Headline News - Above Average Activity Predicted For 2007 Hurricane Season - December 29, 2006
		However, the researches did say that fewer hurricanes are likely to hit land in the 2007 season than did in the disastrous 2005 season.
		The 2007 season begins on June 1 and ends in November.
		The 2006 season was calmer than expected, without a single hurricane hitting the U.S. Atlantic coast, but Gray says this does not indicate that the next hurricane season will be equally tame.
	www.allheadlinenews.com /articles/7005795130 (254 words)

	El Nino Gains Strength
		No hurricane touched the U.S. coastline in 2006, but that unusual respite is not likely to be repeated next year, according to the early season forecast issued today by Colorado State University's forecasting team.
		The team's first extended-range forecast for the 2007 hurricane season anticipates 14 named storms forming in the Atlantic basin between June 1 and November 30.
		Seven of those 14 storms are predicted to become hurricanes, and of those seven, three are expected to develop into intense or major hurricanes ranked Category 3, 4, or 5 on the Saffir/Simpson scale.
	www.ens-newswire.com /ens/dec2006/2006-12-08-01.asp (869 words)

	NOAA News Online (Story 2864)
		May 22, 2007 — Experts at the NOAA Climate Prediction Center are projecting a 75 percent chance that the Atlantic Hurricane Season will be above normal this year—showing the ongoing active hurricane era remains strong.
		Climate patterns responsible for the expected above normal 2007 hurricane activity continue to be the ongoing multi-decadal signal (the set of ocean and atmospheric conditions that spawn increased Atlantic hurricane activity), warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean and the El Niño/La Niña cycle.
		Last year, seasonal hurricane predictions proved to be too high when an unexpected El Niño rapidly developed and created a hostile environment for Atlantic storms to form and strengthen.
	www.noaanews.noaa.gov /stories2007/s2864.htm (894 words)

	All Headline News - Report: 14 Named Storms Predicted For 2007 Hurricane Season - December 29, 2006
		According to Gray and fellow researcher Philip Klotzbach, this year will see more hurricanes in 2007 compared to last year, which had the busiest and most damaging hurricane season on record.
		According to AP reports, the researchers earlier named 28 storms, including 15 hurricanes, four of which hit the U.S. However, the worst of those was Katrina, which affected parts of the Gulf Coast.
		"Despite a fairly inactive 2006 hurricane season, we believe that the Atlantic basin is in an active hurricane cycle," Gray said adding that the active cycle is expected to continue for another 10 years or so.
	www.allheadlinenews.com /articles/7005796526 (252 words)

	DHS: News Conference on the 2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook
		An active season increases the possibility of land-falling hurricanes, but before I give you the numbers, let me be sure that – it just takes one hurricane to make it a bad year for everyone here.
		The second major predictor for this season is the strong likelihood of either ENSO-neutral or La Niña conditions during August to October, which of course is the peak of the season.
		And it’s important to emphasize that although we typically think of hurricanes as hitting the Gulf area or the area of Florida and the Carolinas, it is quite possible to have a hurricane further north in areas which are less accustomed to dealing with hurricanes.
	www.dhs.gov /xnews/releases/pr_1179922325611.shtm (5500 words)

	TSR Predicts Active 2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season
		In an early assessment Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) forecast "a return to high hurricane activity in 2007." The London-based consortium of experts on insurance, risk management and seasonal climate forecasting led by the Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre at University College London warned that the below-average 2006 hurricane season probably won't be repeated.
		TSR said the "the two main climate factors influencing the hurricane forecast for 2007 are the expected values in August and September for the speed of trade winds which blow westward across the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean Sea and the temperature of the sea waters between west Africa and the Caribbean where many hurricanes develop.
		Saunders defended the forecasters recent performance by indicating that "the 2006 hurricane season is atypical of years since 1950 and should not reflect badly on the general capability of forecasts.
	www.insurancejournal.com /news/international/2006/12/11/74850.htm (604 words)

	Above-average Atlantic hurricane season forecast for 2007 - USATODAY.com
		Above-average Atlantic hurricane season forecast for 2007 - USATODAY.com
		Still, they said fewer hurricanes are likely to make landfall next year than in the devastating 2005 season, which had 28 named storms, including 15 hurricanes, four of which hit the U.S. The worst was Katrina, which leveled parts of the Gulf Coast.
		Gray said he believes the Atlantic basin is in an active hurricane cycle, despite the calm 2006 season.
	www.usatoday.com /weather/hurricane/2006-12-08-forecast_x.htm (387 words)

	2007 Atlantic hurricane season \| Science Buzz
		Hurricane expert William Gray of Colorado State University--one of the major hurricane predictors--says his models show a very active 2007 hurricane season.
		In a tragic prologue to the ordeal of Hurricane Rita, at least 24 elderly patients from a Houston nursing home died yesterday in a fiery bus accident as they were being evacuated from the path of a storm that has provoked a peacetime exodus unmatched in US history.
		With about six weeks to go in the hurricane season, we've had 13 named storms, only 4 hurricanes, 2 of which were major.
	www.smm.org /buzz/blog/2007_atlantic_hurricane_season (3045 words)

	Colorado State University publishes 2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season forecast
		Current El Niño conditions are expected to dissipate by the active part of the 2007 Atlantic basin hurricane season.
		University forecasters estimate that 2007 will have ‘about 7 hurricanes (average is 5.9), 14 named storms (average is 9.6), 70 named storm days (average is 49.1), 35 hurricane days (average is 24.5), 3 intense (Category 3-4-5) hurricanes (average is 2.3) and 8 intense hurricane days (average is 5.0)’.
		The probability of major hurricane landfall in the US is estimated to be about 125 percent of the long-period average.
	www.continuitycentral.com /news02964.htm (228 words)

	Canadian Hurricane Centre: Atlantic Hurricane Season 2007 Outlook
		The 2006 hurricane season was quieter than had been predicted because an unexpected El Niño dominated through the height of hurricane-development months.
		Regardless, we approach the hurricane season with the same message each year...to be aware and be prepared.
		The hurricane season officially runs from June through November when the waters of the Atlantic are warm enough to produce tropical cyclones, however, tropical cyclones can occur in any month of the year.
	www.atl.ec.gc.ca /weather/hurricane/outlook2007_e.html (640 words)

	Aiken Today \|\| Forecaster: above-average hurricane season expected 2007
		FORT COLLINS, Colo. — The 2007 Atlantic hurricane season should have above-average activity, with three major hurricanes and a good chance at least one of them will make landfall, a top hurricane researcher said Friday.
		He and fellow researcher Philip Klotzbach said there is a 64 percent chance of one of the major hurricanes — with sustained winds of 111 mph or greater — coming ashore.
		None hit the U.S. Atlantic coast — only the 11th time that has occurred since 1945.
	www.aikenstandard.com /news/310907265351870.php (235 words)

	NOAA Predicts Above Normal 2007 Atlantic Hurricane Season
		Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook: Another Above Normal Season Expected (Jul. 10, 2005) —; NOAA hurricane forecasters are predicting another above-normal hurricane season on the heels of last year's destructive and historic hurricane season.
		Very Active North Atlantic Hurricane Season Predicted (May 23, 2006) —; The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has announced that a very active hurricane season is looming, and encouraged individuals to make preparations to better protect their lives...
		Hurricane Forecast: Heightened Activity For Rest Of Season (Sep. 6, 2007) — Above-average hurricane activity is expected for the remaining three months of the hurricane season, the Colorado State University forecast team said September 4.
	www.sciencedaily.com /releases/2007/05/070522182802.htm (1276 words)

	2007 Pacific hurricane season - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
		The 2007 Pacific hurricane season will be an ongoing event in the annual cycle of tropical cyclone formation.
		It will officially start May 15, 2007 in the eastern Pacific and June 1, 2007 in the central Pacific, and will last until November 30, 2007.
		This is the same list that was used in the 2001 season, except for Alvin, which replaced Adolph, which was retired due to political sensitivities.
	en.wikipedia.org /wiki/2007_Pacific_hurricane_season (246 words)

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