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	Assassination market - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
		An assassination market is a theoretical market wherein any party can place a bet (using anonymous electronic money, and pseudonymous remailers) on the date of death of a given individual, and collect a payoff if they "guess" the date accurately.
		Jim Bell's article Assassination Politics [1] first described the concept in detail, and concluding that as well as being an "unholy mix of encryption, anonymity, and digital cash" (Wired magazine) the concept could also be for violent crime.
		If the assassination market is seen as civil disobedience instead of terrorism, as suggested by Jim Bell, then this could perhaps lead to a fundamental impact in how governments function: Most public figures would have a price on their head.
	en.wikipedia.org /wiki/Assassination_market (325 words)

	Assassin - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-05)
		The immediate motivation for an assassin may be money (in the case of a hitman), opposition to a person's beliefs or belief systems (in the case of a fanatic, for example), orders from a government (often carried about by a subversive agent such as a spy), or loyalty to a competing leader or group.
		Some would argue that assassination is one of the oldest tools of power politics, dating back to the earliest governments of the world — Philip II of Macedon, the father of Alexander the Great, met his end this way.
		At the same time, the KGB made creative use of assassination to deal with high-profile defectors such as Georgi Markov, and Israel's Mossad made use of such tactics to eliminate Palestinian guerrillas, politicians and revolutionaries, though some Israelis argue that the targeted often toed the line between one or another or were even all three.
	www.encyclopedia-online.info /Assassinate (3462 words)

	Assassination - Battlestar Wiki (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-05)
		Assassination is a method used to neutralize important persons by killing them; typically for ideological, political or military reasons.
		The immediate motivation for an assassin may be money (in the case of a hitman), opposition to a person's beliefs (in the case of a fanatic), orders from a government (in the case of a spy), or loyalty to a competing leader or group.
		Thus an assassination is a kind of killing; some are murder from a legal perspective, and some are possibly morally justified.
	battlestarwiki.org /index.php?title=Assassination (1009 words)

	A Good Idea With Bad Press
		One of the markets the Iowa exchange offered was in vote shares: what fraction of the vote went to the Democratic or Republican candidate.
		The results are that markets typically perform at least as well, and generally better, than feasible alternatives, and they are much cheaper to organize.
		The most useful such market would probably have been a market for futures in a "political instability index," a weighted average of various political indicators, like the number of mass demonstrations, unemployment levels, arrests — and, yes, assassination attempts.
	www.sims.berkeley.edu /~hal/people/hal/NYTimes/2003-07-31.html (964 words)

	Markets and crises: A history lesson - Other - MSNBC.com
		NEW YORK, Oct. 22 - It’s an old chestnut: Stock markets hate uncertainty, and the uncertainty of the outcome of the conflict with Iraq is certainly contributing to the weakness in the stock market.
		But the markets already were recovering by the time the war ended in late 1918.
		“The market hit its lows in the spring of ’42, a few months after Pearl Harbor, and after that it was clear sailing for the stock market,” says Roger Ibbotson, a market historian and professor at the Yale School of Management.
	www.msnbc.msn.com /id/3072925/from/RL.1 (801 words)

	Assassination market: Facts and details from Encyclopedia Topic (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-05)
		In its most common use, assassination has come to mean the murder of an important person, although the term really refers to murder via stealth....
		The policy analysis market (pam) was a proposed futures exchange developed by the united states defense advanced research projects agency and based on...
		Incentive markets is a consulting company that develops prediction market applications for corporations....
	www.absoluteastronomy.com /encyclopedia/a/as/assassination_market.htm (922 words)

	Hitman: Encyclopedia topic (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-05)
		A hitman (alternately, hit man) is a hired assassin (assassin: A murderer (especially one who kills a prominent political figure) who kills by a treacherous surprise attack and often is hired to do the deed), usually in the employ of organized crime (organized crime: Underworld organizations).
		Assassin (Assassin: A murderer (especially one who kills a prominent political figure) who kills by a treacherous surprise attack and often is hired to do the deed)
		Assassination market (Assassination market: an assassination market is a (theoretical) market wherein any party can place a bet (using...
	www.absoluteastronomy.com /reference/hitman (572 words)

	America's Debate -> Terrorism and Assassination Futures Market?
		A graphic on the market's Web page Monday showed hypothetical futures contracts in which investors could trade on the likelihood that Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat would be assassinated or Jordanian King Abdullah II would be overthrown.
		Futures markets are a good indicator of trends, and are actually a kind of polling.
		Sure the idea on its face is a little repulsive, but this kind of market would have been a great indicator of people's confidence level that they are being protected, and a great indicator of specific problem areas.
	www.americasdebate.com /forums/index.php?showtopic=2792 (1888 words)

	FootnoteTV® : The West Wing : 20 Hours in America
		According to the efficient market theory, the trading price of a company's share reflects the true value of the share because people are buying and trading the stock based on their belief in how the company is doing and how it will perform in the future.
		Generally, assassinations are considered by international law experts as the murder of a targeted individual for political purposes, usually involving circumstances of a covert or "treacherous" nature.
		Whether the intended killing of an individual counts as an assassination or as a generally acceptable military operation depends on whether the relevant countries are at peace or war, the forces carrying out the killing, and the means by which the killing is carried out.
	www.newsaic.com /ftvww67i.html (6500 words)

	explainer
		Iowa Electronic Markets, which was started in 1988 to forecast the fortunes of presidential candidates; the market now covers the Fed's interest rate decisions as well.
		The plan was to use markets to “price” such risks, and it was quickly dubbed a “terrorism futures market.” Unfortunately, in hastily ending this program, the government may be closing the door on an important source of information and a promising avenue for research.
		“Market mechanisms are more accurate than asking people their opinions because they're putting their money or reputation on the line,” said Ken Killitz of the Foresight Exchange, which speculates on everything from the future of human cloning to the possibility that Roman Catholic priests will be allowed to marry.
	www.analects-ink.com /weekend/030801.htm (5375 words)

	[No title]
		After the big stock market crash of 1929, it took over 20 years for the market to regain the amount it lost.
		The largest crash in recent history was in October of 1987-but by the beginning of the 1990s, the stock market had regained all the value it had lost.
		Moving money unnecessarily, in response to external factors, can mean the difference between maintaining the strength of the market at this vital time and dealing the American economy another blow at a time when it can least afford it.
	www.401kfocus.com /web/recovery.htm (1167 words)

	Prediction market -
		However, Steven Gjerstad (Purdue) in his paper "Risk Aversion, Beliefs, and Prediction Market Equilibrium" [4] has shown that prediction market prices are typically very close to the mean belief of market participants if the distribution of beliefs is smooth (as with a normal distribution, for example).
		For example in the year 2000 IEM presidential futures markets a flood of new traders in the final week of the election caused the market to gyrate wildly, making its "predictions" useless.
		In fact, this is not so different from what naturally happens in a prediction market where those who make good predictions do profit at the expense of those who make bad predictions, thus progressively increasing their relative influence on the market through how much money they can bring to bear to back up their predictions.
	psychcentral.com /psypsych/Prediction_market (2010 words)

	[No title]
		Poindexter's idea--based upon the Republican shibboleth that "the market is always right"--is that by allowing investors to invest based upon their individual intuition about what terrorists are likely to do next, American intelligence, law enforcement and military organizations will be better able to anticipate those actions.
		The EPA could establish a futures market on global warming, where investors could bet on what number of degrees the earth's temperature will rise by different years over the next century, or perhaps how many feet the sea level will rise by different dates, allowing urban planners and clothing manufacturers to anticipate demand.
		The Education Department could offer a futures market where people could bet on the drop-out rate for different ethnic groups or income levels as school funding continues to be cut, allowing school boards across the country to slash staffing and classroom space in advance of declining enrolments.
	hanson.gmu.edu /PAM/PRESS2/CounterPunch-7-30-03.htm (1181 words)

	[No title]
		And trades of this type, especially in a market dedicated to terrorism risk, would serve a valuable function by telling the world that something was up (in much the same way as an out-of-nowhere jump in the price of a stock may suggest that a takeover bid is imminent).
		Markets look good by this standard, and the government could still do its own private research, much as financial firms do proprietary research in stock and futures markets, to supplement what it learned from public terrorism-risk markets.
		This is partly true, though the reinsurance market operates largely out of the public eye and therefore may not transmit information as well as a futures market would.
	www.chicagoboyz.net /archives/001424.html (2517 words)

	SourceMex - Economic News & Analysis on Mexico; October 5, 1994
		In fact, Ruiz Massieu's assassination caused enough concern in international circles that Michel Camdessus, executive director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), made a special effort during his speech at the IMF's annual assembly in Madrid in early October to reassure potential foreign investors that Mexico is still an attractive market for investments.
		Rubio Canales managed the assassination victim's gubernatorial campaign in Guerrero state in 1987, but years later--while Ruiz Massieu was still governor of Guerrero-- Rubio Canales was arrested on federal fraud charges and he remains in jail.
		According to one theory, Jose Francisco Ruiz Massieu's assassination was an effort by drug traffickers to send a signal to assistant attorney general, Mario Ruiz Massieu--who is the brother of the murder victim--to ease his tough anti- drug efforts.
	ssdc.ucsd.edu /news/smex/h94/smex.19941005.html (3090 words)

	Deinonychus antirrhopus: October 2003 Archives (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-05)
		Markets not dominated by a small number of firms face sufficient competition to discipline the unilateral attempts of these firms to raise market prices.
		However, in a workably competitive market, each firm will find it unilaterally profitable to withhold very little supply from the market because the price increase it achieves from withholding very little supply from the market is very close to the price increase it achieves from withholding a significant amount.
		The key point is that the the firm that is manipulating the market intends to harm it competitors, whereas with exercising unilateral market power firms could simply be serving the fiduciary responsibility of their shareholders.
	www.steveverdon.com /archives/2003_10.html (16035 words)

	deseretnews.com \| JFK's 1963 assassination was like Shakespearean tragedy
		Those theories have thrived over the years, resulting in a literal Kennedy assassination market economy: countless books, a hugely influential movie (Oliver Stone's 1991 "JFK," which spurred the creation of the review board), the only assassination museum in the United States (in Dallas), magazine articles and discussion groups.
		Last, but far from least, the Kennedy assassination marked a sea change in American culture and in the way Americans view their government.
		Four other high-profile assassinations or attempted assassinations — Malcolm X, Martin Luther King, Robert Kennedy and George Wallace — occurred within 10 years of the JFK shooting.
	deseretnews.com /dn/view/0,1249,525039301,00.html (584 words)

	PRING.COM - The site for the savvy technician.
		In both examples, the fact that the market was able to digest such horrible news and take it in its stride was a positive factor.
		Another example of the market’s response to news came on January 16, 1991, at the outbreak of actual hostilities in the Persian Gulf War.
		One reason the market did not act as anticipated was that the attack took place at night when the New York market was closed.
	www.pring.com /weeklyterm23.htm (2082 words)

	Prediction markets (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-05)
		Jim Bells article assassination politics first described the concept in detail concluding that as well as an unholy mix of encryption, anonymity, and digital cash (according to Wired magazine) the concept could also be utilized for massive civil disobedience.
		In particular, the oil market, where the assassination of major figures such as Saddam Hussein would have an immediate impact very profitable for anyone anticipating it.
		If such a market structure has in fact matured, it seems that only profound changes to global financial markets and the clearing of financial transactions could reveal systematic profits made from predicting military action, political assassination, or social unrest.
	read-and-go.hopto.org /Prediction-markets (314 words)

	Poindexter the Terror Bookie : Thunderbay IMC (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-05)
		Adm. Poindexter's idea--based upon the Republican shibboleth that "the market is always right"--is that by allowing investors to invest based upon their individual intuition about what terrorists are likely to do next, American intelligence, law enforcement and military organizations will be better able to anticipate those actions.
		The Department of Health and Human Services could offer a futures market on the number of children suffering from malnutrition over the life of the welfare "reform" program, allowing public hospitals to gear up their treatment programs for rickets and other heretofore Third World ailments.
		The idea that investors--most of whom are incredibly narrow and provincial in their backgrounds, education, experience and interests--have some kind of transcendental collective wisdom and prophetic insight really is not borne out, except in the short term.
	thunderbay.indymedia.org /print.php?id=7859 (1220 words)

	Alex Jones Presents Infowars.com to Fight the New World Order - Bush Impeached? Wanna Bet?
		Like the Pentagon's scrapped Policy Analysis Market, the AAM lets traders "bet" on future events by buying and selling futures as though they were stocks.
		The AAM market is the brainchild of a half-dozen academics from various colleges, including the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Yale University, New York University and the University of Montreal.
		David Pennock, a senior research scientist at Overture Services, said futures markets have proven to be very good predictors of many different kinds of events, from the weather to election outcomes.
	www.infowars.com /print/ps/aam.htm?feed=OBR&Date=20030731&ID=2757271 (646 words)

	[No title]
		bombing in Hadera was a response to the IDF's assassination of Louie Sa'adi, commander of Islamic Jihad's military wing the al-Quds Brigades in the West Bank, Abu al-Muaman, one of the organization's leaders in the Bank, told Ynet.
		The Islamic Jihad will not accept a situation in which its men are being assassinated without the organization has the right to respond to Israeli aggression, he added.
		An Islamic Jihad leader in the Gaza Strip, Khaled al-Batash said that "the bombing was a blessed operation, carried out by blessed hands." Al-Batash also claimed that the strike constituted a response to Saadi's killing, saying that it was another reaction to Israeli violations of the calm agreed upon in the West Bank.
	www.ynetnews.com /articles/0,7340,L-3159800,00.html (339 words)

	JFK Assassination Book Review Page
		The first is the experiences of the author at the time of assassination and immediately after along with some of her co-workers.
		This section is very interesting in that Ms Kritzberg was the first reporter (over the phone) to interview Jean Hill and Mary Moorman, the two people closest to JFK at the time of shooting and who thought the shots came from the "grassy knoll".
		Another except is part of their chapter on the JFK assassination A word of warning, this page is in a humorous style, along the lines of Its a Conspiracy but the book is writen in a more serious tone.
	members.aol.com /mrohlee (16674 words)

	The Space Review: Information aggregation markets and space development
		For example, presidential prediction market securities Democrat, Republican, and Other, which pay $10 in 2008 depending on who wins the presidency, could be purchased together in 2005 for $8.93 and the money could be invested in treasury bonds yielding 3.7% per year to make up the difference.
		The traders that accept the market price implicitly must pay half of the spread every time they make a trade because the best prediction of the market price is typically half way between the bid and the ask.
		For about ten times that, markets could be open at all times with a bid-ask spread of $0.05 on a $10 face value security or a 1% spread near $5.00.
	www.thespacereview.com /article/390/1 (1824 words)

	Assassins, Anarchists, and the Market
		James Boric tells us about The McKinley Assassination, what that meant for the market, and what we can learn about market trends from the reaction of legendary trader Bernard Baruch.
		So when he was shot on Sept. 6, 1901, the markets reflected the uncertain atmosphere.
		The traders that can adapt their strategies and trade with the market, not against it, will walk away far richer than those who buy no matter what the market does.
	www.dailyreckoning.com /Issues/2005/DR050405.html (2975 words)

	[No title]
		The market, that can never be wrong, after all, is much of the time a spectral thing.
		We might in defence of the bizarre effort point out that this is only an extension of the basic official credo by which the economy has been run for at least three decades.
		If the continents are beset with epidemics that were considered conquered, if pollution is changing the atmosphere we breathe into noxious fumes, or whatever, then all you need do is put a price on the problem, and those in eternal quest of bigger bucks will automatically come up with the solution.
	www.comer.org /July03/mkt.htm (1311 words)

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