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| | Natural Histories of HCV Infection in Men and Women Simulated by the Markov Model (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-22) |
 | | Based on 2,251 patient-year data, the probabilities of transition between any two of the four clinical states, i.e., asymptomatic carrier state, chronic hepatitis, liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma in one year were calculated. |
 | | Probability matrices thus obtained on six each subsets of HCV infection (asymptomatic carrier state, chronic hepatitis and liver cirrhosis in men and women) in their forties, fifties, and sixties, were used to simulate long-term outcomes of HCV infection. |
 | | Male asymptomatic carriers aged 40 years were expected to retain the asymptomatic carrier state in 2.6%, evolve into chronic hepatitis in 48.4%, liver cirrhosis in 14.6% and hepatocellular carcinoma in 34.4% after 30 years when they reached 70 years of age, in contrast to 1.9%, 45.3%, 32.8% and 20.0%, respectively, of female asymptomatic carriers. |
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