| __Tom Loredo's Bayesian Reprints__ *(Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-07)* |

| | The talk begins with a survey/tutorial on **Bayesian** **inference**, and continues with a description of two astrophysical applications: the "on/off" problem (Poisson counting process with uncertain background), and analysis of neutrino data from SN 1987A. |

| | Five lectures on basic **Bayesian** **inference** with applications in astronomy and astrophysics, given by invitation at the Center for Interdisciplinary Plasma Science of the Max Planck Institute for Plasma Physics in Garching, Germany, October 2002. |

| | The original analyses used **Bayesian** methods to find credible regions for the two density parameters (due to mass and to a possible cosmological constant), but used an incorrect summary of the evidence for a nonzero cosmological constant (a tail probability rather than a Bayes factor or odds ratio). |

| astrosun.tn.cornell.edu /staff/loredo/bayes/tjl.html (1544 words) |