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	DELPHI METHOD : Encyclopedia Entry
		The Delphi method was developed, over a period of years, at the Rand Corporation at the beginning of the cold war to forecast the impact of technology on warfare.
		Later on, several extensions to the Delphi method were developed to address this problem, such as cross impact analysis, that takes into consideration the possibility that the occurrence of one event may change probabilities of other events covered in the survey.
		Despite these shortcomings, today the Delphi method is a widely accepted forecasting tool and has been used successfully for thousands of studies in areas varying from technology forecasting to drug abuse.
	www.bibleocean.com /OmniDefinition/Delphi_method (1395 words)

	Delphi method - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
		The Delphi method was developed, over a period of years, at the Rand Corporation at the beginning of the cold war to forecast the impact of technology on warfare.
		To combat these shortcomings, the Delphi method was developed in RAND Corporation during the 1950-1960s (1959) by Olaf Helmer, Norman Dalkey, and Nicholas Rescher.
		Later on, several extensions to the Delphi method were developed to address this problem, such as cross impact analysis, that takes into consideration the possibility that the occurrence of one event may change probabilities of other events covered in the survey.
	en.wikipedia.org /wiki/Delphi_method (1485 words)

	THE DELPHI METHOD
		The Delphi Method is based on a structured process for collecting and distilling knowledge from a group of experts by means of a series of questionnaires interspersed with controlled opinion feedback (Adler and Ziglio, 1996).
		The group interaction in Delphi is anonymous, in the sense that comments, forecasts, and the like are not identified as to their originator but are presented to the group in such a way as to suppress any identification.
		An improvement in forecasting reliability over the Delphi method was thought to be attainable by taking into consideration the possibility that the occurrence of one event may cause an increase or decrease in the probability of occurrence of other events included in the survey (Helmer, 1978).
	www.iit.edu /~it/delphi.html (2070 words)

	Delphi Method
		The Delphi method is a structured technique used for forecast information in technology, business, education, science, and other fields.
		The Delphi Method was invented as a result of an order given by U.S. Air Force General Arnold to create a report on future military technology.
		The method was given its name in reference to the Oracle of Delphi, from Greek mythology who was supposed to have the power to infallibly predict the future.
	www.arches.uga.edu /~cadamrun/7320/delphi.htm (607 words)

	EurEnDel - Delphi Method
		The Delphi method has been developed in the 1950’s and 1960’s by the RAND corporation to make forecasts on future developments.
		The concept behind the Delphi method is to facilitate an expert "discussion" - in contrast to a simple survey - and at the same time allowing for anonymity of the participants:
		"...Delphi was designed to provide the benefits of a pooling and exchange of opinions, so that respondents can learn from each others views, without the sort of undue influence likely in conventional face-to-face settings which are typically dominated by the people who talk loudest or have most prestige.
	www.izt.de /eurendel/scope_of_the_project/delphi_method.html (415 words)

	MEDLINE_1996-2006 - Resultado página 1
		BACKGROUND: The Delphi method provides an opportunity for experts (panelists) to communicate their opinions and knowledge anonymously about a complex problem, to see how their evaluation of the issue aligns with others, and to change their opinions, if desired, after reconsideration of the findings of the group's work.
		Delphi studies have the potential to provide valuable information, yet few researchers have taken further steps to support or refine their findings.
		Mixed method design within a Delphi study on midwifery practice is described, and a follow-up narrative study to examine the findings is presented.
	www.bireme.br /cgi-bin/wxislind.exe/iah/online/?IsisScript=iah/iah.xis&nextAction=lnk&base=MEDLINE_1996-2006&exprSearch=15009353&indexSearch=UI&lang=p (315 words)

	COMPUTER BASED DELPHI PROCESSES
		The heart of a Delphi is the structure that relates all the contributions made by the individuals in the group and which produces a group view or perspective.
		Early work with the Delphi method indicated that even experts in a given area differ in expertise in various sub-domains and that the greatest improvement in accuracy of estimates was obtained by weighing estimates by this type of difference (Dalkey, 1970).
		Delphi, as a tool, has reached a stage of maturity in that it is used fairly extensively in organizational settings in either the paper and pencil mode or in combination with face-to-face meetings and Nominal Group Techniques.
	eies.njit.edu /~turoff/Papers/delphi3.html (11353 words)

	Delphi Study Information, Public Health Informatics - University of Maryland
		The Delphi Technique is a useful decision-making tool that can be used to build consensus in situations like these, as well as in situations without marked disagreement.
		The Delphi Technique was originally developed by the Rand Corporation to gather opinions from a group of experts (Patton 1986).
		For example, the Delphi Technique might be used to develop standards by which to evaluate a controversial new educational program where various parties cannot agree on what issues are important.
	www.phi.umd.edu /research/delphiinfo.html (643 words)

	Dr.Bob on Delphi Method Overloading
		Delphi 4 classes can have more than one method with the same name, which is also called method overloading.
		Overloaded methods are marked by the keyword overload, and must be made distinguishable by different type signatures in their arguments.
		In previous versions of Delphi, classes with more than one constructor had to use separate names for each constructor because there was no method overloading, yet.
	www.drbob42.com /delphi4/overload.htm (560 words)

	Visionary Manufacturing Challenges for 2020
		Using the Delphi method, international experts in manufacturing were surveyed to obtain a forecast of future manufacturing challenges for the year 2020.
		Design and Implementation of the Second Questionnaire The Delphi method is an interactive process, i.e., during the process, participants receive feedback on the responses of the group as a whole.
		In the BMAED Delphi survey, the second questionnaire was used to provide participants with feedback on the results of the first questionnaire.
	www.nap.edu /openbook.php?record_id=6314&page=123 (2497 words)

	exploreCO
		Delphi structures the group communication process so that the group is able to tackle a complex problem while minimizing the typical biases and distortions that arise in group processes.
		The method is not limited to forecasting; it has also been used for tasks such as evaluating possible budget allocations, delineating the pros and cons associated with potential policy options, distinguishing and clarifying real and perceived human motivations, and exposing priorities of personal values and social goals.
		Delphi is appropriate when there is insufficient data available to apply quantitative methods or precise analytical techniques, and when large (discontinuous) changes are not expected.
	www.manyworlds.com /exploreCO.aspx?coid=CO450612161680 (401 words)

	[No title]
		This method resulted in a design with multiple parent/child dependencies between features that could only be edited on the whole, and not according to the specific feature that needed to be changed -- a problem commonly referred to as "hack and whack" editing.
		Delphi's answer to the "hack and whack" school of design is horizontally structured modeling.
		Delphi lost valuable time waiting for the process sheets to be delivered, and since the design had been re-created off- site, even more time was spent verifying the process sheets' accuracy before manufacturing could begin.
	www.delphi.com /news/pressReleases/pressReleases_2003/pr16983-02192003 (1122 words)

	Predicting the Future: Have you considered using the Delphi Methodology?
		Delphi is a group process and its goal is to help a group reach consensus.
		Delphi should not be used with groups that have difficulty in reading or expressing themselves in written communication.
		Participants in a Delphi agree to receive and respond to a series of questionnaires, usually at least three different rounds are used.
	www.joe.org /joe/1997october/tt2.html (992 words)

	Delphi in a Nutshell: Chapter 2: The Delphi Object Model
		Delphi does not have class variables, class instance variables, static data members, or the equivalent (that is, variables that are shared among all objects of the same class).
		Methods in the derived class refer to the derived class's field, and methods in the ancestor class refer to the ancestor's field.
		Delphi ensures that all fields start out at zero, but if the exception occurs in the middle of your constructor, some fields might be initialized and some might still be zero.
	www.oreilly.com /catalog/delphi/chapter/ch02.html (9089 words)

	Delphi effect - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
		The Delphi effect may also be related to the "delphi pool" concept introduced in the novel "The Shockwave Rider" by John Brunner, which is a work of fiction, and not backed up by scientific research.
		The "Delphi Effect" appears to be synonymous with the Delphi method.
		The Delphi method is based on the assumption that group, as opposed to individual, judgement of trends can improve the validity of forecasts.
	en.wikipedia.org /wiki/Delphi_effect (306 words)

	Illinois Loop: Ziffer on Alinksy/Delphi (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-20)
		The Delphi Technique (named after the Greek oracle) was developed as part of a legitimate and ethical experiment conducted by the Rand Corporation (a division of the U.S. Air Force).
		At the time (1996) I was very puzzled by all of this, because the name (Delphi) that people were using to describe the type of meeting I had experienced at my school district was in fact the name of something else that had almost nothing to do with what I had experienced.
		The true Delphi Technique is a legitimate method for improving the accuracy of a group consensus that would only be used by someone having a true interest in the group's collective opinion.
	www.illinoisloop.org /dz_delphi00.html (957 words)

	The Delphi Method (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-20)
		Originally developed by the RAND Corporation in 1969 for technological forecasting, the Delphi Method is a group decision process about the likelihood that certain events will occur.
		The Delphi Method makes use of a panel of experts, selected based on the areas of expertise required.
		One distinct advantage of the Delphi Method is that the experts never need to be brought together physically, and indeed could reside anywhere in the world.
	www.ryerson.ca /~mjoppe/ResearchProcess/841TheDelphiMethod.htm (299 words)

	RAND \| Papers \| Analysis of the Future : The Delphi Method.
		A description of the Delphi Technique which attempts to make effective use of informed intuitive judgment in long-range forecasting.
		The Delphi method in its simplest form solicits the opinions of experts through a series of carefully designed questionnaires interspersed with information and opinion feedback.
		Refinements that have been made in the Delphi Technique consist of the introduction of weighted opinions and use of the technique in conjunction with a simulated decisionmaking process.
	www.rand.org /pubs/papers/P3558 (343 words)

	DELPHI - Outdoor Education Research & Evaluation Center -
		In many ways, it means the researcher is just a good facilitator, but the Delphi study process is a recognized research technique, and brings with it some rigor that this helps to strengthen the validity of the results considerably.
		Instead, the goal of the Delphi process is to systematically facilitate the communication that takes place via several stages of the researcher askings questions, undertaking analysis, and providing feedback.
		3) proposed a view of the Delphi method that they felt best summarized both the technique and its objective: "Delphi may be characterized as a method for structuring a group communication process, so that the process is effective in allowing a group of individuals, as a whole, to deal with complex problems".
	www.wilderdom.com /delphi.html (598 words)

	Illinois Loop: Delphi Method Report (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-20)
		Over the course of my discussions with all you fine folks and on one of the videotapes that Elyssa lent me, I have occasionally heard people mention something called the "Delphi Method", which is said to be used by the administrators of school systems when they get the local citizenry together for a pep rally.
		In fact the "Delphi Method" described in this book is radically different and the intent of using this method is precisely the opposite of the community meeting method described above.
		There may very well be a method out there called "Dephi" that has something to do with the stuff that goes on at our school meetings, but if that is the case then it is something entirely different from the Delphi Method that was developed at the Rand Corporation in the 1960s.
	www.illinoisloop.org /dz_delphi96.html (1488 words)

	Delphi Method
		Delphi thinking can be done with a small group and it can be done with hundreds of people.
		In analysing the scores, one method used in Delphi analysis for smaller groups and especially when percentage scores are used is to use the formula: (lowest score + highest score + 4 x average score) / 6.
		The power of the Delphi method in gaining consensus is first that comments are anonymous, which helps people avoid defending their original position.
	www.creatingminds.org /tools/delphi.htm (550 words)

	Carolla White Paper: Delphi Technique
		The Delphi technique was developed by the RAND Corporation in the late 1960's as a forecasting methodology.
		Delphi is particularly appropriate when decision-making is required in a political or emotional environment, or when the decisions affect strong factions with opposing preferences.
		Delphi has the added advantage that it works as an informal, subjective model when the decisions are based on opinion, and can be directly converted to a formal model, when the data is more knowledge-based.
	www.carolla.com /wp-delph.htm (1216 words)

	insurance Delphi_method - insurance-notes.com (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-20)
		When expertsâ forecasts have changed little between rounds, the process is stopped and the final round forecasts are combined by averaging.
		Delphi is based on well-researched principles and provides forecasts that are more accurate than those from unstructured groups (Rowe and Wright 1999, Rowe and Wright 2001).
		Free software to support Delphi forecasting and references are available on the Principles of Forecasting site.
	www.insurance-notes.com /Delphi_method (295 words)

	MG Taylor Delphi Process Explained
		The Delphi Method is based on a structured process for collecting and distilling knowledge from a group of experts by means of a series of questionnaires interspersed with controlled opinion feed back."
		The Delphi technique was developed in the 1950s by Rand Corporation as a valuable tool for modeling future scenarios.
		The three qualifications for a traditional Delphi are: anonymity, iteration with controlled feedback, and statistical response (both qualitative and quantitative).
	www.mgtaylor.com /public/2001/delphi_explain.html (283 words)

	UAW Delphi Update (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-20)
		Delphi’s contract proposal is not a framework for an agreement but a road map for confrontation.
		We are united in our effort to craft a solution to Delphi’s problems that makes sense for our members, for our families, for the company and its investors and for the communities where we work and live.
		Delphi’s solution is to force its workers to near poverty-level wages while rewarding executives with $90 million in bonuses.
	www.uaw.org /delphi/delphiupdate.cfm?duId=15 (900 words)

	Stop Promising Miracles (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-20)
		Wideband Delphi can be used to estimate virtually anything—the number of labor months needed to implement a specific subsystem, the lines of code or number of classes in an entire product, or the gallons of paint needed to redecorate Bill Gates’ house.
		The Delphi method helps you develop a detailed work breakdown structure, which provides the foundation for bottom-up effort and schedule or size estimation.
		While the results of a Delphi session might not be what the movers and shakers want to hear, they can decide whether they want to plan their project at a 10 percent confidence level, a 90 percent confidence level or somewhere in-between.
	www.processimpact.com /articles/delphi.html (2862 words)

	DELPHI-METHOD
		Delphi is widely used and has broad variety of versions.
		The method can be as well applied in provincial scale or large companies.
		The method can be used in anticipation project where knowledge is collected from a number of persons in different organisations and geographically widely spread.
	www.mol.fi /esf/ennakointi/metodit/MEKLMETE.htm (645 words)

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