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Topic: Doomsday Scenario


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In the News (Sat 2 Jun 12)

  
  Sharon's Doomsday Scenario
In Sharon's doomsday plan, Arafat is assassinated (no matter whether by Israelis or by fellow Arabs) or forced into exile, and replaced by the most militant Islamists available.
As awful as it sounds, such a scenario comports with Sharon's history, (he isn't called the Bulldozer for nothing), and with his demonstrated worldview.
Sharon's doomsday plan is as unfortunate for his people as it is for the Arabs he so despises.
www.commondreams.org /views02/0223-09.htm   (671 words)

  
 [No title]   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-18)
Even though Doomsday Scenario is not realistic (either in what it says we know or in what it assumes we don't know), it's close enough that we should be able to come to the right intuitions about it.
So let's apply the Doomsday argument to Figure 1 If I've parachuted randomly into the world in time as well as in space, and IF this parachuting is considered to be randomly targeted but weighted according to population density by some hypothetical experi menter, then the Doomsday Solution is right.
But the Doomsday Scenario is one in wh ich various choices of exchangeable sets give very different pictures: in particular, using generations is very different from using individuals.
www.usyd.edu.au /su/hps/preprints/preprint2/Doomsday.txt   (4287 words)

  
 Welcome To The Retro Future
From this experience and his close contact with USAF nuclear crews, he was certain the scenario portrayed in "Dr. Strangelove" of how, in a time of peace, a mad base-commander could launch a nuclear attack, was entirely feasible and only one of a number of other ways he could think of.
If he could not, then you would have a very safe system to prevent the "mad commander" scenarios, but one which would be inviting to sneak attack.
According to Herman Kahn, in his book, "On Thermonuclear War", it is relatively cheap and easy to build a Doomsday Machine, and it is certainly possible that a small country that feels its survival is sufficiently threatened might decide to build one.
retrofuture.com /kubrick2.html   (510 words)

  
 Doomsday Climate Change   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-18)
A climate change brought about by Global Warming is a basis for a doomsday scenario in some circles.
A Global Winter, be it from Nuclear, Volcanic or NEO origins, is the basis for yet another climate change based doomsday scenario.
The doomsday scenarios covered in this section do not deal with those gradual climate changes normally associated with increasing industrialization, pollution, greenhouse gasses, etc. The dangers posed by all of these scenarios have one common element, life as we know it ends.
www.doomsdayguide.org /climate.htm   (242 words)

  
 Doomsday Scenario
The doomsday scenario, titled "Hogtown Disaster" and drawn up by DRDC, a government research body based at CFB Suffield, near Medicine Hat, Alta., concludes the devastation would be massive.
For the "Hogtown Disaster" scenario, the researchers based their bioterrorist on the Unabomber, Ted Kaczynski, who was arrested in 1996 for sending mail bombs that killed three people and injured 23 others.
Since the anthrax is being used by one terrorist and not as part of a military scenario where tonnes of anthrax is needed, large amounts of the agent aren't necessary.
www.freerepublic.com /focus/news/866277/posts   (2062 words)

  
 Amazon.com: The Doomsday Scenario: How America Ends: Books: L. Douglas Keeney   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-18)
"The Doomsday Scenario" by L. Douglas Keeney is actually a briefly declassified copy of the "Emergency Plans Book", a high level consideration of the challenges facing the U.S. in a post nuclear strike world, published in 1958.
Keeney's primary purpose in "The Doomsday Scenario" was to make available to the public a fascinating snapshot of how the government viewed the prospects for survival in a nuclear war as the Cold War approached its height (although, ironically, 1958 was a time when the U.S. actually had legitimate first-strike capability).
"Doomsday Scenario" isn't a great work of historical writing, however, it is an explanation of a most important government document.
www.amazon.com /exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/076031313X?v=glance   (2348 words)

  
 Christy Scoffs at IPCC’s Doomsday Scenario; Russia’s Frigid Winter   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-18)
John Christy, director of the Earth System Science Center at the University of Alabama at Huntsville and a lead author of the IPCC’s Third Assessment Report, has publicly criticized the IPCC’s media campaign to generate public alarm about global warming.
"The world is in much better shape than this doomsday scenario paints," he told the London Times (February 20, 2001).
Because the coldest air masses on earth are also the driest, greenhouse gases exert a relatively larger influence on temperatures than in more humid regions, such as the tropics.
www.globalwarming.org /article.php?uid=206   (392 words)

  
 Doomsday Scenario: Chris Carter Foresaw 9/11
Ever since September 11, and throughout the firestorm of its accusation-heavy aftermath, our political leaders have asserted that nobody ever could have imagined a terrorist act as horrific as the piloting of commercial airliners into crowded office buildings.
To put it another way, six months before one of the darkest days in American history a broadcast entertainment series presented a fictional version of a scenario shockingly similar to the awful events of that day.
Following the attacks of September 11, our government cobbled together a group of film and television writers and asked them to create fantastic terrorism scenarios, so that thought could be given to (and preparations made for?) possible responses to unthinkable horrors.
billstclair.com /911timeline/2002/myersreport062002.html   (806 words)

  
 CNN.com - U.S. warns of doomsday scenario - June 1, 2002
In such a scenario, it predicts between nine million and 12 million people would die.
The figure was released on Friday from a recently updated DIA estimate based on a worst-case scenario in which both sides expend all their nuclear weapons, and score direct hits.
Pentagon officials stress that the estimates cannot take into account all the variables that might be involved in a nuclear exchange, and that the actual casualty figures could be greater or smaller.
archives.cnn.com /2002/WORLD/asiapcf/south/05/31/kashmir.attack.toll   (425 words)

  
 Turkey: No doomsday scenario, but ominous signs abound
Such a scenario may raise some questions about the US commitment to Turkey, this relationship should not be seriously threatened.
In such a scenario, the lira could strengthen in the short term before weakening again to the TRL/US$1.3 million level at this end, and year-end inflation would be around 60-70%.
The domestic debt situation will continue to force the central bank to pump liquidity into the system, especially as continuing delays in implementing bank reforms are likely.
www.bradynet.com /bbs/turkey/100011-0.html   (1688 words)

  
 HUMAN EVENTS ONLINE - Conservative News, Views & Books
In "The Perfect Storm That Could Drown the Economy," Gross claims, "increasingly, economists are prophesying that the American economy as a whole may be sailing into choppy waters." He finds several perpetually gloomy people to quote, including four refugees from the perpetually gloomy IMF.
In this latest retelling, the 1983 hard-landing fable is at last going to turn into the long-predicted "perfect storm" the moment foreign central banks cut back on their purchases of U.S. Treasury bonds.
So, desperate doomsday peddlers tried recycling their old tried-and-untrue "hard landing" scare, which is equally out of touch with reality.
www.humaneventsonline.com /article.php?id=7437   (845 words)

  
 GM boss debunks bankruptcy doomsday scenario - 01/11/05   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-18)
GM boss debunks bankruptcy doomsday scenario - 01/11/05
General Motors Corp. Chairman Rick Wagoner will use a meeting with analysts Thursday to, among other things, debunk doomsday bankruptcy scenarios and make the case that GM is in far better shape today than it was in the bleak days of the early 1990s.
But it would be wise to excise the word "never" from some scenarios.
www.detnews.com /2005/insiders/0501/11/A01-56205.htm   (1282 words)

  
 Doomsday scenario / Shadow government deployed to secret bunkers to ensure America's continuity if capital is struck   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-18)
Doomsday scenario / Shadow government deployed to secret bunkers to ensure America's continuity if capital is struck
Execution of the classified "Continuity of Operations Plan" resulted not from the Cold War threat of intercontinental missiles, the scenario rehearsed for decades, but from heightened fears that the al Qaeda network might somehow obtain a portable nuclear weapon, according to three officials with firsthand knowledge.
U.S. intelligence has no specific knowledge of such a weapon, they said, but the risk is thought great enough to justify the shadow government's disruption and expense.
www.sfgate.com /cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/c/a/2002/03/01/MN177115.DTL   (947 words)

  
 Scotland on Sunday - The Review - Doomsday scenario   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-18)
IMAGINE a scenario thousands of years from now, when an advanced civilisation sends a team of archaeologists to explore the culture formerly known as California.
Buried deep within the barren sands of the lost civilisation they find a remarkably well preserved automobile which, they discover, was once known as a Sports Utility Vehicle or SUV.
It is surely preposterous that modern civilisation as we know it would not only collapse but also leave no reliable account of its fate.
scotlandonsunday.scotsman.com /thereview.cfm?id=112072005   (1193 words)

  
 Chron.com | New Orleans faces doomsday in hurricane scenario
A massive earthquake in San Francisco, and, almost prophetically, a terrorist attack on New York City.
The New Orleans hurricane scenario may be the deadliest of all.
In the face of an approaching storm, scientists say, the city's less-than-adequate evacuation routes would strand 250,000 people or more, and probably kill one of 10 left behind as the city drowned under 20 feet of water.
www.chron.com /cs/CDA/story.hts/nation/1153609   (1074 words)

  
 Doomsday in Buffalo
Put simply, the end comes when Buffalo’s mayor, Tony Masiello, showing not the slightest inkling of leadership or imagination, mumbles “yassah” to his Republican masters while doling out a lethal dose of fiscal anthrax, in the form of untenable budget cuts, to Buffalo’s remaining residents.
Seven months ago, this worse case scenario was looming on the horizon.
His current conflict is not with the state government, whose polices have brought us to the brink, but with our local public employee unions, as they resist the implementation of this doomsday budget.
www.mediastudy.com /articles/av5-16-02.html   (1726 words)

  
 Radio National Breakfast - 11/02/2002: Doomsday Scenario
But despite the death and devastation of such an attack, the 1958 memo issued by the office of the Secretary of the Air Force offered a rather unusual 'take' on this 'Doomsday Scenario' as it was genuinely optimistic.
While it made clear millions were likley to be killed and wounded, such an attack apparently wasn't enough to wipe-out the US economy.
Douglas Keeney is the military historian who found this surprising document, when it was declassified by the US National Archives back in 1998.
www.abc.net.au /rn/talks/brkfast/stories/s478069.htm   (170 words)

  
 Salon.com News | The India-Pakistan doomsday scenario   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-18)
And most observers think the U.S. intelligence report is likely the worst of all worst-case scenarios.
Still, Cordesman and other experts admit that one nuclear scenario -- with a few permutations -- has gained traction in the intelligence community.
That is the possibility of at least one nuclear explosion -- one that, according to an oft-discussed academic report, would immediately kill up to 860,000 people, while slowly killing many more.
www.salon.com /news/feature/2002/05/31/doomsday/index_np.html   (670 words)

  
 The Manila Times Internet Edition | TOP STORIES > GMA: Shun doomsday scenario   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-18)
PRESIDENT Arroyo on Tuesday called on the people to “shake off the doomsday syndrome” being associated with a close election.
She said such a scenario debases the Filipino people as well as the democratic process of choosing a leader.
tc "She said such a scenario debases the Filipino people as well as the democratic process of choosing a leader."
www.manilatimes.net /national/2004/apr/07/yehey/top_stories/20040407top4.html   (1852 words)

  
 StarCityGames.com :: View topic - Discuss: Rehearsing the Doomsday Scenario: Learning How to B
However, as I've been testing doomsday as a tendrils combo enabler for almost a year now (yes, BEFORE it was unrestricted), I must say that your article fails to properly address the root cause of improper stack construction.
Rather than address the function of doomsday in a tendrils deck (that of a tutor), you addressed the results of doomsdaying (ie: a functional win condition).
I would again like to re-iterate that the piece was interesting, however failed to properly address the primary cause of improper doomsday play: Incorrect assessment of the functional role of Doomsday.
www.starcitygames.com /phpBB2/viewtopic.php?t=276296   (2294 words)

  
 Democratic Underground Forums - a doomsday scenario i'd hate to see...and missile defense ...   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-18)
I would bet my next paycheck that the Department of Defense has at least one contingency plan for just this sort of doomsday scenario.
And part of the doomsday scenario would include the deaths of the President, Vice President, President Pro-Tem of the Senate, and all the other folks in the line of Presidential Succession.
Not only would I bet that such a contingency plan exists, I would also bet (and, frankly, expect) that everyone with a "need to know" (and, of course, valid clearances) had already been briefed (and re-briefed) on the procedures such a plan would call for.
www.democraticunderground.com /duforum/DCForumID60/41334.html   (1956 words)

  
 Tompaine.com - Print Page
Raymond Close, a longtime CIA operations officer in the Middle East, has penned a provocative analysis of the Bush administration’s options in Iraq—one that might end with what he calls a “doomsday scenario,” namely, an Israeli strike against Iran’s nuclear facilities.
Close, in his letter, warns that if the U.S.-Iran showdown does escalate, it could easily lead to an Israeli attack:
Will this stimulate Israel to seek American approval for Israeli preemptive military actions—such as bombing the Iranian nuclear facilities?  In that case, what I have described could be transformed from a "worst-case scenario" into a "doomsday scenario.”
www.tompaine.com /print/the_doomsday_scenario.php   (516 words)

  
 Powell's Books - The Doomsday Scenario: How America Ends by Douglas L Keeney
Subtitled: The Official Doomsday Scenario Written By the United States Government During the Cold War.
This chilling 1958 Cold War defense document lays the foundation for how Bush, Cheney and Congress reacted to the September 11th attack on America.
Simply worded phrases with enormous ramifications are pointed out and explained, as are the government's assumptions and its seemingly futile plans to deal with realization.
www.powells.com /cgi-bin/partner?partner_id=719&cgi=product&isbn=076031313X   (397 words)

  
 "Doomsday Scenario" Part of Clinton Strategy -- 09/10/1998   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-18)
(CNS) The White House strategy for avoiding the impeachment of President Clinton includes a "Doomsday Scenario," in which politicians and journalists will be targeted, according to a report in Thursday's Salon Internet newsmagazine.
Sources quoted by the publication said other elements of Clinton's survival strategy include "repeated public apologies," for having lied about his relationship with former White House intern Monica Lewinsky, and efforts to show congressional Democrats that public reaction to Clinton's behavior is not dragging down the ticket in advance of November's elections.
However, the release of any of the documents or other evidence must be "authorized by the House of Representatives."
www.cnsnews.com /indepth/archive/199809/IND19980910c.html   (327 words)

  
 Gas Cutoff Next Month, PG&E Warns / Utility describes a 'doomsday scenario'
Hundreds of thousands of residents of cities including San Francisco, Sacramento and Santa Cruz are likely to have their natural gas cut off as early as mid-February, if federal or state authorities don't rescue PG&E from suppliers' refusal to provide gas, the utility warns.
But Park said converting to diesel fuel, even temporarily, is "a highly undesirable option," because of the amount of air pollution it causes.
Behind the doomsday scenario is PG&E's uncertainty over whether it will have enough gas next month.
www.sfgate.com /cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/chronicle/archive/2001/01/28/MN188121.DTL   (1565 words)

  
 Spire Security Viewpoint: Another Doomsday Scenario
Update: Anton comments below that his scenario isn't intended to be a Doomsday one.
Hmm, I never meant to project an impression that it is a 'doomsday scenario' - see my comment in the end about the overall risk...
They'll be about as effective at knowing they're owned as they are today, which would be the problem.
spiresecurity.typepad.com /spire_security_viewpoint/2005/11/another_doomsda.html   (902 words)

  
 Arianna Online Forums - Doomsday Weather Scenario This Week!   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-18)
Seattle received 21 inches of snow, killing 13 people in an extended freeze, and Sunnyvale, Calif., was the scene of an unusual tornado.
The same scenario played out in 1937, when there was record flooding in the Ohio River Valley, said Wagner, of the prediction center.
He was worried about the Ohio and Tennessee River valleys as the places where the three nasty storm systems could meet, probably with snow, thunderstorms, severe ice storms and flooding.
www.ariannaonline.com /forums/showthread.php?t=18330   (1543 words)

  
 Columns: From Tommy Franks, a doomsday scenario
The doomsday scenario was laid out by Gen. Tommy Franks, the recently retired head of CentCom, in of all places the December edition of Cigar Aficionado magazine.
Mary Jo Melone: Feds not as quick to cry corruption as judge is
Robyn E. Blumner: From Tommy Franks, a doomsday scenario
www.sptimes.com /2003/12/07/Columns/From_Tommy_Franks__a_.shtml   (874 words)

  
 The US Doomsday Scenario: A 97 Year Old Standby President   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-18)
Politicians in Washington are brushing up on their constitutional law as they contemplate a so-called "doomsday" scenario unimaginable only a few weeks ago...
The race for the White House may have to be settled by Congress if Florida is unable to settle the increasingly bitter dispute over its results and both candidates claim the state's 25 electoral votes.
After the strange events following the closest election in history, few pundits are willing to dismiss such a denouement as absurd.
www.rense.com /general5/lordie.htm   (475 words)

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