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| | Prior probability - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia |
 | | We could specify, say, a normal distribution as the prior for his speed, but alternatively we could specify a normal prior for the time he takes to complete 100 metres, which is proportional to the reciprocal of the first prior. |
 | | An example is a prior distribution for the temperature at noon tomorrow. |
 | | statistical inference, a prior probability distribution, often called simply the prior, of an uncertain quantity p (for example, suppose p is the proportion of voters who will vote for John Kerry) is the probability distribution that would express one's uncertainty about p before the "data" (for example, an opinion poll) are taken into account. |
| en.wikipedia.org /wiki/Prior_probability (916 words) |
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