| | Interest Rates, Carry Trades, and Exchange Rate Movements (2006-31, 11/17/2006) (Site not responding. Last check: ) |
 | | According to an equilibrium condition of international financial markets, called "covered interest parity," the forward premium of one currency relative to another is equal to the interest rate differential between them. |
 | | According to another equilibrium condition of international financial markets called the "uncovered interest parity," the difference in interest rates between the two countries simply reflects the rate at which investors expect the high-interest-rate currency to depreciate against the low-interest-rate currency. |
 | | The uncovered interest parity condition implies, indeed, that investors should expect to receive no profits, as they should expect the return from lending in the high-interest-rate currency to be worth ultimately as much as the cost of borrowing in the low-interest-rate currency. |
| www.frbsf.org /publications/economics/letter/2006/el2006-31.html (1909 words) |