M. King Hubbert - Factbites

M. King Hubbert - Factbites
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Topic: M. King Hubbert

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	M. King Hubbert - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
		National Academy of Sciences (1990), Tribute to M. King Hubbert.
		Hubbert made several contributions to geophysics, including a mathematical demonstration that rock in the Earth's crust, because it is under immense pressure in large areas, should exhibit plasticity, similar to clay.
		Hubbert is most well-known for his studies on the capacities of oil fields and natural gas reserves.
	en.wikipedia.org /wiki/M._King_Hubbert

	Marion King Hubbert - Wikipedia
		ASPO arbejder i dag videre med Hubberts teori, og antager på baggrund af det tilgængelige materiale om olieproduktion, at Hubbert's peak vil indtræffe indenfor dette årti, sandsynligvis i år 2006.
		Hubbert observerede at den totale mængde olie udvundet til dato ville være lig den totale mængde olie fundet, blot med en forsinkelse på et par årtier.
		Hubbert var en geofysiker, der arbejdede på Shells laboratorium i Houston, Texas.
	da.wikipedia.org /wiki/Marion_King_Hubbert

	Handbook of Texas Online: HUBBERT, MARION KING
		Hubbert is perhaps best known for his studies of petroleum and natural gas reserves, a subject he became attracted to in the 1920s while a student at Chicago.
		Hubbert was also influential in promoting in American universities the study of geophysics, an area of research that well into the 1950s was more at home in government agencies, private research institutions, or petroleum corporations than in academic environments.
		Hubbert was a member of the National Academy of Sciences, the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, and the Geological Survey of America.
	www.tsha.utexas.edu /handbook/online/articles/view/HH/fhu85.html

	Picco di Hubbert - Wikipedia
		La teoria del picco di Hubbert (detta anche più brevemente picco di Hubbert) è una teoria scientifica, proposta, nella sua formulazione iniziale, nel 1956 dal geofisico americano Marion King Hubbert, riguardante l'evoluzione temporale della produzione di una qualsiasi risorsa minerale o fonte fossile esauribile o fisicamente limitata.
		Hubbert basò inizialmente la sua teoria sull'osservazione dei dati storici della produzione di carbone in Pennsylvania, giungendo solo ad in seguito una trattazione matematica generalizzata applicabile anche ad altri casi.
		Le conclusioni di Hubbert furono inizialmente trattate con 'sufficienza' dagli ambienti scientifici ed economici, situazione che cambiò radicalmente nei primi anni 70, quando, effettivamente, i 48 stati continentali USA raggiunsero il loro picco di produzione.
	it.wikipedia.org /wiki/Picco_di_Hubbert

	Marion King Hubbert - Wikipedia
		Hubberts meist bekanntesten Studien beschäftigen sich mit der Kapazität von Öl- und Gasfeldern.
		Hubbert leistete verschiedene Beiträge zur Geophysik, darunter ein mathematischer Nachweis, daß sich Felsgestein in der Erdkruste auf Grund der enormen Drücke plastisch verhält und ein dem Ton ähnliches Fließverhalten zeigt.
		Hubbert war Mitglied der National Acadamy of Scienes und der American Acadamy of Arts and Sciences.
	de.wikipedia.org /wiki/M._King_Hubbert

	Tribute to M. King Hubbert
		King Hubbert first came to these unpopular conclusions in 1949, when the earth's wealth seemed limitless and predictions of doom could be easily ignored.
		In 1962, King Hubbert authored a 150-page energy section in the Academy's natural resources study submitted to President Kennedy, but his recommendations (since proved accurate but toned down in the executive summary) were once again ignored.
		The Council of the National Academy of Sciences, meeting on December 15, 1989, expressed the sorrow of the membership at the death of M. King Hubbert on October 11, 1989, at the age of 86.
	www.ecology.com /archived-links/m-king-hubbert/index.html

	WORK LESS Institute of Technology: OIL'S WELL THAT ENDS?
		Mainstream economists looking back on Hubbert’s intuitively appealing explanation of the relationship between industrial output, the hours of work and total employment would be amused by his assertions that the continuation of “compound-interest type” of economic growth was limited by the physical resources of the earth and the capacity of the public to consume.
		It must be credited to Marion King Hubbert, the geophysicist who in 1956 told an audience of Shell Oil Company executives that U.S. domestic oil production would peak sometime around 1970, after which it would decline.
		As some of you may know, King Hubbert also predicted that world oil production would peak sometime around the year 2000, after which it too would decline.
	www.worklessparty.org /wlitblog/archives/000605.html

	M. King Hubbert • Hubbert Peak of Oil Production
		King Hubbert, geophysicist, is well known as a world authority on the estimation of energy resources and on the prediction of their patterns of discovery and depletion.
		Less well known were Hubbert's studies since 1926 on the rate of industrial growth and of mineral and energy resources and their significance in the evolution of the world's present technological civilization.
		Hubbert wrote "Two Intellectual Systems: Matter-energy and the Monetary Culture," the subject of a seminar he taught, or participated in, at MIT Energy Laboratory.
	www.hubbertpeak.com /hubbert

	biografía de M.king Hubbert, estudios de Hubbert sobre el Peak oil
		King Hubbert comenzó a escribir artículos científicos de geofisica y geología que publicaba mientras estaba todavía estudiando para graduado en Chicago.
		Marion King Hubbert nació el 5 de octubre de 1903, en el condado del San Saba en la parte central del estado petrolero de Tejas.
		En 1974.el Dr. Hubbert fue elegido como miembro honorario vitalicio de la sociedad canadiense de geólogos del petróleo.
	www.cenitdelpetroleo.com /King_Hubbertt.html

	Age of Oil is Over
		Hubbert factored this data into his bell-curve model, and predicted in 1956 that production of crude oil in the contiguous 48 states would peak sometime between 1966 and 1972.
		And his Hubbert's Peak: The Impending World Oil Shortage (Princeton University Press, $25) predicts a peak between 2004 and 2009, though he notes that it won't be until several years afterward that we will know when the peak actually occurred.
		Hubbert poured his own most productive years into directing research for Shell Oil, where he knew that the discovery of new U.S. oilfields had peaked in the 1930s.
	www.thetyee.ca /Views/2003/12/04/Age_of_Oil_is_Over/print.html

	Red Door Cafe: THE END OF THE AGE OF OIL
		Hubbert realized that using what he knew in 1950 about the history of discoveries, along with what was already known about consumption, and a little mathematics, he should be able to predict that second bell-shaped curve.
		In about 1950, Hubbert realized that the trajectory of oil discovery in the continental United States was going to be a classic bell-shaped curve, for the decades from 1910 to 1970, in billions of barrels per year (see figure 1, facing page).
		Nevertheless, the central idea of the Hubbert Curve is certainly correct: the supply of any natural resource invariably rises from zero to a maximum point, and then it falls forever.
	reddoorcafe.blogspot.com /2004/09/end-of-age-of-oil.html

	Biography of Vetlesen Prize Winner - Marion King Hubbert
		Marion King Hubbert was born October 5, 1903, in central Texas.
		For many years King Hubbert conducted a continuing study of the Earth's mineral and energy resources and their bearing on the evolution, past and future, of our industrial civilization.
		As a scientist, King Hubbert applied rigorous physical reasoning to the study of complex geological phenomena.
	www.ldeo.columbia.edu /vetlesen/recipients/1981/hubbert_bio.html

	National Review Online (http://www.nationalreview.com)
		It was geologist Marion King Hubbert who argued that the life of any oil well resembles a bell-shaped curve; that production increases to a peak by the time half of the oil is pumped.
		Given the Saudi’s forecasts on existing fields and the fact that discoveries of new fields are few and far between, the Hubbert theory neatly points to a secular decline in the supply of oil, making it easy to argue, under some general conditions, that oil prices may rise even further.
		Hubbert may have been right in the 1970s, but his curve failed in the 1980s when energy prices came tumbling down.
	www.nationalreview.com /script/printpage.p?ref=/nrof_canto/canto200406041037.asp

	Will We Run Out of Energy? - Mises Institute
		Marion King Hubbert, a geophysicist and a geologist for the USGS, is known for predicting, in 1956, that
		The world is nearing Hubbert's peak and Goodstein expects the "crisis to occur when the peak is reached, rather than when the last drop [of oil] is pumped" (p.
		The problems with Goodstein's conclusions, and this applies to Hubbert's followers in general, begin with his reliance on empirical findings to generate the Hubbert curves.
	www.mises.org /fullstory.asp?control=1519

	Gold & Silver Forum - Not So Vast As Our Failure
		King Hubbert’s other great crystal ball gazing science parlour prediction (how it was portrayed and dismissed at the time) was to look at the world’s rock oil geological history: ‘petro’ meaning rock hence petroleum, and project from that data basis when the world would hit peak oil production.
		There is also the equally salient fact that with a similar method to Hubbert’s, “even though in detail more sophisticated, the study “Global 2000” (commissioned by the US President) predicted in 1980 the date for the global production peak to be somewhere near the end of the 20th century [27].
		MKH: “As is always true of the best science it was quite simple.
	www.goldismoney.info /forums/showthread.php?t=14740

	ICG Spaces - community weblog - The curve of human expectations is no match for a Hubbert curve
		reminded me that the Hubbert curve and its peak followed by gradual decline is returning to world oil production at a time when there are no more worlds to conquer in terms of easily exploitable reserves and that there are vastly more consumers and their governments contesting that declining energy stock.
		Unless new, massive reserves are discovered soon, the current world Hubbert peak is believed to be in the 2015-2025 period, but as short as 2010 and as "distant" and 2040.
		Hubbert was a remarkable man. Think how startling was his 1949
	spaces.icgpartners.com /index2.asp?NGuid=AD6C9C34700A414F85C85DC382D0BA02

	Francis de Winter • The Coming Global Oil Crisis
		Marion King Hubbert, a renowned petroleum geologist working for Shell Oil, first described in the late 1940s the effects of depletion that would become noticeable when the recoverable oil was used up by approximately 50%, whether this was in a specific oil field, a region, or the whole world (see Ref. 17 below).
		King Hubbert was probably the only one with a clear view of the future, but almost nobody bothered to listen to him.
		King Hubbert had been dead for about 5 years, and only Dr. Campbell and his colleague Laherrere (and in the USA, L. "Buzz" Ivanhoe) seemed to be interested in the depletion question.
	www.oilcrisis.com /Dewinter

	Running on Empty: A field guide to the coming fuel crunch EnergyBulletin.net Energy and Peak Oil News
		Five minutes before he was supposed to take the stage, Marion King Hubbert’s bosses at Shell Oil called him on the phone and begged him not to go through with it.
		They had heard that Hubbert, a respected geophysicist, was about to tell a meeting of the American Petroleum Institute in San Antonio, Texas, that all the oil production in the United States would soon peak, and, eventually, end.
		It was not until the 1990s that a critical mass of scientists returned to the Hubbert calculation, applied it to the entire world and found that the peak year, the beginning of the crisis, would take place no later then 2010, and as early as well, now.
	www.energybulletin.net /1448.html?PHPENERGYBULL=25a3d619546d21bc8f00332720ad8c43

	The sage of the end of oil
		The graphic depicted a type of bell curve that had originally been plotted out in the 1950s by a contrarian-minded Shell Oil geophysicist, Marion King Hubbert.
		Hubbert had predicted that oil production in the continental United States would peak within 20 years, and, although he had plenty of detractors at the time, he turned out to be right.
		The Hubbert’s Peak bell curve pictured in the newspaper cast a wider net—it applied Hubbert’s calculations to oil resources worldwide and projected that supplies would peak within a decade, followed by, as Goodstein puts it, “an inexorable decline.”
	pr.caltech.edu /periodicals/CaltechNews/articles/v38/sage.html

	The Seattle Times: Arts & Entertainment: Two books explore the coming crisis of a world that's running out of oil
		As Goodstein explains, the peak is named after the geophysicist and Shell Oil employee Marion King Hubbert, who in 1956 correctly predicted that U.S. oil production would top out in 1970.
		Hubbert's Peak has since become an important predictive tool because it marks the moment when supply of a finite quantity such as oil begins to diminish with ever-increasing rapidity.
		When it comes — when humans have used up half the oil that was there initially — we will have reached a point known to oil experts as Hubbert's Peak.
	seattletimes.nwsource.com /html/artsentertainment/2001916945_oil02.html

	sqwalk.com: Mythoilogy
		In 1976, Marion King Hubbert, the visionary U.S. geophysicist who once worked for Shell, warned that North Americans would soon face a bigger problem than US$50-a-barrel oil and astronomical gas prices.
		Because North Americans have known nothing but "exponential growth" in fossil fuels, Hubbert reasoned that we had become incapable of "reckoning with problems of non-growth."
		Hubbert, who in the 1950s accurately predicted when oil production would peak in the United States (1970), also had a practical solution.
	www.sqwalk.com /blog/000269.html

	NameTraq Last Name: Hubbert
		...(The name comes from Marion King Hubbert, an American geologist who predicted in the 1950s that US domestic production in the lower 48 states would peak around...
		Teachers' lobbyist Paul Hubbert rejected the idea that a no-vote for new school construction in Shelby County means that voters later this year would reject a...
		According to Mercedes boss Jurgen Hubbert, the carmaker wouldn't be able to justify paying the Ferrari driver the salary he is earning at the moment.
	nametraq.com /genealogy_jan04/H/Hubbert.shtml

	Science Beat: HIF: The Heavy-Ion Approach to Fusion
		In 1956 a geophysicist named Marion King Hubbert announced a formula predicting that the rate at which oil could be extracted from the lower 48 states would peak around 1970, then begin a rapid decline.
		Hubbert's calculations were presented at a time when the U.S. was awash in "black gold," and Hubbert became a public laughingstock.
		The Hubbert peak is no longer a laughing matter: calculations show that global oil production could reach the Hubbert peak within this decade.
	www.lbl.gov /Science-Articles/Archive/sb/May-2004/01-AFRD-HIF.html

	It’s the Oil, Stupid (Hubbert's Curve and World War III)
		Marion King Hubbert was a geologist who, in 1949, presented a curve predicting the rise and fall of oil production in the conterminous United States.
		Hubbert’s curve for the United States was somewhat symmetrical, i.e., the decline in oil production after the peak rather mirrored the rise in production before the peak.
		Following the success of Hubbert’s curve in predicting the year of peak production in the United States, Hubbert’s methodology (with slight modification over the years) has been used to predict the rise and fall of global oil production.
	www.foundationwebsite.org /ItsTheOil.htm

	Letters to the editor: South Edition The San Diego Union-Tribune
		As M. King Hubbert finished his career and on to his death in 1989, he predicted that worldwide oil production would reach a similar peak around 2000.
		A petroleum geologist named Marion King Hubbert, who worked for Shell in the '50s and '60s, predicted that crude oil production in the Continental United States would reach a peak around 1970 and begin a slow decline.
		Hubbert's Peak actually will not be discernible for some time.
	www.signonsandiego.com /uniontrib/20041007/news_lz3e7south.html

	The President's Speech
		Over 50 years ago, an oil geologist named Marion King Hubbert perfected a formula for predicting the production curve of an oil well.
		Hubbert's theory of how an oil well would act over time was adaptable, and could be applied to entire oil fields.
		From the moment back in 1859, when oil was first struck in Pennsylvania, until today, one hundred and fifty years later, we--the people of the world--have used about half of all the oil we can expect to find.
	www.newcolonist.com /newworldorder.html

	Mischievous Ramblings: Is The Age of Oil Over?
		In AlterNet: The Age of Oil Is Over, Monte Paulsen reports on a couple of books which include the work of Marion King Hubbert.
		Hubbert postulated a production curve for oil fields which correctly predicted the peak of US oil production in 1970 (he said 1966 - 1972).
		As new worldwide oil reserves have been found at a decreasing rate in the last decade or so, people begin to wonder when worldwide oil production will peak.
	enginesofmischief.com /blogs/ramblings/archives/000243.php

	The Pitt News -
		In 1974, geologist Marion King Hubbert predicted that world oil fields would achieve their maximum output in 2000.
		The figure was later revised by some of his acolytes, such as Henry Groppe, Colin J. Campbell and Matt Simmons, to anywhere between 2006-2010.
		It's the point at which oil production peaks and then begins to decline.
	www.pittnews.com /vnews/display.v?TARGET=printable&article_id=4237da4274192

	hubbheir.html
		This document is referred to as a half-bibliography because it is limited deliberately to entries in support of the thesis of an oil peak formulated by M. King Hubbert and extended by his intellectual heirs.
		"Tribute to M. King Hubbert." National Academy of Sciences Letter to Members 19 (April 1990).
		Marion King Hubbert: Transcript of a Tape-Recorded Interview, January 4-February 6, 1989.
	quasar.physik.unibas.ch /~fisker/401/oil/hubbheir.html

	News-Leader.com Jeanne Duffey
		But, according to the late geophysicist Marion King Hubbert and his successors, we're all going there on Nov. 24.
		Industry critics made sport of Hubbert and his methodology—until his prediction came true in 1971."
		For a cybertour of Hubbert's Peak, type in "hubbert" in the keywords box at www.energybulletin.
	www.news-leader.com /apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20050821/COLUMNISTS08/508210373/1078/LIFE

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In the News (Thu 24 Dec 09)