| | Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin: Asset price based estimates of sterling exchange rate risk premia (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-28) |
 | | Within intertemporal utility optimisation models, the foreign exchange rate risk premium equals the conditional covariance between the future exchange rate change and the future marginal rate of substitution of the representative investor. |
 | | In conventional models the marginal rate of substitution equals a linear function of future consumption growth, which is often proxied by the future real return on a stock market portfolio. |
 | | We combine the resulting conditional estimates of the marginal rate of substitution for the global investor with the covariance between the relative change in a particular sterling rate and the real return on a 'world' stock portfolio to proxy the risk premium in the effective sterling exchange rate, the sterling/DM rale and the sterling/dollar rate. |
| findarticles.com /p/articles/mi_qa3774/is_200504/ai_n13510644 (638 words) |