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Topic: October Surprise


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 October surprise conspiracy - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The October Surprise Conspiracy was an alleged plot that claimed representatives of the 1980 Ronald Reagan presidential campaign had conspired with Islamic Republic of Iran to delay the release of 66 Americans held hostage in Tehran until after the 1980 U.S. Presidential election.
Reporter Danny Casolaro claimed that the Inslaw affair was somehow connected to the October Surprise (he died in 1991).
The "October Surprise" Allegations and the Circumstances Surrounding the Release of the American Hostages Held in Iran.
en.wikipedia.org /wiki/October_surprise_conspiracy   (2774 words)

  
 Preemptive Karma: October surprise
"October surprise" rumors are a Bush family political signature--like popping off the radar screen here in the states and suddenly appearing in the Middle East.
If anyone doubts that Bush, Cheney, Rove and their confidants are planning an "October Surprise" to prevent the Republicans from losing control of Congress, then he or she has not been observing this presidency very closely.
Bush's second and more likely, surprise could be in the area of national security: If he could achieve a Great Powers coalition (of Russia, China, the United Kingdom, France, and so on) presenting a united-front "no nukes" stance to Iran, it would be his first diplomatic coup and a political triumph.
www.preemptivekarma.com /archives/2006/04/october_surpris.html   (697 words)

  
 Scandals / October Surprise
"October Surprise" refers to the evidence that the Reagan campaign cut a secret (and treasonous) deal with Iran to delay the release of the American hostages, in order to keep President Carter from arranging a surprise release in October and winning the November election.
October Surprise sources comprise a who's who of sleaze and spookery; paranoia and suspicion abound and it becomes difficult to know whom or what to believe.
"October Surprise" refers to the scenario that certain Reagan campaign officials, William Casey for one, may have arranged to delay the release of the hostages, thereby insuring that Carter would be unable to tilt the election with a "surprise" release in October 1980.
www.namebase.org /books59.html   (697 words)

  
 The "October Surprise" Theory - article by Daniel Pipes
The October Surprise conspiracy theory holds that in October 1980, Ronald Reagan conspired with the Islamic Republic of Iran to beat Jimmy Carter in the U.S. presidential elections on 4 November.
So much attention to the October Surprise theory meant it had to be checked in sober and exhaustive detail, and under such scrutiny it promptly collapsed.
The House report went further, declaring that "There was no October Surprise agreement ever reached." It found "wholly insufficient credible evidence" that communication took place between the Reagan campaign and the Iranian government and "no credible evidence" of an attempt by the campaign to delay the hostages' release.
www.danielpipes.org /article/1654   (1582 words)

  
 [No title]
In October of 1980 an agreement was reached to unfreeze Iran's monetary assets for the safe return of the hostages.
Honegger was working for the campaign at the time: Honegger: Richard Wirthland, who was the campaign's pollster, had determined that an 'october surprise', which was a successful attempt by Carter to release the hostages and bring them home before the election, would be the death knell to a Reagan/Bush presidency.
Because of the worry about the october surprise, the mood had been one of anxiety and tension, and suddenly there was a party atmosphere.
history.eserver.org /the-october-surprise.txt   (3686 words)

  
 October Surprise
The Reagan-Bush campaign was wary of a possible "October Surprise" by the Carter Administration that would result in the early release of the American hostages.
Before the revelations about the October Surprise, in which George Bush is alleged to have flown to Paris in 1980 to delay release of 52 American hostages from Iran, the American public almost learned the truth.
Hamilton has conducted a low level investigation into the October Surprise, the purpose of his investigation was to determine whether or not a large scale Congressional investigation into the allegations against Bush should be held.
www.rumormillnews.com /HARRY_MARTIN_OCTOBER_SURPRISE.htm   (13157 words)

  
 October surprise - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia (via CobWeb/3.1 planetlab-01.bu.edu)   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-12)
An October surprise is American political jargon describing a stunning news event with the potential to influence the outcome of an election, particularly one for the presidency.
As the race between Humphrey and Nixon was winding down by October 1968, with the polls indicating Nixon was in the lead, Johnson announced on October 31 a complete bombing halt of North Vietnam, once again citing that progress had been made in the Paris negotiations.
Three books, all titled October Surprise are major sources detailing the allegations by senior Carter and Reagan staffs (Gary Sick, Barbara Hoeneger) and Robert Parry (an investigative journalist).
en.wikipedia.org.cob-web.org:8888 /wiki/October_Surprise   (1566 words)

  
 Franklin & Marshall - October Surprise
October is that calendar-determined time for electoral surprises--because it's both late in the campaign and it's when voters are paying most attention.
And the classic campaign stunner is the "October Surprise," conventionally understood as any last minute issue or event that can alter the outcome of an election.
What seems certain is that the bugging of the Mayor's office and the enlarged federal investigation are now the defining moments of the campaign and the focus on the motive and rationale behind the investigation have added a new and murky dimension to the final stages of the campaign.
www.fandm.edu /x4088.xml   (998 words)

  
 The October Surprise File December 22, 1988
October 29, 1980 - Six days before the Nov. 4 election, Carter is assured his secret negotiations with Iran - promising Iran $240 million in U.S. arms and spare parts paid for under the Shah, together with unfreezing Iranian assets - will result in the release of the 52 hostages before the Nov. 4 election.
October 30, 1980 - At the morning "October Surprise" group meeting, Reagan Campaign Manager William Casey boasts that the campaign doesn't have to worry about an "October Surprise" from Carter's releasing the hostages before the election.
On Monday, (that would be October 24) a Los Angeles lawyer who sued the federal government and the Khomeini regime on behalf of 13 of the Tehran hostages announced he is now preparing a suit against the estate of Casey, against the 1980 Reagan-Bush campaign-- and possibly against Bush as well.
www.williambowles.info /ini/oct-surprise.html   (11215 words)

  
 "No October Surprise"   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-12)
Over the past five years, the October Surprise has become the hottest conspiracy theory in Washington....The sheer weight of the coverage, and the unanswered questions it raised, prompted Congress to investigate....Last November, the Senate's limited investigation found no evidence of a conspiracy.
The origins of the October Surprise allegations...go back to Lyndon LaRouche and his followers, who began to promote the notion of a conspiracy by the Reagan campaign team in the early 1980s.
Although the House report debunking the October Surprise would not be released until 13 months after the publication of Sick's book, the author was not without his critics in 1991.
eightiesclub.tripod.com /id53.htm   (3070 words)

  
 [No title]
Briefly put, the `October Surprise' theory holds that Bush or Casey--or possibly Bush and Casey--cut a secret deal with Iran in the summer or fall of 1980 to delay the release of 52 U.S. hostages until after the November elections.
So, true or not, the October Surprise is about to become yet another exhibit in the Beltway's chamber of Alleged Political Horrors--to escalate, along with the BCCI scandal, the Iran-contra affair and the savings and loan crisis, from cocktail-party gossip to subpoenas, sworn testimony and endless disputes among lawyers, investigators and witnesses.
It is likely that the October Surprise would have died somewhere in late 1987, except for the appearance of a group of apparently knowledgeable, conspiracy-minded `super-sources.' Journalists are vulnerable to the lure of a super-source--another Deep Throat, someone who knows all and pieces everything together in a nice, neat package.
www.fas.org /irp/congress/1991_cr/h911104-october.htm   (4437 words)

  
 October Surprise, by The Plaid Adder - Democratic Underground
For instance, we are all now timorously awaiting Rove's "October surprise." I'm going out on a limb right now to say that in my opinion, the October surprise is that there will be no October surprise.
The suggestion that Bush might make an eleventh-hour surprise visit to the troops in Baghdad is intriguing, but in the end I have to say I don't think it's realistic.
Their broadcast may have some effect or it may have no effect, but one thing it won't be is a surprise.
www.democraticunderground.com /plaidder/04/33.html   (2028 words)

  
 The October Surprise
At one particular meeting in Paris, on October 19, 1980, a final agreement allegedly was concluded: In exchange for a $40 million bribe and future arms shipments, the Iranians agreed not to release the American hostages until the January 1981 Presidential inauguration.
Honegger, like Gary Sick, is cautious; throughout her book she refers to the October Surprise story as "allegations." Yet her evidence leads overwhelmingly to the reality of the October Surprise conspiracy.
To Parry's surprise, "Not only did I find unclassified notes and documents about the task force's work, but also 'secret' and even 'top secret' papers..." Parry's study of these documents led him to believe, more firmly than ever, that the October Surprise plot had indeed occured.
www.io.com /~patrik/october.htm   (2062 words)

  
 Reprise of the October Surprise: Is the Worst Surprise Still to Come?
Vice presidential candidate George Bush said publicly that the Republicans feared "an October surprise" by the Democrats.
Privately, the Republicans had been informed, apparently by someone on active duty in the military or in US intelligence, that Carter planned a dramatic rescue attempt to free the hostages in Tehran, perhaps similar to the failed "Desert I" helicopter rescue attempt in which eight American servicemen died earlier in the year.
If Bush really was involved personally in illicit Reagan campaign activities to forestall an "October surprise," he would now be so vulnerable to Israeli flmail that no such political or economic pressure on Israel would be possible, even today.
www.washington-report.org /backissues/0591/9105011.htm   (2762 words)

  
 Surprise!!!!!!   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-12)
As far as official Washington is concerned, however, the October Surprise is pure bunkum.
If the October Surprise scenario was accurate, then it seems the secret arms-for-hostages deals later exposed during the Iran-Contra scandal could be backdated to 1980.
Later, under oath to the House of Representatives' October Surprise task force, he doubled back yet again, this time declaring that he had fabricated all previous claims about the October Surprise as revenge against Uncle Sam for his drug bust.
www.carpenoctem.tv /cons/october.html   (2330 words)

  
 OCTOBER SURPRISE
Honegger: Richard Wirthland, who was the campaign's pollster, had determined that an 'october surprise', which was a successful attempt by Carter to release the hostages and bring them home before the election, would be the death knell to a Reagan/Bush presidency.
Honegger: In late october, as part of my job on the writing staff of the national campaign headquarters, I was required every night to cover the news.
Narrator: The October Surprise was produced by Eric Schwartz, Carolyn Soular, and Dale Lewis of The Other Americas Radio.
www.fiu.edu /~mizrachs/october-surprise.html   (4086 words)

  
 MyDD :: October Surprise Question
"October Surprise" originated with the 1980 election in which the GOP engineered a breakdown in talks between the US and the new Islamic government of Iran.
October Surprise or not, come November 2nd, we'll learn whether or not people in this country are content to live as sheep.
That's not quite the same thing as an October surprise, although I am sure we can agree that his attempt to keep the war going solely for his own political gain was reprehensible, nonetheless.
www.mydd.com /story/2004/8/19/85155/0906   (3088 words)

  
 The October Surprise . . . a special feature program from The Other Americas Radio. Richar
Honegger: Richard Werthlin, who was Ronald Reagan and George Bush's 1980 presidential campaign pollster, had determined that an "October surprise," which was a successful attempt by Jimmy Carter to release the hostages and bring them home before the 1980 election, would be the death knell to a Reagan-Bush presidency.
On October 22, following Carter's lengthy negotiations for the release of the hostages, the Iranians' persistent demand for U.S. weapons was suddenly dropped.
Because of the worry about the "October surprise," that mood had been one of anxiety and tension for a week to a week and a half; and suddenly there was a party atmosphere.
www.skepticfiles.org /socialis/surprise.htm   (3336 words)

  
 THE OCTOBER SURPRISE FILE
Honegger:Richard Werthlin, who was Ronald Reagan and George Bush's 1980 presidential campaign pollster, had determined that an "October surprise," which was a successful attempt by Jimmy Carter to release the hostages and bring them home before the 1980 election, would be the death knell to a Reagan-Bush presidency.
Marshall:We know that the Reagan people were extremely concerned about what they called the "October surprise"; and that Reagan's campaign manager, William Casey, later to become head of the CIA, was running what he called an "intelligence operation" against the Carter camp.
Honegger:In late October, as part of my job on the writing staff of the national campaign headquarters, I was required every night to cover the news.
www.informationclearinghouse.info /article3862.htm   (11205 words)

  
 FOXNews.com - October Is Time for Election 'Surprise' - You Decide 2004
Now that October has arrived and the election is just a month away, speculation is rife among Democrats that President Bush and political mastermind Karl Rove (search) have some tricks up their sleeves.
Perhaps the best late campaign season development might not be an actual surprise in Iraq, but a decline in the violence there.
Bush is no stranger to October surprises; his family has been on the receiving end.
www.foxnews.com /story/0,2933,134315,00.html   (864 words)

  
 October Surprise excerpts from Wilcher letter to Reno
On or about May 21, 1993, Washington attorney Paul Wilcher went to the Department of Justice and hand delivered a letter claiming holdover DOJ employees from the Reagan-Bush era were responsible for a number of government cover ups, unbeknownst to the Attorney General and President Clinton.
The section on the “October Surprise” is detailed, specific, and attributed to a Wilcher client with first hand knowledge, according to the letter.
Yet, hypocritically, he was both one of the key players in the original treason himself, and has been one of the principal movers behind the Congress’s iron-fisted cover up which continues up to the present moment.
www.rumormillnews.com /images/Paul_Wilcher_October_Surprise.htm   (1515 words)

  
 October surprise! - Salon
The October surprise has come, and it's not from Karl Rove.
As John Kerry was speaking at a rally in West Palm Beach, Fla., on Friday, a seemingly healthy and relaxed Osama bin Laden, who hadn't been seen on tape since late last year, emerged in a new videotape first aired on al-Jazeera.
With bin Laden's surprising reappearance just four days before the election, a presidential race that had already been maddeningly close became even tougher to call.
www.salon.com /news/feature/2004/10/29/bin_laden/index.html   (932 words)

  
 AlterNet: Election 2004: What October Surprise?
While the Bush administration would consider almost any scenario that might advance their candidate's second-term fortunes, an October surprise is doubtful, considering these ten surprises they proved remarkably unprepared for.
What's surprising here is not the four-day lag, but the speed with which the announcement was made – a kind of unseemly tip-off to any al-Qaeda figures connected to Ghailani.
Whatever surprises this administration is planning for the coming months, it's hard to imagine an administration that's been as regularly caught off-guard by events as this one.
www.alternet.org /election04/19500   (3272 words)

  
 God's October Surprise
During October 2005, a confluence of sacred moments in many different traditions invites us to pray with or alongside each other and to work together for peace, justice, human rights, and the healing of our wounded earth.
- October 4 to 12 are for Hindus Navarathri (nine nights of spiritual struggle), followed on October 13 by Vijayadashami, the tenth day of spiritual victory.
Then there could be open discussion of the differences, the similarities, the wisdom held in each of the versions of the story.
www.forusa.org /fellowship/may-june_05/waskow.html   (676 words)

  
 Where's the 'October surprise'? - Shuster Reports - MSNBC.com   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-12)
26: Part of the folklore of U.S. presidential elections is the "October surprise" that affects the race.
Part of the folklore of presidential campaigns is the “October surprise.”  And less than a week before the election, the unexpected is indeed happening.
Traditionally, an October surprise is seen as a last-minute political trick to try to influence an election.
msnbc.msn.com /id/6345865   (609 words)

  
 AlterNet: Election 2004: October Surprise: Bush Dodges Major Scandals
The October surprise surely must be that George W. Bush has dodged at least a dozen scandals that probably would have taken down most other presidents.
As of today – at least as of this moment – there has been no dramatic October Surprise orchestrated by the Bush crowd: no invasion of Iran, no capture of Osama bin Laden, no anti-Kerry charge that derails the challenger's campaign.
But Bush and his aides have successfully prevented another sort of October surprise, for in the weeks leading up to E Day a number of inconvenient and uncomfortable questions for Bush have continued to go unanswered.
www.alternet.org /election04/20351   (2170 words)

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