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Topic: Prediction

Related Topics

Earthquake prediction

Time series

Scientific method

Prophecy

Argument from authority

Induction (philosophy)

Experiment

Disjunctive syllogism

Observation

Inductive reasoning

Hypothetical syllogism

Principal components analysis

Norfolk and Western

Prior Analytics

Affirming a disjunct

	Prediction - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
		A prediction of this kind might be valid and useful if the predictor is a knowledgeable person in the field and is employing sound reasoning and accurate data.
		In politics it is common to attempt to predict the outcome of elections (or assess the popularity of politicians) through the use of opinion polls.
		Predictions have often been made, in pre-scientific times and still today, by resorting to paranormal or supernatural means, such as prophecy.
	en.wikipedia.org /wiki/Prediction (1028 words)

	Prediction market - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
		However, Steven Gjerstad (Purdue) in his paper "Risk Aversion, Beliefs, and Prediction Market Equilibrium" [4] has shown that prediction market prices are typically very close to the mean belief of market participants if the distribution of beliefs is smooth (as with a normal distribution, for example).
		In fact, this is not so different from what naturally happens in a prediction market where those who make good predictions do profit at the expense of those who make bad predictions, thus progressively increasing their relative influence on the market through how much money they can bring to bear to back up their predictions.
		A pioneer in the use of prediction market data for commercial research sales, HSX Research, sells research data it gathers from its popular prediction market, Hollywood Stock Exchangeto its studio, advertising agency and financial services clients [11], in addition to licensing its prediction market technology services.
	en.wikipedia.org /wiki/Prediction_market (1810 words)

	Savage Earth: Quake Prediction
		In 1975, the Chinese government made a successful prediction based on precursors like foreshocks, and as a result casualties from a magnitude-7.3 quake in the Haicheng-Yingkow region were relatively light.
		The prediction was based on the observation that earthquakes with magnitudes of about 6.0 had occurred there in 1857, 1881, 1901, 1922, 1934, and 1966.
		A group of Greek scientists claim to be able to predict specific earthquakes based on changes in electrical activity in the ground and say that they have done so three times in the last decade, although their methods and evidence have been sharply criticized.
	www.pbs.org /wnet/savageearth/earthquakes/html/sidebar2.html (670 words)

	Summary of Panel Findings (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-05)
		Predictions of solar and geomagnetic activity are important to various technologies, including the operation of low-Earth orbiting satellites, electric power transmission grids, geophysical exploration, and high-frequency radio communications and radars.
		The prediction technique based on the empirical result that odd-numbered cycles are larger than their preceding cycle, suggests that the next cycle will exceed Cycle 22 and could be larger than Cycle 19.
		Prediction research should be supported and the scientific community encouraged to develop a fundamental understanding of the solar cycle that would provide the basis for physical rather than the present empirical prediction methods.
	www.sel.noaa.gov /info/Cycle23.html (2548 words)

	Earthquake Prediction Information
		Predictions claimed as "successes" may rely on a restatement of well-understood long-term geologic earthquake hazards, or be so broad and vague that they are fulfilled by typical background seismic activity.
		If an unscientific prediction is made, scientists can not state that the predicted earthquake will not occur, because an event could possibly occur by chance on the predicted date, though there is no reason to think that the predicted date is more likely than any other day.
		It may never be possible to predict the exact time when a damaging earthquake will occur, because when enough strain has built up, a fault may become inherently unstable, and any small background earthquake may or may not continue rupturing and turn into a large earthquake.
	www.geophys.washington.edu /SEIS/PNSN/INFO_GENERAL/eq_prediction.html (1183 words)

	PREDICTION (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-05)
		Minimally, prediction is a mere extrapolation of given data into the future (forecasting) or into the past (retrodiction) (see estimation).
		It is usually justified by reference to general theories or models which serve as the basis for drawing inferences from available data to phenomena outside their range.
		Thus, predictions are the conclusions drawn from the premise of available data using theories and models as a kind of syllogistic device (see simulation).
	pespmc1.vub.ac.be /ASC/PREDICTION.html (130 words)

	Branch prediction in the Pentium family (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-05)
		If the prediction turns out to be wrong, then it has to flush the pipeline and discard all calculations that were based on this prediction.
		The branch instruction is predicted to jump next time if the counter is in state 2 or 3, and to not jump if in state 0 or 1.
		The second level in the branch prediction mechanism is constituted of sixteen 2-bit counters of the type in fig.
	x86.ddj.com /articles/branch/branchprediction.htm (1921 words)

	32 failed end of the world predictions for the year 2000
		These prophecies share one factor in common with all of the other predictions that were to come to pass in previous years: In spite of the obvious sincerity of the persons making the prophecies, none actually materialized.
		We have described their alleged predictions as they were reported on the Web, in newspapers, books, etc. We do not have the resources to track down original source material.
		Thomas Chase predicted that the Y2K bug would cause a worldwide electrical failure, trigger a world economic depression, and bring on the Antichrist.
	www.religioustolerance.org /end_wrl10.htm (2600 words)

	"End of the World" predictions in our near future
		Predictions have been made of several events that some Christians believe are related: the second coming of Jesus, the war of Armageddon, the arrival on earth of the Antichrist, the Tribulation, the Rapture, some horrendous natural disaster, etc. Jewish, Islamic, psychic and occult predictions have also been offered as well.
		We hope that by listing many dozens of past predictions all of which have failed, people will realize that some very important individuals have been totally wrong when they predicted the end of the world.
		He predicts that the earth will be hit by from one to many hundreds of comets, ranging in size from 100 meters to near 600 miles in diameter.
	www.religioustolerance.org /end_wrl1.htm (2387 words)

	Qs & As on prediction markets (and decision markets) (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-05)
		A prediction market is a real-money market that floats a deadline-constraint prediction (i.e., an event-driven futures contract) and puts a 0–to–100 price on that contract —price that we understand as the probability of this outcome.
		The nickname prediction markets is given to 'event-driven futures markets' by those who are interested mainly in their predictive power —as opposed to their speculating or hedging aspects.
		Over a long term, these market-generated predictions outsmart the polls, the experts, and the commentariat —in any topic where information can possibly be aggregated by traders.
	www.chrisfmasse.com /2/prediction_markets (652 words)

	Reliability Prediction
		Basically it utilizes known predicted or fielded data from other components similar in nature, in terms of technologies and complexity.
		This method, considered by some to be controversial, is used in the design of equipment to permit a predictive assessment of its reliability.
		The fundamental approach of this document is to commence the development of a reliability prediction, from the discrete component upwards, using specific algorithms for generic electronic components.
	www.mtain.com /relia/relpred.htm (2580 words)

	Prophecy - Prediction
		This type of prophecy is engaged in by everyone, it being an extension of a person's intellect and logical processes.
		Just the slightest change in any of the conditions upon which a prediction was based, can affect the outcome.
		There are a number of prophecies and predictions that have stood the test of time.
	www.newagedirectory.com /pro/prophecy_prediction.htm (339 words)

	The New Yorker: PRINTABLES (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-05)
		The point is that you think he’s not worthy of her, and the prediction is just a way of enhancing your judgment with a pleasant prevision of doom.
		An arresting new prediction means that the expert has discovered a set of interlocking causes that no one else has spotted, and that could lead to an outcome that the conventional wisdom is ignoring.
		Bush Administration loyalists say that their predictions about postwar Iraq were correct, just a little off on timing; pro-invasion liberals who are now trying to dissociate themselves from an adventure gone bad insist that though they may have sounded a false alarm, they erred “in the right direction”—not really a mistake at all.
	www.newyorker.com /printables/critics/051205crbo_books1 (3020 words)

	Sisyphus and protein structure prediction
		By comparison, earlier methods for secondary structure prediction which did not use evolutionary information, such as GOR (Garnier et al., 1996), had an average accuracy of about 60%, and less than 10% of residues were predicted at the same accuracy as homology modelling.
		Predicting the locations of the transmembrane helices is a task comparable to secondary structure prediction.
		To predict 3D structure from sequence is a task challenging enough to have occupied a generation of researchers.
	cubic.bioc.columbia.edu /papers/1997_sisyphus/paper.html (8205 words)

	Structure Prediction (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-05)
		Predictions of secondary structures and inside/outside properties of residues at each position in an aligned sequences are based on generalized rules for globular proteins, which are derived from observations of known 3D-structure of proteins.
		The program shows the regions predicted to be trans-membrane based on the helicity and hydrophobicity of the neighbouring amino acid sequences.
		The system deals with three types of prediction: discrimination of membrane proteins from soluble one, prediction of existence of transmembrane helices and determination of transmembrane helical regions.
	cgat.ukm.my /spores/Predictory/sporulate/structure_prediction.html (1228 words)

	Chris. F. Masse .COM - #1 vortal on prediction markets - Aiming at predicting the future via prediction markets ...
		Predictions for the 2006 U.S. House + Predictions for the 2006 U.S. Senate: The Republicans will retain control of the U.S. Senate in November 2006, but the U.S. House is now close to be a toss up.
		You're now ready to browse the sets of prediction markets, select one, and check the odds of future events that are of interest to you.
		Analytic reports of in-running prediction markets — That's where the beef is —trying to spot the market-generated predictions that are the more likely to be accurate.
	www.chrisfmasse.com (1589 words)

	Prediction Markets
		Also known as information markets, decision markets, idea futures, and virtual markets, prediction markets are speculative markets created for the purpose of making predictions.
		Prediction markets are speculated to be useful decision support tools for corporations.
		The list of companies using prediction markets to tap internal, future-focused knowledge is impressive.
	www.kmcluster.com /sfo/PM/PM.htm (365 words)

	If Word Prediction Can Help, Which
		The concept of word prediction began as a simple assistive tool to reduce the number of keystrokes necessary for individuals with mobility impairment, making it easier to communicate and less fatiguing for the user.
		Word prediction is defined as offering the user a list of words after a word has been typed or selected, based on previous words rather than on the basis of letters.
		Word prediction programs now offer a multitude of prediction strategies including word lists based on spelling and frequency of word usage in the English language; word lists based on word recency, association, and grammar; and finally, word lists based on topic words.
	trace.wisc.edu /docs/wordprediction2001 (1554 words)

	Protein Structure Prediction Center (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-05)
		Prediction Center has moved to the University of California, Davis.
		In addition to support of the CASP meetings our goal is to promote an objective evaluation of prediction methods on a continuing basis.
		CASP experiments aim at establishing the current state of the art in protein structure prediction, identifying what progress has been made, and highlighting where future effort may be most productively focused.
	predictioncenter.gc.ucdavis.edu (232 words)

	USATODAY.com - Manager merry-go-round starts to spin (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-05)
		Prediction: Macha is their man. He will leave Oakland once the season ends to take his dream job.
		•Prediction: Piniella leaves, orchestrating a buyout of his $4.4 million contract, and becomes manager of the Yankees or Orioles.
		Baker is staying in Chicago for the final season of his contract, and then, it may be his choice to see where he wants to go in 2006.
	www.usatoday.com /sports/bbw/columnist/nightengale/2005-09-14-majors_x.htm (1141 words)

	Election Projection - 2004 Edition (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-05)
		The electoral vote count I predicted in July remains unchanged, though I have changed my popular vote prediction a bit.
		Keep in mind as you read that these predictions are separate from the Election Projection.
		These predictions are my subjective opinion of the election's eventual result.
	www.electionprojection.com /state-by-state.html (2400 words)

	Dynamic Branch Prediction (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-05)
		The correct prediction of b1 is due to the choice of d, since there is no obvious correlation in this case.
		Note that since the branch prediction buffer is NOT a cache, there's no guarantee that the predictions correspond to the "correct" branch instruction.
		Then, by definition, the branch is predicted taken (since it has an entry in the BTB) even if the predictor indicates that it should NOT be taken.
	www.csee.umbc.edu /~plusquel/611/slides/chap4_5.html (960 words)

	Technorati Tag: prediction (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-05)
		Psychic Predictions California Psychics is 100% guaranteed to provide mediums hand-picked for accuracy and usefulness.
		I Told You So: Predictions I Told You So helps you register your prediction of what will happen in politics, business, sports or your family.
		Lawro Predicts - Bolton Wanderers Vs Birmingham City Posted by Aff on May 5th, 2006 Well here it is ladies and gentleman.
	technorati.com /tag/prediction (521 words)

	Prediction Market by NewsFutures.com
		Prediction markets help them make better informed decision (e.g., about price, about design, etc.), forecast sales, evaluate alternative projects, or monitor important regulatory developments.
		We offer full-service corporate solutions to businesses and organizations interested in owning a prediction market: design, implementation, hosting, recruiting and operations.
		NewsFutures also develops and operates its own public prediction markets, either alone or in conjunction with global media brands such as The World Economic Forum (aka "Davos").
	us.newsfutures.com /home/company.html (322 words)

	Soccer Prediction (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-05)
		The 'Reality' prediction game - is scheduled to start on Sep 18, 2002.
		Unique among online football prediction games, it allows you and many other players to take part in a competition mirroring the real thing.
		You will suffer the agonies of final predictions and the thrills of watching from the sidelines when only the teams can do it for you.
	www.egyptsports.com /sp/index.shtml?1 (144 words)

	WWW Homepage of Real-time Space Weather Prediction (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-05)
		Geomagnetic storms, characterized by Dst index, are predicted 1 hour ahead from solar wind data using Elman recurrent neural networks.
		The prediction given below is 1 hour in advance, made from the solar wind input parameters (B, By, Bz, N, V).
		The prediction presented here is still in a test phase.
	dmiweb.dmi.dk /fsweb/solar-terrestrial/staff/wu/spwrtpdst.html (295 words)

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