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Topic: Predictive power

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	Predictive Power of Role-play Simulations in Political Science: Experience of an e-Learning tool
		The software itself may have no predictive power, but the analytical results generated by its use are aimed at not only predicting the course of events in a particular case but also to provide educated suggestions to alter the course of their trajectory.
		On the 17th of May the Jakarta Post (SW) reported that President Sukarnoputri declared a state of emergency in Indonesia as a response to the upsurge of violence attributed to GAM in Aceh, and violence in the regions of West Papua and Maluku.
		Analysts do not particularly like giving precise predictions for particular events as it may stretch their credibility when predictions do not prove correct - thus in trying to be realistic they exclude what may seem 'unrealistic'.
	www.simplay.net /papers/RPSpredictive_power.html (4958 words)

	Predictive power - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
		The concept of predictive power differs from explanatory or descriptive power (where phenomena that are already known are retrospectively explained by a given theory) in that it allows a prospective test of theoretical understanding.
		One of the most famous cases of predictive power was the confirmation of Albert Einstein's theory of general relativity.
		The prediction was made by Einstein in 1915 as a logical outcome of his theory, but it could not be tested until a solar eclipse on May 29, 1919, when observations made by the astrophysicist Arthur Eddington which seemingly confirmed Einstein's predictions.
	en.wikipedia.org /wiki/Predictive_power (923 words)

	CA210: Evolution predictions (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-12)
		The difference in predictive power between evolution and other sciences is one of degree, not kind.
		For example, you can predict the future position of an orbiting planet, but your prediction will be off very slightly because you can not consider the effects of all the small bodies in the solar system.
		With predictions such as these and others, evolution can be, and has been, put to practical use in areas such as drug discovery and avoidance of resistant pests.
	www.talkorigins.org /indexcc/CA/CA210.html (608 words)

	Power Company, Calpine, power failure, predictive maintenance
		In the power generation industry, as well as the Calpine Predictive Maintenance Department, downtime expense is calculated in cost-avoidance terms based on the profit from generating a megawatt-hour of electricity plus the avoided cost of repair.
		Committed to providing consistent power to our customers, our primary goal was to reduce forced deratings and outages, both of which are catastrophic events.
		To determine if a piece of equipment is classified as critical, we look at two key criteria: first, it has the potential to cause either a forced outage or a generator derating; or second, the repair/replace cost of the equipment is at a level that’s high enough to justify condition monitoring.
	www.maintenanceworld.com /Articles/calpine/Power-Company-failure.htm (1517 words)

	Reliable Power Meters: Predictive Analysis (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-12)
		RPM has developed a unique technology for comprehensive power monitoring and performing predictive analysis, and is the only monitoring company capable of continuous, real-time predictive analysis on electrical systems.
		The RPM Power Recorder is the only instrument that can capture any event, any size, any length, automatically - this is a major advance over older monitors that are complicated to program, or require trigger levels and thresholds to be set.
		Since it is impossible to predict the size, or the length, or the number of events in all situations, previous types of monitors often missed important data.
	www.reliablemeters.com /html/analysis.html (1034 words)

	Occam's razor - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
		Originally a tenet of the reductionist philosophy of nominalism, it is more often taken today as a heuristic maxim that advises economy, parsimony, or simplicity in scientific theories.
		Furthermore, when multiple competing theories have equal predictive powers, the principle recommends selecting those that introduce the fewest assumptions and postulate the fewest hypothetical entities.
		Other theistic arguments, such as the argument from miracles, are sometimes pejoratively said to be arguing for a mere God of the gaps.
	en.wikipedia.org /wiki/Occam%27s_Razor (4703 words)

	Power predictive (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-12)
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	www.mmius.com /digitalsite/_private/mmius/power-predictive.htm (255 words)

	MercuryNews.com \| 05/30/2004 \| PREDICTIVE POWER
		Opinion polls wouldn't be out for days, but the prediction market was buzzing almost immediately, with die-hard political speculators casting bets about whether President Bush would be re-elected and whether the United States really would turn over sovereignty to the Iraqis on June 30.
		The prediction market can also be driven by players who have inside information that allows them to bet more accurately.
		One of the more interesting prediction market trades in recent years allowed speculators to bet on whether weapons of mass destruction would be found in Iraq.
	www.analycorp.com /predictive_power.htm (1618 words)

	Predictive Power Estimators In Cdma Closed Loop Power Control (ResearchIndex) (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-12)
		Methods of designing optimized and partially-optimized power estimators, based on the Wiener model, for complexvalued signals are presented.
		Our application is predictive received power level estimation in closed loop transmitter power control of mobile CDMA communications systems.
		Prediction of Received Signal Power in CDMA Cellular..
	citeseer.ist.psu.edu /335601.html (412 words)

	The Power of Predictive Analytics by Austin Logistics - CRMXchange
		The Power of Predictive Analytics by Austin Logistics - CRMXchange
		Predictive analytics-based technologies allow companies to replace unreliable guesswork and ad hoc rules-based decision-making with intelligent, scientifically generated action plans that simplify the growing complexity of customer data analysis.
		Predictive analytic applications, on the other hand, can segment callers based on the potential value of the interaction and the relationship, enabling you to know before a call is routed which calls deserve agent attention.
	www.crmxchange.com /sessions/crm/nov06_3.asp (696 words)

	Predictive Power in ZhurnalWiki
		Look at the stock market mavens, who every day have a different explanation (or the same explanation, spun differently) for why prices went up, or down, or stayed unchanged.
		Look at the social "scientists" who tell just-so stories purporting to predict cultural developments or interrelationships among groups.
		Look at the politicians who, depending on their audience, shift their positions like a weathervane in a whipping wind.
	zhurnal.net /ww/zw?PredictivePower (272 words)

	USAutodialer.com Automatic dialer Software, Autodialer
		Predictive dialing “counts” on the fact that there will be a statistical certainty that a number of “dials” will not result in a contact.
		A predictive dialer’s main benefit is simple—the system automatically screens out all calls placed to phone numbers which result in a no answers, busy signal, and in some cases, answering machine—delivering calls to agents ONLY when a live person answers the phone.
		Predictive dialing solutions are generally very expensive and only make economic sense when there are large numbers of calls to make.
	www.usautodialer.com /PredictiveDialer.html (3051 words)

	Dover Community News: Calypso to help Predictive Power launch revolutionary process
		Predictive Power offers U.S. and foreign utilities and manufacturers a breakthrough portfolio of systems that enables aggressive reductions in energy generation and transmission failures.
		Predictive Power’s products, the result of more than 15 years of utility-sponsored research into the monitoring and condition assessment of power transformers conducted at the MIT High Voltage Research Laboratory, will help power generators improve the reliability and reduce costs of their substation infrastructure.
		John Malloy, Predictive Power’s CEO, acknowledged that its reputation in the technology and energy sectors first attracted him to Calypso.
	www.seacoastonline.com /2003news/dover/d8_1biz2.htm (460 words)

	Predictive Dialer Systems - Next Century Auto Dialer and Predictive Dialer telemarketing systems for business.
		Our Next Century Systems Predictive Dialer can play a pre-recorded message, mark a telephone number as a fax, answering machine, disconnected number, etc. The live agent can click on "Dial" at any time to begin dialing again.
		Each station may draw from its own database, or each station Next Century Systems Predictive Dialer may be connected to a server to access a contact manager or central database of telephone numbers.
		The Next Century Systems Predictive Dialer can generate reports on the fly which include the number of calls, length of call, timing between calls.
	www.nextcenturytalk.com /predictive/index.html (413 words)

	Can Markets Predict Elections? - Mises Institute (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-12)
		I would like to suggest, however, that even if Surowiecki is correct about a certain reluctance from the traditional private sector, prediction markets will not achieve their full potential until they incorporate the power of profit-seeking self-interest, which can only be found in the private world of risk and reward.
		The prediction market advocates would certainly agree with Hayek's elaboration, but they have lost track of the original argument that Hayek was trying to elaborate.
		The more limits that are placed on the profit potential of prediction markets, the more limits are being put on their predictive power.
	www.mises.org /fullstory.aspx?control=1575 (3200 words)

	Managing Toxicology for the Furture: Improving Predictive Power Through Integrated Technologies
		In particular, the ability to predict the safety of a drug in the preclinical stage, prior to human testing, has been one of the major bottlenecks in drug development.
		Current approaches have serious limitations in their ability to predict toxicity in humans, and thus invite substantial risk not only in terms of patient welfare, but also in terms of the cost of late-stage clinical trial failure.
		Appreciate the imperative for radically new tools and paradigms to improve the predictive power of toxicology models through a detailed discussion of research activities aimed at developing, validating, and applying novel approaches.
	www.bioportfolio.com /reports/DMD_Managing_Toxicology.htm (571 words)

	Vjyotish - The personalized astrological planner
		It can provide you date-wise predictions for more than 250 aspects of your life, like wealth, sudden-gains, speculation, honours, sexual behaviour, education, journeys, intelligence, personality traits, health and many-many more subtle areas of your life.
		The innovative is the 'concept' and 'method' of drawing a net astrological conclusion in precise numerical terms, called as 'net astrological effect', by mathematically quantifying various key astrological parameters.
		Vjyotish is the most powerful personalized astrological planner for scheduling the critical decisions of your day-to-day life.
	www.howisyourdaytoday.com /WhatIsVJ.htm (1025 words)

	Someplace Somewhere - Predictive Power of Markets (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-12)
		But the intended payouts from DARPA were low so as not to give an incentive to "predict" something and pull it off as a way to make a living.
		I don't think one could make many predictions here, as I'd be quite willing to bet that the market was manipulated by people who went in and bought stock in some no-name penny-stock starlet, then registered a new name, bought the same penny-stock starlet, driving up the market.
		Obviously one cannot predict a calamity, like an earthquake, but in due diligence, one would weigh in how able the company was to deal with the earthquake.
	www.someplacesomewhere.com /topic.asp?TOPIC_ID=26280 (1821 words)

	The Persistence and Predictive Power of the Dividend-Price Ratio
		The Persistence and Predictive Power of the Dividend-Price Ratio
		When the dividend-price ratio is I(0), it can have predictive power for future stock returns by the force of the cointegration relation between dividends and stock prices.
		This relation between the persistence and the predictive power of the dividend-price ratio is well observed not only in the US but also in Japan, although the underlying causes and directions of the change in persistence appear different in the two countries.
	ideas.repec.org /p/nus/nusewp/wp0603.html (1060 words)

	FCI-Burndy Partners with Predictive Power
		FCI-Burndy, Manchester, N.Y., has announced a sales partnership with Predictive Power Services, a provider of automated predictive maintenance and monitoring solutions.
		By entering into this partnership, FCI-Burndy's experience in the marketplace will be combined with Predictive Powers' knowledge and comprehensive solutions for the electric utility and industrial markets.
		This partnership with Predictive Power, Somerville, Mass., is a strategic move for FCI-Burndy.
	ewweb.com /mag/electric_fciburndy_partners_predictive/index.html (170 words)

	Quantitative counting of predictive power
		In fact, there\'s a quantitative way to see how good a theory\nandgt; is. Take the amount of information (measured in bits, or digits if you\nandgt; prefer) required to specify the theory (and any auxiliary parameters,\nandgt; for example, a point in the landscape) and compare this to the\nandgt; amount of information correctly predicted by the theory.
		This decision requires\nus to know which experiments are just minor copies of some previous\nexperiments, and which ones have the potential to give completely new\ndata.
		theory is determined by the accuracy of the predictions that a given
	www.physicsforums.com /showthread.php?threadid=44527 (875 words)

	Citebase - Predictive power of renormalisation group flows: a comparison (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-12)
		Predictive power of renormalisation group flows: a comparison
		The predictive power of this approach is constrained because the flow is not an exact one.
		We discuss various implications of these findings, in particular in view of the predictive power of the proper-time renormalisation group.
	citebase.eprints.org /cgi-bin/citations?id=oai:arXiv.org:hep-th/0107020 (1054 words)

	Spotback - The Inverted Yield Curve's Predictive Power
		Based on the yield curve alone, a recession is a 40-50% possibility.
		"In the past cases of the yield curve’s successful “predictions” of future recession, the stock market was either flat or dropped sharply.
		The WSJ notes that "Those predictions are at odds with the consensus among economic forecasters.
	news.spotback.com /story/5077301/The_Inverted_Yield_Curves_Predictive_Power (955 words)

	ProfessorBainbridge.com: On the predictive power of markets (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-12)
		I just noted a Larry Ribstein post that relies on the predictive power of markets; a sentiment seemingly shared by Steve Verdon:
		Remember these markets tend to have somewhat better predictive power than standard political polls.
		Try emulating what economic historian Deirdre McCloskey (who is herself an interesting story) calls "the lawyerly rhetoric" of Nobel economics laureate Ronald Coase.
	www.professorbainbridge.com /2004/09/on_the_predicti.html (998 words)

	For those interested in the predictive power of dreams. . . - ForumGarden
		For those interested in the predictive power of dreams.
		It is full of examples of dreams that predicted the future.
		The most famous of course is the story of Joseph and his brothers.
	www.forumgarden.com /forums/showthread.php?t=4100 (151 words)

	The Predictive Power of Noisy Round-Robin Tournaments
		A noisy round-robin tournament adds the possibility of upsets, or noise, and hence reduces the power of the tournament to reveal the true ranking of the players.
		In this article we study theoretically (analytically and by way of computational simulations) the predictive power of noisy round-robin tournaments for three prominent distributions of players’ abilities, as a function of the level of noise and the number of players.
		At first sight, some of our results (e.g., non-monotonicity as a function of the number of players N, which makes some ranges of N non-optimal) are quite counterintuitive but should be of help to a tournament designer who tries to maximize, or maybe minimize, the probability of the best player winning.
	ideas.repec.org /p/cer/papers/wp236.html (323 words)

	Airline Security, Terrorist Profile, Predictive Power (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-12)
		Let's just say that profiling is patterning, finding characteristics which create a pattern that leads to a certain predictive power and a higher probability of finding the truth you seek.
		Finding predictive patterns has, for a long time, been part of the standard intelligence tests administered to children of school age.
		"Governments are instituted among men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed.
	www.proconservative.net /PCVol4Is73Profiling.shtml (1283 words)

	AMCAT Predictive Power Dialler: UK hard/ soft IP predictive power diallers with TPS compliance for UK predictive call ...
		AMCAT Predictive Power Dialler: UK hard/ soft IP predictive power diallers with TPS compliance for UK predictive call centre VoIP dialling.
		Predictive Diallers uses sophisticated software algorithms to maximise the productivity and efficiency of outbound contact centre campaigns.
		Flexible architecture - Concurrent dialling campaigns can be operated in predictive, power, preview, manual or unattended dialler mode.
	www.amcat.co.uk /products/keytechnologies/predictivedialing.asp (391 words)

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