| |
| | EconLog, The Budget Debate, VI, Arnold Kling: Library of Economics and Liberty |
 | | Moreover, since the US treasury is assumed to have virtually zero default risk and thus borrows at the risk-free rate, the nominal rate should be the time value of the money (the real rate) plus the nominal inflation rate, which pegs the inflation expectation the CBPP is using at near 5%. |
 | | To the extent that discounting is appropriate, it is appropriate to discount at the real rate, both for the reasons Arnold states, and because the only opportunity cost of the money is prepaying debt; none of the other government expenditures contemplated are going to increase national income the way private investments do. |
 | | The interest rate and inflation assumptions are not the scam as much (as Jim Glass has pointed out in another forum) as the "75 year cut off". |
| econlog.econlib.org /archives/2003/03/the_budget_deba_1.html (4464 words) |
|