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Topic: Slight Risk Of Severe Thunderstorms


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In the News (Tue 17 Nov 09)

  
 [No title]   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-26)
Slight Risk (of severe thunderstorms) - Severe thunderstorms are expected to affect between 2 and 5 percent of the area.
Moderate Risk (of severe thunderstorms) - Severe thunderstorms are expected to affect between 5 and 10 percent of the area.
A high risk is rare, and implies an unusually dangerous situation and usually the possibility of a major severe weather outbreak.
pages.cthome.net /hadlyme/wx2slgt.html   (106 words)

  
 NEWS   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-26)
There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms in west Texas and parts of the southeast today as southwest flow aloft carries short wave energy along the stationary front.
Thunderstorms are expected to develop along and ahead of a cold front in west Kansas this afternoon and evening.
There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms over the west half of KY and TN,  as well as a portion of the east coast today.
www.convectionobsession.com /NEWS.html   (1553 words)

  
 [No title]
Thunderstorms are expected to develop or move into northwest Georgia during the evening hours and spread southeast into the Atlanta and Athens areas mainly after midnight and to the mid-state area by daybreak Saturday.
Supercell thunderstorms with large hail, damaging winds, and possibly tornadoes are expected with the greatest threat north of a Carrollton to Cumming to Clayton line.
There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms mainly across the central portion of the state on Saturday.
www.11alive.com /news/news_article.aspx?storyid=78313   (295 words)

  
 Tribal dancers a step ahead of weather forecasters
Hearing that the host city was in a severe drought, the children performed a traditional "lightning and thunder dance," and within about 24 hours, had their desired results.
At 10:05 a.m., the weather service issued a "severe weather outlook" that called for a "slight risk of severe thunderstorms across the region" for the afternoon and evening, citing a "near-tropical and unstable air mass" in the upper Ohio valley.
Of the 33 severe thunderstorm and flash-flood warnings across the region, reports indicated that in 28, damage occurred while the warnings were in effect.
www.post-gazette.com /regionstate/19990729nonotice2.asp   (795 words)

  
 USATODAY.com   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-26)
The risk areas come in four varieties and are based on the expected number of severe thunderstorm reports per geographical area.
MDT risks imply a greater concentration of severe thunderstorms, and in most situations, greater magnitude of severe weather.
The HIGH risk area almost always means a major severe weather outbreak is expected, with great coverage of severe weather and enhanced likelihood of extremely severe conditions (i.e., violent tornadoes or unusually intense damaging wind events).
www.usatoday.com /weather/tornado/wrisklvl.htm   (293 words)

  
 West Virginia Lightning - Severe Weather Outlook
zone, thunderstorms are expected to occur, with a chance for scattered severe thunderstorms.
zone, thunderstorms are expected to occur, with many of them expected to be severe.
A more typical example of a severe weather day in our region was August 26, 2003 when very strong thunderstorms were expected to form over Ohio later in the evening.
wvlightning.com /svr.shtml   (869 words)

  
 Severe Weather Information Table
SLIGHT RISK: Severe thunderstorms are expected to be few or isolated.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING A severe thunderstorm is imminent or occurring; it is either detected by weather radar or reported by storm spotters.
A severe thunderstorm is one that produces winds 58 mph or stronger and/or hail 3/4 inch in diameter or larger.
home.ptd.net /~steveric/Severe_Weather_Information_Table.html   (857 words)

  
 Westport Now: WN Weather Alert: Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms
WN Weather Alert: Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms
The Storm Prediction Center has placed the tri-state region in a slight risk for severe thunderstorms for later today, according to the National Weather Service.
The main threat for severe weather would be in the form of hail and strong winds.
www.westportnow.com /archives/008570.htm   (182 words)

  
 AFT 202 On-Line Study Module 4   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-26)
Thunderstorm and severe weather forecasting is a very important part of flight planning, but it is also a very important part of meteorology as a whole.
Severe thunderstorm and tornado watches are short-term forecasts ("nowcasts") of potential severe weather.
A thunderstorm is of course one of the worst enemies of a pilot.
www.delta.edu /teklingl/aft202/aft202.study4.html   (2700 words)

  
 The Plainfield Tornado   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-26)
In the summer months, severe thunderstorms are always possible in our region, but we had no idea what was going to happen on the afternoon of August 28th 1990.
This thunderstorm complex continued to move southeast where it continued to produce damage in the form of large hail and damaging winds as it moved into Northwestern indiana.
This radar could pick up many features of a severe thunderstorm including the famous "hook echo." With this advanced radar, and many other tools gives forecasters more lead time to forecast and to predict major severe weather events, thus giving the public more time to get to safety.
www.nislwx.com /coverstory2.html   (1432 words)

  
 CapitalWeather.com - The Power Center for Washington DC Weather
The rain may decrease a bit early in the afternoon although there is a chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon, especially south and east of Washington.
The Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma has identified our area as having a slight risk of severe thunderstorms.
While it should remain mild Friday, there is a much better chance of showers and thunderstorms (a few of which could be heavy) as a cold front approaches.
www.capitalweather.com /2005/03/stormy-start-to-week-ahead.jsp   (409 words)

  
 June 11, 1997
There is also a slight risk of severe thunderstorms this afternoon and tonight across much of central and western Oklahoma and western north Texas.
The slight risk area extends north and west of a line from Calvin to Pauls Valley to Windthorst, Texas.
Severe weather along with heavy rain producing local flooding are possible in southeast Kansas from these storms.
www.stormtrack.org /library/logs/lg061197.htm   (1287 words)

  
 [No title]
THE GREATEST RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IS WEST OF A LINE FROM AINSWORTH TO BROKEN BOW.
THE GREATEST RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IS WEST OF A LINE FROM BASSETT TO BROKEN BOW.
THE RISK AREA IS NORTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM MERRIMAN TO BROKEN BOW WITH THE GREATEST RISK NORTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM AINSWORTH TO O'NEILL.
www.nebraskaclimateoffice.unl.edu /weather.advisory.Jul98   (14802 words)

  
 GermanSereveWeather
However, though one might have seen (including much conjecture!) that the environment may be conductive to severe thunderstorms, it would still have been questionable whether the storms would initiate.
I think, from the perspective of a forecast such as a convective outlook, a GEN TSTM outlook with a mention that there appears to be some potential for severe storms, which is too conditional and isolated to warrent a slight risk would have been appropriate.
Several storms initiated in the lee of the Alps, the fl forrest and similar terrain features in south Germany.
www.germansevereweather.de /verification.html   (2147 words)

  
 Special Weather Statements - NOAA's National Weather Service
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN CENTRAL MISSOURI AND MOVE EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE EVENING HOURS.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THIS BOUNDARY AND MOVE EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE EVENING HOURS.
SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED...BUT SOME OF THE STRONGEST STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH.
www.nws.noaa.gov /view/prodsByState.php?state=IL&prodtype=special   (2061 words)

  
 Weather Advisory & Warning Thresholds
Within a high risk area, expect at least 20 tornadoes with at least 2 of them rated F3+, or an extreme derecho causing 50+ widespread wind events (50+) with numerous higher end wind (80+ mph) and structural damage reports
Within a moderate risk area, at least 30 reports of hail 1 inch or larger, or 6-19 tornadoes, or numerous wind events (30 that might be associated with a squall line, bow echo or derecho) are forecast
Within a slight risk area, 5-29 reports of 1 inch of larger hail, and/or 3-5 tornadoes, and/or 5-29 wind events are forecast.
www.mke-skywarn.org /thresholds.htm   (457 words)

  
 [No title]   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-26)
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening...then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight.
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening...then partly cloudy after midnight.
www.neighborhoodlink.com /forecast/997168125.html   (78 words)

  
 High Risk Forecast Days Prior to 2000   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-26)
General (non-severe) thunderstorms, slight risk of severe thunderstorms, moderate risk of severe thunderstorms, and high risk of severe thunderstorms.
This archive focuses on those days when a high risk was included in the outlook, because a high risk is only issued when the forecasters expect a major (perhaps even historical) tornado outbreak and/or damaging convective windstorm (derecho).
There were a couple of tornadoes in addition to some severe wind and hail, but severe weather was not widespread enough to justify a high risk.
sphs.angeltowns.net /A_R_Wehrle/pasthighrisk.html   (2554 words)

  
 Color Coded Weather Risks   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-26)
GREEN - INDICATES A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
A SLIGHT RISK MEANS THAT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE BUT ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW IN COVERAGE AND ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO BE MARGINALLY SEVERE.
A SLIGHT RISK IS SEEN FREQUENTLY IN THE SUMMER MONTHS WHERE INSTABILITY IS HIGH AND WIND SHEAR IS LOW SETTING THE SITUATION SINGLECELL OR MULTICELL PULSE TYPE THUNDERSTORMS.
www.nislwx.com /colorcode.html   (121 words)

  
 Today's THV KTHV Little Rock
There is a chance of severe weather in most of Arkansas Tuesday afternoon and evening.
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop along and ahead of the front.
There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms with the front.
www.todaysthv.com /printfullstory.aspx?storyid=15805   (128 words)

  
 June 23rd, 2004 Severe Weather Outbreak   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-26)
It was rather cool and dry for most of the day, not the oppressively warm and humid conditions that would precede a "textbook" tornado outbreak.
(and earlier outlooks) had much of southern and central Wisconsin in a slight risk of severe thunderstorms, with the chance of isolated large hail/high wind and perhaps 1 or 2 tornadoes.
The supercell that moved across Dane County spawned three tornadoes-an F0 in the northwest part of the county, an F1 that downed numerous trees and unroofed several buildings on the southwest side of Madison, and another F1 that damaged trees and outbuildings in Jefferson and Walworth counties.
sphs.angeltowns.net /A_R_Wehrle/stormaccounts/062304.html   (571 words)

  
 Storm Prediction Center Convective Outlooks
Forecast Risk of Severe Storms: No Svr Tstms Note:The 10% and greater probability thunder line is not included on the Day 3 Outlook.
Note:The day 4-8 severe thunderstorm outlooks are experimental.
Note:The Enhanced Thunderstorm Outlooks are experimental and we are seeking comments from April 1, 2006 to September 1, 2006.
www.spc.noaa.gov /products/outlook   (122 words)

  
 Brownfield: Thunderstorm Potential   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-26)
Friday, there is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms across portions of southern Texas.
For Saturday, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible along part of the western Gulf coast.
On Sunday, a slight risk of severe thunderstorms will be found across parts of the southwestern Corn Belt and lower Missouri Valley.
www.brownfieldnetwork.com /gestalt/go.cfm?objectid=C7AF6002-9D59-4071-70E43073A7C01A82   (124 words)

  
 [No title]
THE GREATEST RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER IN THIS OUTLOOK AREA IS THIS MORNING.
POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN WESTERN DOUGLAS...SARPY AND NORTHWEST CASS COUNTIES TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST OF OMAHA.
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM CURTIS TO THEDFORD TO ONEILL.
www.nebraskaclimateoffice.unl.edu /weather.advisory.Oct98   (3088 words)

  
 [No title]   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-26)
SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 1100 AM CST SAT FEB 24 2001 THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING.
www.stansweather.net /2001/02-24-01-SWSLSX.txt   (131 words)

  
 Storm Chasing! - Chase Logs - 12-Aug-2002   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-26)
The storm created Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Whiteside, Carroll, and Stevenson county.
The Area was under a Slight Risk for Severe Thunderstorms.
Remember a Severe Wind is sustained above 58 mph and Severe Hail is any hail above 3/4 inch in diameter.
www.vassmer.com /stormchasing/2002-08-12.html   (137 words)

  
 Brownfield: Severe Weather Outlook   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-26)
Wednesday, there is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms across much of the western Corn Belt and western Great Lakes region.
For Thursday, isolated severe thunderstorms are expected across the southwestern and central Corn Belt.
On Friday, a slight risk of severe thunderstorms will be found on part of the northern Plains.
www.brownfieldnetwork.com /gestalt/go.cfm?objectid=78BC4B32-D77F-4F18-76276743287DF5E0   (110 words)

  
 [Wakeares-mail] WX ALERT
THE MAIN THREAT FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE HAIL UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER.
AFTER AN INITIAL ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVES NORTHEAST OF THE AREA BY SUNRISE...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE FOOTHILLS LATE THIS MORNING.
CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME LOCALLY STRONG TO SEVERE.
www.rtpnet.org /pipermail/wakeares-mail/2003-April/000045.html   (731 words)

  
 Wyoming - Special Weather Statements   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-26)
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS.
THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
iwin.nws.noaa.gov /iwin/wy/special.html   (772 words)

  
 [No title]   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-26)
THE RISK AREA IS GENERALLY EAST OF A MEMPHIS TO POST LINE.
ALSO THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH PLAINS THIS EVENING...GENERALLY EAST OF TULIA TO SHALLOWATER TO BROWNFIELD LINE.
THE OUTLOOK FOR THIS AREA IS MARGINAL FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AND IS NOT INCLUDED IN THE RISK AREA.
www.comet.ucar.edu /resources/cases/c31_18apr2000/tx_warn.txt   (590 words)

  
 Westport Now: Weather Alert: Risk for Severe Thunderstorms Later Today
risk for severe thunderstorms for later today, the National Weather Service said.
Any thunderstorms that develop may contain large hail and gusty winds.
The threat of severe weather will end late this evening as the cold front pushes offshore, according to a mid-morning advisory.
www.westportnow.com /archives/008640.htm   (99 words)

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