| | Lead-Lag Relationship between the Real Estate Spot and Forward Contracts Markets Journal of Real Estate Portfolio ... (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-31) |
 | | The findings suggest that (1) during periods of low-volume ratios (i.e., the forward market is relatively less active than the spot market), the spot return Granger causes the returns of forward contracts; and (2) during periods of higher-volume ratios, there are feedback relationships between the two markets. |
 | | Their ideas are that although a formal futures market for direct property does not exist, developers can carry out preoccupation sales (pre-sales1) of new developments well before occupation, so as to transfer their financial risk and gauge the market value of properties. |
 | | Theoretically, both spot and futures contracts reflect the same aggregate value of the underlying assets and, if instantaneous arbitrage is possible, spot and futures prices should be perfectly contemporaneously correlated. |
| www.findarticles.com /p/articles/mi_qa3759/is_200509/ai_n15936018 (887 words) |