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Topic: Swing vote

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In the News (Sat 23 Mar 19)

  Online NewsHour | Vote 2004 | Politics 101 | Swing Voters
Sometimes swing voters are thought of as a large group like this election year's much-discussed "NASCAR dads." Sometimes voters are considered part of a "swing" population because they are residents of a swing state, like Florida.
Most of the swing voters are between the ages of 30 and 49, live in suburbs and have some college education, The Washington Post reported.
The "swing factor," according to the political newsletter, The Hotline, "is a statistical measure used in order to determine where and with which sub-group the race is unpredictable.
www.pbs.org /newshour/vote2004/politics101/politics101_swingvoters.html   (1048 words)

  Swing vote - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Swing vote is a term used to describe a vote that may go to any of a number of candidates in an election.
While the swing voter is ostensibly the target of most political activity during elections, in countries without compulsory voting the political parties know that the shift from one party to another is dependent only to a small extent on swing voters.
In general, many centrists, liberal Republicans and conservative Democrats are considered "swing voters" since they could vote one way or the other and cannot be counted on for certain to vote with the rest of the members of their party.
en.wikipedia.org /wiki/Swing_vote   (638 words)

 Summary of Findings: Swing Vote Smaller Than Usual, But Still Sizable   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-06)
But the swing vote, while smaller in relative terms, is still substantial and certainly large enough for a presidential candidate to win a big victory.
In the current survey, the swing vote group includes more Democrats than Republicans (36% vs. 18%), but that balance has fluctuated greatly over the past few months, as might be expected with voters who do not have strong political preferences.
Among swing voters, 32% pick the economy as the most important issue for the candidates to discuss; 31% of those certain of their choice say the same.
people-press.org /reports/display.php3?ReportID=217   (1622 words)

 VotePair || FAQs
Through Vote Pairing, Green Party members, Independents, Libertarians and others sympathetic to the David Cobb, Ralph Nader and Michael Badnarik candidacies in swing states register their personal decision to vote for Kerry-Edwards while Democrats in safe states register their personal decision to vote for Cobb, Nader or Badnarik.
Second, we know that some swing state supporters of third party candidates who are not on their state's official ballot are planning to write in their first choice candidates, and we want these voters to be able to participate in strategic voting through votepair.org.
There simply is no violation of the spirit of "one person, one vote." When each voter goes into the voting booth, he or she votes his or her conscience, taking into consideration all the facts important to that individual, including whether or not to abide by a vote pairing agreement.
votepair.org /faq.php   (4286 words)

 Catholic Voter
Depending on the size of this swing vote, it can be very important in elections.
For a long time, these votes were taken for granted by the Democratic Party since most of these voters were blue collar workers, often union members, and often part of machine politics in large cities such as New York, Boston and Chicago.
And, it is an organized vote, a vote that represents a significant vote in national, state and local elections.
www.catholicvoter.us   (475 words)

 A Hidden Swing Vote: Evangelicals   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-06)
And in terms of the electorate as a whole, it's hardly fair to say evangelicals are a dominant political force.
The high-income group (about the same size as the evangelicals) votes Republican by an 18-point margin, while the low-income group favors Democrats by 24 percentage points.
If the Republicans were to lose their 18-point advantage among the affluent, it would cost them about four percentage points nationwide in the election, more than twice the cost if they were to lose their edge among evangelicals.
www.agreeley.com /articles/swingvote.html   (569 words)

 Northpinellas: Swing vote snuffs rights ordinance
Her "no" vote was the difference in a 4-3 defeat of the proposal, which would have protected residents from discrimination based on race, gender, religion, sexual orientation, and gender identity or expression.
For Halvorsen, she said, it came to down confusion in the community and the fact that several groups, such as the Chamber of Commerce, didn't have enough time to consider the idea or lodge objections to it.
Pat Gerard, who voted for the ordinance, said she was disappointed but is glad for the conversations that resulted.
www.sptimes.com /2003/08/07/Northpinellas/Swing_vote_snuffs_rig.shtml   (1010 words)

If my voting strategy in national elections is based on not giving complete control of Congress to one party or the other, I'm in a world of hurt.
My view of the current state of national government is that the moderate swing voters gave Republicans power in a time of war to prevent changing hands in the middle of a delicate time.
Even though I'd rather vote for someone than against someone else, when presidential margins come down to a few hundred votes, I may have to relax that stance a bit.
www.swing-vote.com   (3457 words)

 WLJ - Crooks emerges as court’s key swing vote
The voting of the court this term, Justice Louis B. Butler's first, marks a significant shift from the court's previous term, in which Justice Patience Drake Roggensack was most often in the majority, and Chief Justice Shirley S. Abrahamson was most frequently among the dissenters.
In the 2002-03 term, retired Justice William Bablitch was the key swing vote in four to three cases, and was in the majority most often.
The problem with those of us on the outside guessing why a justice voted a particular way is that the internal discussions both on these and prior cases, along with extensive research and writing, often have the most impact on an ultimate vote.
www.wislawjournal.com /archive/2005/0824/court.html   (1286 words)

 The Israel Swing Factor: How the American Jewish Vote Influences U.S. Elections, by Jeffrey S. Helmreich
The voting pattern of Jews nationwide more or less mirrored that of the previous two elections, suggesting that there was no particularly strong reaction to either of the candidates that offset party loyalties.
Given that this electorate is concentrated in swing states that hold the key to national elections, where Jews may number as much as 5 percent of the potential voters, the Israel swing factor may indeed be decisive.
For the time being, the Arab swing vote draws neither the numbers of votes, nor the positions of candidates, that would be necessary to significantly undermine the clout of the Israel swing factor, though this could change in future elections.
www.jcpa.org /jl/vp446.htm   (5192 words)

 Summary of Findings: Swing Voters Slow to Decide, Still Cross-Pressured   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-11-06)
In addition, more swing voters who have moved toward Kerry say Iraq is the most important issue in their vote (21% vs. 11% among those moving to Bush).
But fewer remaining swing voters say they are "absolutely certain" to vote, and those who are still in the swing category are less likely to say they have thought "quite a lot" about the election (64% vs. 77% of recently decided voters).
Overwhelming majorities of these voters remain set in their voting decisions: 95% of certain voters are still firmly behind the president, while about the same number of committed Kerry supporters (94%) say they are certain to vote for him.
people-press.org /reports/display.php3?ReportID=231   (1397 words)

 Death may swing vote on the euro
Indeed, there was a political undertone to the mourning, with “yes” buttons clipped to many of the roses laid in front of the Stockholm department store where the minister was fatally stabbed.
As a result, Swedes may vote “yes” to honour her memory.
It seems certain that Swedes will vote in force, if only to show that they are not intimidated by political violence.
www.propagandamatrix.com /110903lindh.html   (589 words)

 Daylight Atheism > We Are the Swing Vote
With Democrats and Republicans voting largely along party lines, the election hinged on independents, who split 57 percent to 39 percent for Democrats, according to an exit poll conducted for U.S. television networks.
On the contrary, whatever motivational effect this tactic had on their core supporters was more than compensated for by the fact that it repulsed a far larger percentage of independent swing voters who turned away from the Republicans and delivered the election to the Democrats.
If the non-religious are truly becoming a key swing vote, this is likely to be devastating to the Republican party's electoral hopes, and that makes it a hopeful sign indeed for the future of America.
www.daylightatheism.org /2006/11/we-are-the-swing-vote.html   (1103 words)

 Rolling Stone : The Swing Vote
But Kerry hopes to swing them based on his record in Vietnam, Bush's mismanagement of the war in Iraq and the president's failure to fund veterans' programs.
One scintilla of the vote that he got in 2000 could swing a state this time around." Last time, Nader drew five percent of the vote in Maine and nearly tipped Oregon, Washington, Wisconsin and Minnesota to Bush.
Bush is trying to swing old-school Southern Democrats who identify with Zell Miller, the Georgia senator who gave the keynote at the Republican National Convention.
www.rollingstone.com /politics/story/6477828/the_swing_vote   (1773 words)

 Swing Vote, December 8, 2004
Last week, Mayor Williams won the first vote on the ballpark financing legislation by promising Council Chairman Linda Cropp that he would meet with Major League Baseball and renegotiate some of the worst aspects of the lousy deal that he had made.
At the Council meeting prior to the vote, the mayor was in the audience in the council chamber.
But the mayor, true to his history of dealing with the council, broke his word almost immediately after the first vote was held and he had gotten what he wanted.
www.dcwatch.com /themail/2004/04-12-08.htm   (1723 words)

 Driving Votes - Get Educated. Registering voters in swing states is the most effective way to defeat Bush.
A swing state is a state where the outcome of the election is uncertain.
There is no hard and fast definition of a swing state; we define swing states as states where the margin between Gore and Bush in the 2000 presidential election was less than 10%.
This means that an individual vote in the smallest states counts more than the individual vote of someone in a state with a large population.
www.drivingvotes.org /educate.shtml   (521 words)

The Jewish community, with its acute interest in protecting a besieged Israel, might have a higher proportion of swing voters, although the partisan breakdown of the Jewish "committeds" is different, with the Democrats enjoying a big advantage.
An informal survey of Democratic and Republican activists this week suggested that the Jewish swing vote could be as high as 20 percent.
Jewish swing voters, most experts agree, tend to be "security hawks" on Mideast matters, and tend to be the most active in Jewish political and communal affairs.
www.jewishjournal.com /home/preview.php?id=12276   (869 words)

 Swing The Vote
Swing the Vote is working hard to make sure peace candidates prevail in the crucial first-in-the-nation 2008 presidential primary in New Hampshire.
Swing the Vote, an all-volunteer independent political action committee, was created in 2004 to help defeat George Bush in the swing state of New Hampshire.
Organizing hundreds of volunteers, we helped make New Hampshire the one state in the nation to swing from voting for George Bush for president in 2000 to voting against George Bush in 2004.
www.swingthevote.us   (442 words)

 Myth of the Vanishing Swing Vote (washingtonpost.com)
They are voting on the basis of what they think will be best for the future of their families.
He focused on swing voters, with plans for welfare reform and middle-class tax cuts, and he drove the economy, not the war, as the central defining issue.
With the dramatic twists and turns in the polls establishing that the swing voter is alive and well, winning this election will depend much less than people think on revving up the base and much more on who gains the confidence of these savvy independent voters.
www.washingtonpost.com /wp-dyn/articles/A7256-2004Oct4.html   (893 words)

 Swing Vote - Moviefone
Swing Vote - Trailer - Showtimes - Cast - Movies - New York Times Produced for ABC Television, Swing Vote boasts a distinguished supporting cast,...
Swing Vote (1999) (TV) Swing Vote - Cast, Crew, Reviews, Plot Summary, Comments, Discussion, Taglines,...
Swing Vote - Cast & Crew, movie showtimes, plot, synopsis, exclusive features, trailers, clips, theater listings, reviews, message boards, dvd, videos, rentals and more on Moviefone.
movies.aol.com /movie/swing-vote/1136019/main   (159 words)

 VotePair || Uniting Progressives Through Strategic Voting
As we learned in 2000, a few hundred votes in the right states can make all the difference in the world--and the whole world is watching now.
In vote-pairing, swing-state progressives whose first instinct might have been to vote for Nader, Cobb or Badnarik are paired with Democrats (and others whose first choice for President is Kerry) in 'safe' states where either Bush or Kerry has a decisive lead.
As a result, the paired voters' support for progressive third parties is recorded in the popular vote and their preference for Kerry over Bush finds voice in the Electoral College.
www.votepair.org   (337 words)

 'Swing Vote' pundits can't get past logic referee
Calling "Swing Vote" a political debate would be like calling the Seattle International Film Festival a series of movie nights.
After four live rehearsals at friends' houses since February, they debuted two episodes of "Swing Vote" Thursday as equal parts game show and political debate, with cocktails thrown in to lubricate participation by the 60 or so people who showed up.
Although Melton drew allies who weren't crazy about higher gas prices and bantered with Barnett in mostly logical arguments, the audience largely agreed with Barnett, giving her a swing vote worth 11 points and the sweet taste of victory.
seattlepi.nwsource.com /local/271991_swingvote29.html   (911 words)

 Hispanics are Swing Vote in Midterm Elections
Cisneros said the bipartisan survey and a day-long Power of the Hispanic Vote conference were designed to persuade Washington-based political consultants, pollsters and campaign advisers to take Hispanic voters into account.
Cisneros said that 208 of the 271 electoral votes needed to win the presidency are located in 10 states with large Latino populations, including California, Florida, Illinois, New Jersey, New York and Texas.
Hispanic voters staged "an astounding increase in turnout" to boost their share of the vote from 2 percent of the electorate in 1992 to 5 percent in 1996, Penn said.
www.lulac.org /programs/civic/voter/swing.html   (878 words)

 VDARE.com: 10/16/03 - Whites, Not Hispanics, Are The Swing Vote In California
As I noted in a recent column, 25 to 30 percent of Hispanic voters in California have always voted Republican, and 37 percent voted for Proposition 187 in 1994, a measure widely regarded as anti-Hispanic and anti-immigrant because it cut off public benefits to illegal aliens.
Probably most of the Hispanics who do vote Republican are upper-income, and the portion of the Hispanic vote won by the two Republicans (39 percent) is hardly unusual or new.
Schwarzenegger won, as both I and UPI political analyst Steve Sailer have pointed out, is that he won the white vote, which remains critical for any Republican victory.
www.vdare.com /francis/swing_vote.htm   (842 words)

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