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Topic: Swing seat (electoral)

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	U.S. Electoral College - Facts, Information, and Encyclopedia Reference article
		The electoral process was modified in 1804 with the ratification of the 12th Amendment and again in 1961 with the ratification of the 23rd Amendment.
		In many states, the electors are legally free to cast their votes for anyone they choose, although in some states to vote for someone other than their pledged candidate is a misdemeanor, in others a felony, and in a few it is merely illegal without penalty.
		Large "swing states" like Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania are usually considered winnable for both major parties and a large number of electoral votes turn on their results, and so candidates tend to disproportionately spend more time on these close states, at the expense of the voters in "safe states" or small states.
	www.startsurfing.com /encyclopedia/u/s/U.S._Electoral_College_5364.html (6850 words)

	Electoral College
		Electors are typically strong supporters of the political party, but only 26 states require Electors to vote with the party they are pledged to.
		Since the Electoral College allocates each state’s votes (except Maine and Nebraska) in a winner-take-all method, there is no reason for a candidate to campaign in a state that already favors them or their opponent.
		Another alternative is to keep the idea of the Electoral College, maintaining the number of electoral votes each state is allowed to cast, but to have the votes calculated as a percentage of the popular vote rather than being cast by individual electors.
	faculty.saintleo.edu /slu101/research/election_searches/electoral_college.htm (9557 words)

	Swing - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
		Swing (dance), a kind of dance, including West Coast Swing, Lindy Hop, and East Coast Swing.
		To swing, the act of being a part of the Swinging lifestyle.
		A swing seat in Australia, a swing state in the United States or a swing riding in Canada is an electoral division that may "swing" from one party to another at an election.
	www.wikipedia.org /wiki/Swing (252 words)

	Australian electoral system - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
		The Electoral Commissioner must, after polling day at each election, prepare for each Division a list of the names and addresses of the electors who appear to have failed to vote at the election." Such electors are then required to offer an acceptable explanation (for example, illness or religious prohibition), or pay a fine.
		Electorates with a land area of more than 100,000km² (40,000 mi²) are permitted to have a variation of 20%, in recognition of the difficulty of representing the sparsely populated north and east of the state.
		A seat with a large two-party majority is said to be a safe seat, although "safe" seats have been known to change hands in the event of a large swing.
	en.wikipedia.org /wiki/Australian_electoral_system (4359 words)

	Encyclopedia: Swing
		Swing music, also known as swing jazz, is a form of jazz music that solidified as a distinctive style during the 1930s in the United States.
		Swinging, sometimes referred to in North America as the swinging lifestyle or simply the lifestyle (although this simplified term is also used by people into Leather and BDSM), includes a wide range of sexual activities conducted between three or more people.
		A marginal seat is a district or constituency held with a particularly small majority in a Parliamentary election conducted under a non-proportional electoral system.
	www.nationmaster.com /encyclopedia/Swing (843 words)

	Electoral matrix: 2004 federal election
		Traditionally, seat margins have been presented in a pendulum shape, with seats listed from the highest to the lowest swing for each seat to change hands on either sides of the pendulum.
		Unfortunately, electoral swings are not necessarily uniform across seats and the pendulum is not a necessarily reliable predictor of election outcomes in particular seats.
		The electoral matrix shows the two-party preferred swing required for each party-held seat to change hands at the next election, and the two-candidate preferred swing for the three seats held by independents.
	www.aph.gov.au /library/pubs/rn/2004-05/05rn25.htm (616 words)

	Channel 4 - Election 2005 (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-09-16)
		These seats require a smaller swing to change hands and are therefore typically the focus of most of the parties' campaign resources.
		The UK electoral system is structured in such a way that the election’s outcome, both in terms of which party forms the government and the size of that party's parliamentary majority over all other parties, is determined in about 20% of constituencies in the marginal seats.
		This represents a swing to the Conservatives from Labour of 0.5% (lower than their 2.7% swing nationally), and only enough for Michael Howard to claim four of the 50 Labour seats, the Liberal Democrats to gain 2 and the SNP 1.
	www.channel4.com /news/microsites/E/election2005/swingseats.html (477 words)

	Sabato's Crystal Ball - Electorate Map
		Included is the Bush-Gore margin from the 2000 election, the number of electoral votes each state possessed in 2000, the number each state will have in this year's election, the members of the Congressional delegation, the breakdown by party, and their margin of victory in their last race.
		While the electoral total is a squeaker today, we caution that the November results may not be nearly as tight.
		Since every electoral vote might matter, please also note that there are more than a dozen smaller states which are reasonably competitive and could flip allegiances from the 2000 vote.
	www.centerforpolitics.org /crystalball/2004/president/electoratemap.php (1551 words)

	Australian electoral system -- Facts, Info, and Encyclopedia article (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-09-16)
		The average number of candidates has tended to increase in recent years: there are frequently 10 or 12 candidates in a seat, and at the in April 1992 there were 22 candidates.
		In this case, the candidate with the smallest vote, Davies, will be eliminated, and his or her preferences will be distributed: that is, his or her 4,000 votes will be allocated to the remaining candidates according to which candidate received the number 2 vote on their ballot papers.
		Once the two-majorities in all seats are known, they can then by arranged in a table to show the order in which they would be lost in the event of an adverse swing at the next election.
	www.absoluteastronomy.com /encyclopedia/A/Au/Australian_electoral_system.htm (3650 words)

	Encyclopedia: The Australian electoral system
		The Australian electoral system has evolved over nearly 150 years of continuous democratic government, and has a number of distinctive features including compulsory voting, the widespread use of instant runoff voting (known in Australia as preferential voting) and the use of proportional voting to elect the upper house.
		The count is conducted by officers of the Australian Electoral Commission (http://www.aec.gov.au), watched by nominated volunteer observers from the political parties, called scrutineers.
		The boundaries of Australian electoral constituencies are drawn up by the Australian Electoral Commission (http://www.aec.gov.au), an independent statutory authority, completely independent of political considerations.
	www.nationmaster.com /encyclopedia/The-Australian-electoral-system (4275 words)

	Why the Electoral College Works
		And now, just days after winning the Senate seat in New York, Hillary Rodham Clinton is pushing to "do away with the Electoral College and move to the popular election of our presidents." The argument is "one person, one vote", meaning that each person's vote should count equally.
		The Electoral College ensures that the winning candidate is popular across a broad cross-section of the country, not only highly polarized, densely populated areas.
		However, under the current system with the Electoral College, smaller and/or rural states are given a more equal weighting so that in order for a candidate to be elected, he must garner support from a wider cross-section of the population of the country.
	mikemiller.net /electoral_college.html (1712 words)

	CQPolitics.com - From CQ Weekly: Swing Voters Change Course
		Among these are the nine seats for which the vote count was too close to call at week’s end, plus one in Texas for which a December runoff between a Republican and a Democrat will decide the result.
		The loss of faith in the GOP among many swing voters in the two years since Bush was re-elected — spurred largely by Iraq, Katrina and a series of damaging corruption scandals — contributed to the steep declines in job approval ratings for Bush and the GOP-controlled Congress.
		This is particularly the case in House districts the Democrats won predominantly because of serious scandals involving the seats’ previous Republican occupants, Bob Ney of Ohio, Mark Foley of Florida and Tom DeLay of Texas.
	www.cqpolitics.com /2006/11/from_cq_weekly_swing_voters_ch.html (1881 words)

	Electoral College
		The Electoral College was actually a constitutional compromise between those who wanted Congress to choose the president and those who wanted the people to decide by a direct vote for the actual presidential candidate.
		It is even possible to have a tie in the Electoral College, in which case the House of Representatives settles the election, with each state delegation receiving one vote: for example, one vote for California’s 54 representatives, and one vote for Vermont’s one representative.
		Proportional representation (all candidates receive electoral votes in proportion to the number of popular votes cast for them in each state) would reduce the influence of the heavily populated states, but increase the potential influence of third-party candidates to control the balance of power.
	www.cbc.ca /newsinreview/nov2000/us_election/college.htm (1018 words)

	All you need to know - National - www.theage.com.au
		The most controversial change is the redrawing of the seats of Gippsland and McMillan, which has reshaped the political character of the south-east corner of the state and divided the Gippsland region into east and west seats.
		The Electoral Commission said the changes were required because of high population growth in outer-northern and western suburbs and declining numbers in Gippsland.
		This was also the case in the electorate of Brisbane, the NSW seats of Cowper and Paterson, and the WA seat of Hasluck.
	www.theage.com.au /articles/2004/08/29/1093717841001.html (2133 words)

	Australian electoral system
		In fact, Section 245 of the Electoral Act [3] (http://scaleplus.law.gov.au/html/pasteact/0/57/0/PA003170.htm) says that "It shall be the duty of every elector to vote at each election...
		The average number of candidates has tended to increase in recent years: there are frequently 10 or 12 candidates in a seat, and at the Wills by-election (http://psephos.adam-carr.net/countries/a/australia/1990/1992-wills-by.txt) in April 1992 there were 22 candidates.
		The count is conducted by officers of the Australian Electoral Commission (http://www.aec.gov.au), watched by nominated volunteer observers from the political parties, called scrutineers.
	www.arikah.net /encyclopedia/The_Australian_electoral_system (4351 words)

	The Nation Newspaper \| The Mascoll hope
		The influence of swing is demonstrated by the case of Wendell Callender since he was an MP who crossed against, and not with the swing.
		The party swing could not be calculated in 1991 as it was their first election, but it was clearly insignificant; while on their second excursion, the NDP's swing was 5.9 per cent, which compares favourably with the BLP's, which was 5.8 per cent.
		This swing at present is insufficient to secure the Dems a government, but it is still large enough to create difficulties for the BLP as it seeks to defend any seat in the next election.
	www.nationnews.com /life/286834784811795.php (1035 words)

	BBC NEWS \| Election 2005 \| Fun and Games \| Swingometer
		The swing from Party A to Party B is the average of the percentage point fall in Party A's share of the vote and the percentage point rise in Party B's
		Select the Labour dropdown for a swing to Labour, select the Conservative dropdown for a swing to the Conservatives and select the Liberal Democrat dropdown for a swing to the Liberal Democrats.
		The changes mean that the numbers of House of Commons seats shown on a 0% swing are not quite in line with the state of the parties today.
	news.bbc.co.uk /1/shared/vote2005/swingometer/html/labcon.stm (436 words)

	WA Electoral System Explained. Antony Green Election Guide. Western Australia 2005. Australian Broadcasting Corporation ...
		The 26% of the electorate that lives outside Perth elects 40% of the Assembly and 50% of the Council.
		One seat was transferred from the Mining and Pastoral Region to the South West region, and minor changes made to the boundaries between the three country regions.
		The assumption of uniform swing and complex calculations of electoral bias based on it are always questionable.
	www.abc.net.au /elections/wa/2005/guide/electoralsystem.htm (1439 words)

	RETURN TO INDEX
		The safest Assembly seat belongs to Plaid Cymru: Dafydd Wigley's seat in Caernarfon.
		The point is this: in most of the other south Wales seats in the top third of the table, Plaid have come from virtually nowhere in 1997 to being a strong second party in 1999.
		These seats are not quite 'marginals' yet, but the position Plaid enjoys in 1999 would have been difficult to conceive of on the basis of a study of the 1997 vote.
	www.angelfire.com /alt/ceri_evans/writings/swings_and_roundabouts.htm (3716 words)

	Australian electoral system
		The average number of candidates has tended to increase in recent years: there are frequently 10 or 12 candidates in a seat, and at the Wills by-election in 1991 there were 22 candidates.
		Here is a sample of the current federal election pendulum, showing some of the seats currently held by the Liberal-National Party coalition government, in order of their two-party majority.
		The 1987 double dissolution produced a continued Senate deadlock, and the Hawke government decided not to proceed with the bill which was the trigger for the election.
	www.ukpedia.com /a/australian-electoral-system.html (3400 words)

	150 separate battles in the House - Election 2004 - www.theage.com.au
		Bonner is largely the old seat of Bowman, and the Electoral Commission estimates that on 2001 voting it had a Labor majority of 1.9 per cent.
		The effect was to turn McMillan from a Labor seat into a Liberal one, leaving young Labor MP Christian Zahra needing a swing of 2.9 per cent to keep his job.
		In all, there are 40 marginal seats on the classic definition: 24 Coalition and 16 Labor seats that would change hands in a swing of 5 per cent or less to the other side.
	www.theage.com.au /articles/2004/08/29/1093717834644.html?from=moreStories (1128 words)

	2004 Federal Election. Key Seats by Party and Margin. Antony Green Election Guide. Australian Broadcasting Corporation ... (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-09-16)
		Petrie is a seat that regularly changes hands, being gained by Labor in 1987 in the aftermath of the 'Joh for Canberra' campaign, retained by Labor's Gary Johns until swept away by a 10% swing in 1996.
		The seat had been a notional Labor seat on the new boundaries used in 2001, and Labor's failure to win the seat was a sign of its problems in the outer suburbs of Sydney.
		A swinging seat prior to 1983, Kingston was held for Labor by Gordon Bilney from 1983 until his defeat in 1996.
	www.abc.gov.au /elections/federal/2004/guide/keysbyparty.htm (5027 words)

	Swing can't stop Bracks win - National - smh.com.au
		At 8.30 ABC election analyst Anthony Green was predicting Labor would lose seven seats, with the Liberal Party picking up six and the Nationals winning one more seat, taking their total to eight.
		In the inner-city seat of Richmond where the Greens were given a chance by pundits to win, incumbent ALP member Richard Wynne appears safe for the time being.
		The Liberal Party needed a uniform swing of about ten per cent to form government in its own right, or more than eight per cent to form a coalition government with the National Party.
	www.smh.com.au /news/national/swing-cant-stop-bracks-win/2006/11/25/1164341432883.html (727 words)

	Two party preferred margins
		For example, the pendulum going into the last federal election would have "predicted" that a two percent swing to the government would boost its majority by 14, but when Howard did get that swing his seat majority only increased by two.
		That's not as strange as it sounds: Labor was coming from the 1998 position record vote majorities in western Sydney seats, and those seats looked to swing strongly to Howard in 2001, but not enough to actually deliver seats to the Coalition.
		Keating's 1993 swing was also "battler" heavy, which was why it also delivered few extra seats (and took Labor back to its 51 percent requirement for victory).
	www.mumble.com.au /federal/margins83_01.htm (562 words)

	Swing Seats
		Analysis of the notional two-party preferred swing needed for these seats to change hands in the House of Representatives election shows the 2004 poll may be one of the tightest in recent memory.
		This is because of the large number of Federal seats with a margin of five percent (5%) or less.
		Based on the results of the 2001 election and adjusted for the effect of electoral redistributions in Victoria, Queensland and South Australia there are 31 seats with margins of five percent or less.
	www.springboard.net.au /Newsletters/PrintArticles/SwingSeats.htm (287 words)

	The Base Will Turn Out ... But We Need More Swingers & Independents. \| Redstate
		It sounds harsh, but swing voters are sheep, if they weren't they'd have their own beliefs and wouldn't be on the fence.
		Some of these are swing voters, but the majority only ever vote for one party, but do not always vote.
		I am not arguing that the GOP should simply write off swing voters, and you are absolutely right that a policy of insulting them is counter-productive.
	www.redstate.com /blogs/martinaknight/2006/oct/29/the_base_will_turn_out_but_we_need_more_swingers_independents (2323 words)

	Swing
		Swing (dance), a kind of dance, including West Coast Swing and East Coast Swing.
		This is a disambiguation page — a navigational aid which lists other pages that might otherwise share the same title.
		This page was last modified 05:25, 7 May 2005.
	www.arikah.net /encyclopedia/Swing (216 words)

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