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Topic: Swing voters

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	Boston.com / News / Politics / Presidential candidates / Handful of swing voters may hold key to election
		These voters tend, by and large, to be white, nonunion members between the ages of 30 and 49, who have some college education and live in a suburb.
		The good news for Bush is that swing voters, by a 2-to-1 ratio, approve of his handling of terrorism and the war in Iraq.
		Nearly two-thirds, or 64 percent, of swing voters are opposed to it, which falls almost in the middle between the attitudes of Bush supporters (82 percent opposed) and those of Kerry supporters (43 percent opposed).
	www.boston.com /news/politics/president/articles/2004/03/14/handful_of_swing_voters_may_hold_key_to_election?mode=PF (474 words)

	Swing voters unimpressed with choices - The Washington Times: Nation/Politics - June 07, 2004 (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-08)
		Swing voters are generally unimpressed with the three major presidential candidates, down on the war in Iraq and upset about the economy, said a sample survey released last week by the Annenberg Public Policy Center.
		Forty percent of swing voters said the economy was poor and 45 percent saw it as fair.
		Swing voters also want the United States out of Iraq, with 52 percent wanting the troops to come home "as soon as possible" and 41 percent saying not until an Iraqi government is formed.
	www.washtimes.com /national/20040607-124544-4397r.htm (558 words)

	Summary of Findings: Swing Vote Smaller Than Usual, But Still Sizable
		But swing voters are somewhat less likely than other registered voters to approve of Bush's management of the economy and his handling of the war in Iraq.
		Swing voters are not especially different from the overall electorate demographically.
		Among swing voters, 32% pick the economy as the most important issue for the candidates to discuss; 31% of those certain of their choice say the same.
	people-press.org /reports/display.php3?ReportID=217 (1601 words)

	Online NewsHour \| Vote 2004 \| Politics 101 \| Swing Voters
		Sometimes swing voters are thought of as a large group like this election year's much-discussed "NASCAR dads." Sometimes voters are considered part of a "swing" population because they are residents of a swing state, like Florida.
		Most of the swing voters are between the ages of 30 and 49, live in suburbs and have some college education, The Washington Post reported.
		In recent years, each election has been marked with a group of swing voters -- 1992 was the year of the woman, 1994 -- the year of "angry white males," 1996 -- the soccer mom, and 2000 -- waitress moms.
	www.pbs.org /newshour/vote2004/politics101/politics101_swingvoters.html (1031 words)

	Swing voters speak up
		The opinions of Ohio's swing voters are in such high demand in Washington these days that ABC News' Web-based political report The Note said Friday it was "channeling" an undecided Ohio voter in some kind of mock ESP-aided poll.
		He invited 20 Cincinnati-area swing voters to a downtown hotel and gave them hand-held dials to measure their reactions to the candidates' speeches.
		The biggest question mark for many of these swing voters was whether Kerry had the fortitude to fight terrorists.
	www.enquirer.com /editions/2004/07/31/loc_conventionfocus31.html (882 words)

	PREVIEW: Swinging Right
		The problem is that swing voters tend to be attracted by positive appeals, not negative assaults.
		Among registered voters, the percentage saying they'd consider voting for someone besides their preferred candidate plummeted from 62 percent in June 1992 all the way to 18 percent in June 2004.
		Swing states now divide evenly: 33 percent Democratic, 33 percent Republican." I think it's safe to say that if swing states are trending Republican, swing voters are too.
	www.weeklystandard.com /Utilities/printer_preview.asp?idArticle=4638&R=9FDA171C2 (941 words)

	Summary of Findings: Swing Voters Slow to Decide, Still Cross-Pressured
		When swing voters were asked if they have learned anything over the past month that made them think differently about the candidates, 17% of those who have moved toward Kerry mention Iraq compared with just 9% of those who have moved toward Bush.
		But fewer remaining swing voters say they are "absolutely certain" to vote, and those who are still in the swing category are less likely to say they have thought "quite a lot" about the election (64% vs. 77% of recently decided voters).
		Overwhelming majorities of these voters remain set in their voting decisions: 95% of certain voters are still firmly behind the president, while about the same number of committed Kerry supporters (94%) say they are certain to vote for him.
	people-press.org /reports/display.php3?ReportID=231 (1376 words)

	Poll: Iraq will be election 'trump card' (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-08)
		Like much of the electorate, swing voters in battleground states -- such as Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Missouri, Wisconsin and Iowa -- are split over which candidate is stronger on foreign policy and the war on terrorism.
		Swing voters come closer to Democrats on foreign policy, but closer to the Republican position on combating terrorism, on which Bush gets "strong marks," the poll found.
		On eight of 11 foreign policy issues in the poll, "opinions of swing voters are closer to those of Kerry supporters than to those of Bush voters," said the Pew center's analysis.
	www.post-gazette.com /pg/04232/363943.stm (495 words)

	Undecided . com - By, For, and About Swing Voters
		This website is intended for "swing voters", or for people who are interested in "swing voters".
		"Swing voters" are the undecided - unlike the vast majority of Americans, they have not yet made up their minds who they might vote for in the upcoming Presidential Election.
		...one common theme among undecided voters is that the current barrage about politics is having little impact on them, whether it comes from friends and family, the news media or television ads.
	www.undecided.com (806 words)

	ARE SWING VOTERS A MYTH (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-08)
		In contemporary American politics the preferences of swing voters take on great importance, whereas the preferences of reliably partisan groups are often consigned to the sidelines.
		The liberal faction, by contrast, defines the swing vote as blue-collar, downscale voters who are economically populist and socially moderate.
		In fact, one consequence of the political parity currently prevailing in the country is that the number of potential swing voters has grown in recent years to the point where, argues Ayres, "you're easily looking at over half the population defined as swing voters.
	www.ups.edu /faculty/sousa/pg312/swingvoters.htm (1288 words)

	Poll Finds Swing Voters Critical of Bush on Iraq, Foreign Policy
		Moreover, a similar majority of swing voters (52 percent) said that "the fact that the President presented information that was in fact false" lowered their confidence in the president some (34 percent) or a lot (18 percent).
		The study also found that swing voters were more critical of Bush's general foreign policy, and, although they divided evenly on whether they voted for Bush or former Vice President Al Gore in 2000, more said they are more likely to vote for a Democratic candidate in the next elections.
		Swing voters were also more likely to believe the war was unnecessary than the general public (51 to 44 percent) and were more aware of widespread international criticism of the war.
	www.commondreams.org /headlines03/0730-06.htm (943 words)

	Asia Times - Swing voters, politicians: "Dubya duped us"
		A similar majority of swing voters (52 percent) said that "the fact that the president presented information that was in fact false" lowered their confidence in the president some (34 percent) or a lot (18 percent).
		Both the costs of the occupation and the administration's credibility were what were fueling dissatisfaction with the administration among swing voters, according to the PIPA report.
		Swing voters were found to be far more likely than members of the general public (42 versus 27 percent) to say that when Bush presented evidence that Iraq sought to buy uranium in Africa, he was knowingly presenting false evidence.
	www.atimes.com /atimes/Middle_East/EH01Ak01.html (691 words)

	A Big Increase of New Voters in Swing States
		While comparable data could not be obtained for other swing states, similar registration drives have been mounted in them as well, and party officials on both sides say record numbers of new voters are being registered nationwide.
		Republican officials say they think the paid workers who are registering low-income voters are sloppy, and are skeptical of the number of voters they claim to have registered, saying many are duplicates and changes of address.
		Voters do not give a party affiliation when they register in Ohio, but The Times looked at the voting history of ZIP codes to gauge the political inclinations of the new voters.
	www.truthout.org /docs_04/printer_092704K.shtml (1841 words)

	Rockridge Institute - What is a "Swing Voter"?
		They are called “swing voters” when they have not decided which of the two models to use in a particular election.
		There is a myth that voters are lined up in a left-to-right line, and that to gain the support of swing voters, you must move to the center.
		What they do is stick to their strict ideology to activate their model in swing voters by being clear and consistent in policies and messages framed in terms of conservative values.
	www.rockridgeinstitute.org /research/rockridge/swingvoters (960 words)

	DLC: "Peripheral" Voters: The Unknown Swing Voters
		Throughout this election cycle, we've been told by pundits from both parties that candidates have to choose between a "swing voter" strategy aimed at voters in the political center, and a "turnout" strategy aimed at mobilizing "base" voters who might otherwise stay home on November 2.
		The planted axiom in the "swing versus turnout" choice is that "peripheral" voters -- those not highly committed to voting -- are more like "base" voters than "swing" voters: susceptible to highly partisan, highly ideological appeals.
		Lynch focused on voters whose willingness to participate varied in the 1992, 1996 and 2000 presidential elections (the first being a relatively high turnout year, the second a low turnout year, and the third falling in between), and discovered that in most respects, they resemble the classic swing voters: political independents.
	www.dlc.org /ndol_ci.cfm?kaid=131&subid=192&contentid=252969 (407 words)

	The Pew Charitable Trusts' Publications: Polls/Survey Results
		But the swing vote, while smaller in relative terms, is still substantial and certainly large enough to propel either of the presidential candidates to a big victory.
		That is the same number of voters who were still weighing their options at the end of the last presidential campaign.
		This is comparable to the number of swing voters in the firm Democratic (24%) and Republican states (20%).
	www.pewtrusts.com /pubs/pubs_item.cfm?content_item_id=2401&content_type_id=18&page=p0 (420 words)

	Myth of the Vanishing Swing Vote (washingtonpost.com)
		Now there is a renewed opportunity to win back this group of voters who report that they have already definitely decided their vote, but who have repeatedly changed their minds this year.
		He focused on swing voters, with plans for welfare reform and middle-class tax cuts, and he drove the economy, not the war, as the central defining issue.
		With the dramatic twists and turns in the polls establishing that the swing voter is alive and well, winning this election will depend much less than people think on revving up the base and much more on who gains the confidence of these savvy independent voters.
	www.washingtonpost.com /wp-dyn/articles/A7256-2004Oct4.html (867 words)

	Swing Voters by Mark Gersh (printable version)
		Young voters are a volatile swing group, but, given their tendency to bond with a political party in ways that affect their voting behavior for life, this trend is troubling for Democrats far beyond 2004.
		All three voter categories are crucial in the rural and exurban portions of the state, ranging from the Panhandle to the Tampa-St. Petersburg suburbs, which are rapidly trending Republican.
		The bottom line about swing voters for Democrats in 2004 is simply this: Bill Clinton set the standard for contemporary Democratic presidential politics in 1996 with a message that reached well up the income and educational scales while keeping traditional downscale and minority Democrats happy and energized.
	www.dlc.org /print.cfm?contentid=252802 (2200 words)

	Swing voters lean toward Gore (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-08)
		Swing voters drift back and forth from one week to the next, causing frantic changes in campaign travel and sometimes leaving pollsters grinning sheepishly.
		Swing voters include those who may still change their minds, and are a much larger group than the undecideds, who make up just over one in 20 voters.
		Swing voters tend to lean toward Gore both on the issues, an advantage he has among all voters, and on personal traits, an area where Bush often fares better among voters at large.
	www.usatoday.com /news/opinion/e3073.htm (1047 words)

	WordReference Forums - Swing Voters
		What does it mean a "Swing Voter or Voters" I don't know the exact term and the "State Voters".
		The four undecided voters are the 'swing' voters.
		The importance of the swing states comes from the state electors system : the winning party gains all of the electors of the state.
	forum.wordreference.com /printthread.php?t=3545 (337 words)

	Woo the Swing Voters, Screw the Base: Lose the Election?
		For example, in conservative Allegany County, the Democratic percentage fell from 52 percent to 35 percent; in swing areas: Baltimore County from 49 percent to 38 percent; and in Howard County from 53 percent to 44 percent.
		Ironically, swing voters seem to agree that what they’re hearing from Kerry is not persuasive.
		But, “In more than six hours of discussion over two separate nights, [swing voters] are hard-pressed to say anything positive abouteither candidate.” Still, you don’t see the Republicans alienating their base by abandoning their core values in order to influence the swings.
	www.commondreams.org /views04/0907-03.htm (1107 words)

	Swing Voters to Decide outcome of 2004 Election - Undecided . com
		Swing Voters to Decide outcome of 2004 Election - Undecided.
		In this special section on Undecided.com, we hope to help you, the undecided voter, (or "swing voter") get access to the information that you want and need to make a decision that you will feel good about.
		Such "voter targeting" allows them to organise voter-registration drives, communicate with supporters and sway undecided voters to their cause.
	undecided.com /election.html (535 words)

	Swing Voters Breaking For Kerry Over Bush
		Independent voters in particular are giving Bush poor marks, while support for the war in Iraq is slipping.
		Swing Voters Moving Away From Bush: "Overall presidential job approval has slipped notably among these swing voters over the past few months.
		In February, twice as many swing voters approved as disapproved of the president's overall job performance (by a 55% to 28% margin).
	www.independentsforkerry.org /info/index.php?category_id=1321 (654 words)

	USATODAY.com - Year before election, many are undecided (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-08)
		But they share this: Both are the sort of independent-minded "swing" voters, not loyal to any political party, who are key to whether President Bush can claim a second term.
		Experts in both parties say swing voters are a shrinking breed, by some estimates about 10% of the electorate.
		Swing voters to whom national security issues are paramount tend to think Bush is doing a good job.
	www.usatoday.com /news/politicselections/nation/2003-10-30-undecideds-main_x.htm (2221 words)

	Swing voters like Bush speech, citing 'leadership,' 'sincerity'
		But with very few swing voters in play - pollsters say the number is 4 percent to 8 percent of Ohio voters - Bush can't afford even a few defections from weak Republicans.
		But by using hand-held dials to monitor voters' reactions to a speech second-by-second, Luntz's groups can help explain what part of a candidate's message voters are reacting to.
		And only 12 of the 21 swing voters thought Bush was stronger than Kerry on the economy.
	www.enquirer.com /editions/2004/09/03/loc_undecided03.html (564 words)

	Rhetorica: Press-Politics Journal: How will they choose?...
		The Pew Research Center says swing voters are open to persuasion in the 2004 election.
		The survey shows that such voters tend to agree with Sen. John Kerry on the economy and with President Bush on the war in Iraq.
		These swing voters will find journalism politically useful when journalists begin telling a different story.
	rhetorica.net /archives/002311.html (567 words)

	TomPaine.com - Sick Of The Swing Voter
		And, perhaps most important of all, undecided voters love cartoons, talk shows, "CSI: Miami", and reality shows like "Big Brother" and "Fear Factor" (no word yet on whether they prefer Coke or Pepsi, boxers or briefs, Alien or Predator—but I'm sure that info is being tabulated by some highly paid polling company as we speak).
		The problem is, this fixation with all things undecided is threatening to turn a campaign that should be about big ideas, big decisions and the very, very big differences between the worldviews of John Kerry and George Bush into a narrow trench war fought over ludicrous charges.
		The repugnant non-story of the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth is an irony-drenched exhibit A in the case against focusing on undecided voters.
	www.tompaine.com /articles/sick_of_the_swing_voter.php (825 words)

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