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Topic: Torino Impact Hazard Scale


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In the News (Thu 24 Dec 09)

  
 Torino Impact Scale   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-20)
The Torino Scale is a "Richter Scale" for categorizing the Earth impact hazard associated with newly discovered asteroids and comets.
The Torino Scale is color coded from white to yellow to orange to red.
Categorization on the Torino Scale is based on the placement of a close approach event within a graphical representation of kinetic energy and collision probability.
impact.arc.nasa.gov /torino.cfm   (1070 words)

  
 Torino Impact Hazard Scale
A Richter Scale for Cosmic Collisions: Planetary scientists have developed the Torino Scale, a new means of conveying the risks associated with asteroids and comets that might collide with the Earth.
Possibly hazardous objects in the solar system can be discovered by astronomical observations, e.g., when they are recorded as faint streaks of light in long telescopic exposures because of their motions.
Astronomers therefore have a special mission relating to the impact hazard, namely, that of discovering and characterizing the dangerous objects, and, hopefully, by verifying the expectation that no major impact is going to occur during the next centuries.
www.xs4all.nl /~carlkop/torino.html   (4246 words)

  
 Revised asteroid scale aids understanding of impact risk - MIT News Office
The Torino scale, a risk-assessment system similar to the Richter scale used for earthquakes, was adopted by a working group of the International Astronomical Union (IAU) in 1999 at a meeting in Torino, Italy.
For example, in the original scale NEOs of level 2-4 were described as "meriting concern." The revised scale describes objects with those rankings as "meriting attention by astronomers"--not necessarily the public.
The highest Torino level ever given an asteroid was a 4 last December, with a 2 percent chance of hitting Earth in 2029.
web.mit.edu /newsoffice/2005/torino.html   (698 words)

  
 What On Earth   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-20)
It is named the Torino Impact Hazard Scale after the Italian city in which the scale was initially adopted by the International Astronomical Union (IAU) in June 1999.
The scale is being endorsed officially today by the IAU in an announcement at the United Nations' UNISPACE III conference in Vienna, Austria.
Several asteroids that had initial hazard scale values of one have been reclassified to zero after additional orbit measurements showed that the chances of impact with the Earth were essentially zero.
www.whatonearth.com /pressrel.htm   (770 words)

  
 Torino Impact Hazard Scale
A risk-assessment scale, with integer values from 0 to 10, used to describe an approach of a particular asteroid to Earth in terms of the likelihood and consequences of its collision with Earth.
A revised version was approved at an International Astronomical Union (IAU) workshop in Torino (Turin), Italy in 1-4 June 1999 and formally adopted by the IAU in an announcement at the UNISPACE III conference in Vienna on 22 July 1999.
Impacts and the Public: Communicating the Nature of the Impact Hazard.
www.sizes.com /units/torino_scale.htm   (474 words)

  
 How Dangerous are Earth-Crossing Objects?
The recently developed Torino Scale measures the potential damage from a cosmic impact on a scale on 0 (no damage) to 10 (an impact event capable of causing a global climatic catastrophe).
Asteroid/Comet Earth Impacts by David A. Rideout calculates the approximate kinetic energy of an asteroid and a comet released on impact with the Earth.
Torino Impact Hazard Scale was developed by Richard P. Binzell of MIT to gauge the potential damage from a cosmic impact.
www.pibburns.com /catastro/impacts.htm   (6417 words)

  
 Millennium Ark: Asteroid Threat Scale Revised
The Torino Scale, contentious since its introduction in 1999, rates asteroids based on the chances they might strike Earth, when an impact could occur, and how significant the devastation would be.
The scale's creator, MIT professor Richard Binzel, acknowledges his critics' claims that the original Torino scale was actually scaring people, "the opposite of what was intended," Binzel said Tuesday in a statement, and hence the revisions.
For not, the Torino Scale remains a frontrunner in a pack of little-known hazard gauges designed to let humanity know of the risk of potentially devastating events that all leading experts agree are very unlikely to occur anytime soon.
www.millennium-ark.net /EC_News/0504013.Torino.scale.html   (1300 words)

  
 Armageddon Online - Apophis Asteroid Information, Possible NEO Impact with Earth 2036
A future impact on April 13, 2036, is still possible, keeping the asteroid at level 1 on the Torino impact hazard scale as of September 2005, with an estimated impact-probability of 1 in 5,560.
As of September 2005, the odds of impact on that date is 0.018 percent (1 in 5,560) and the Palermo scale rating for Apophis is −1.35 and the Torino scale rating is 1.
Based on the predicted time of impact (0.89 of a day, or about 21:20 UTC) and the fact that the asteroid would be approaching the Earth from outside of its orbit, the impact was likely to occur in the Eastern Hemisphere (time zones UTC +3 to UTC +10).
www.armageddononline.org /99942_apophis_asteroid.php   (1985 words)

  
 Palermo Technical Impact Hazard Scale - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The Palermo Technical Impact Hazard Scale is a logarithmic scale used by astronomers to rate the potential hazard of impact of a near-earth object (NEO).
A rating of 0 means the hazard is as likely as the background hazard (defined as the average risk posed by objects of the same size or larger over the years until the date of the potential impact).
As of Septemer 2006, the record for Palermo scale values is held by asteroid (29075) 1950 DA, with a value of 0.17 for a possible collision in the year 2880.
en.wikipedia.org /wiki/Palermo_Technical_Impact_Hazard_Scale   (405 words)

  
 Potential Impacts by Scientific Frontline®, an online publication from SFL ORG News Center
Small objects are not likely to cause significant damage in the event of an impact, although impact damage does depend heavily upon the specific (and usually unknown) physical properties of the object in question.
There can be several qualitatively unique pathways to impact in a given year, e.g., some with an extra revolutions around the sun, others deflected to impact by an earlier planetary encounter.
According to this ten-point scale, a rating of zero indicates the event has "no likely consequences." A Torino Scale rating of 1 indicates an event that "merits careful monitoring." Even higher ratings indicate that progressively more concern is warranted.
www.sflorg.com /impact.html   (423 words)

  
 The Palermo Technical Impact Hazard Scale (via CobWeb/3.1 planetlab-11.cs.princeton.edu)   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-20)
The scale compares the likelihood of the detected potential impact with the average risk posed by objects of the same size or larger over the years until the date of the potential impact.
The Torino Scale is designed to communicate to the public the risk associated with a future Earth approach by an asteroid or comet.
This scale is continuous (both positive and negative values are allowed) and does incorporate the time between the current epoch and the predicted potential impact, as well as the object's predicted impact energy and likelihood of occurrence.
neo.jpl.nasa.gov.cob-web.org:8888 /risk/doc/palermo.html   (657 words)

  
 Geotimes - June 2005 - Revising the asteroid threat scale
Astronomers have revised the Torino Impact Hazard Scale, which uses rankings from 0 to 10 to communicate the risk of an asteroid or comet colliding with Earth.
Although scientists still assign scale values via the same method, the language used to describe some levels has now changed to better inform the public — and the media — of the risk without unintentionally scaring people.
Because no such impact has occurred in human history, speculating on whether the planet is due for one anytime soon could be a statistical parlor game, but astronomers are trying to take out the guess work.
www.geotimes.org /june05/NN_asteroidscalerevise.html   (832 words)

  
 2004 MN4 Near-Earth Asteroid   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-20)
Threat level has been upgraded to level 4 on the Torino scale - the first time a near earth object has merited such a serious rank This is described as "A close encounter, with 1% or greater chance of a collision capable of causing regional devastation".
The impacts which created the Barringer Meteor Crater or caused the Tunguska event are estimated to be in the 10-20 megaton range.
Any impact would be extremely detrimental to an area of thousands of square kilometers, but would be unlikely to have long-lasting global effects.
2004mn4.info   (1003 words)

  
 Asteroid 2003 QQ47's Potential Earth Impact in 2014 Ruled Out
The odds of collision in 2014, as estimated by JPL's Sentry impact monitoring system, peaked at 1 chance in 250,000, a result which was posted on our Impact Risk Page on Saturday, August 30.
Impact events at the Torino Scale 1 level certainly merit careful monitoring by astronomers, but these events do not warrant public concern.
In fact, each year several newly discovered asteroids reach Torino Scale 1 for a brief period after discovery; 2003 QQ47 is the fourth such case this year.
www.spacedaily.com /news/deepimpact-03k.html   (462 words)

  
 Torino Impact Hazard Scale
The following revised description of the Torino Scale was posted on the NASA Near Earth Objects Program web site.
A collision is certain, capable of causing unprecedented regional devastation for a land impact or the threat of a major tsunami for an ocean impact.
Morrison, D., Chapman, C. R., Steel, D., and Binzel R. "Impacts and the Public: Communicating the Nature of the Impact Hazard" In Mitigation of Hazardous Comets and Asteroids,(M.J.S. Belton, T.H. Morgan, N.H. Samarasinha and D.K. Yeomans, Eds), Cambridge University Press, 2004.
www.unc.edu /~rowlett/units/scales/torino.html   (707 words)

  
 Asteroid Danger Scale Developed
It is named the Torino Impact Hazard Scale for the Italian city in which it was adopted at a workshop of the International Astronomical Union (IAU) in June.
"What I find especially important about the Torino impact scale is that it comes in time to meet future needs as the rate of discoveries of near-Earth objects continues to increase," said Hans Rickman, IAU assistant general secretary.
Binzel, who has been developing the scale for five years, aims to give scientists a consistent way to communicate about the growing number of close-encounter asteroids being spotted.
www.spacedaily.com /news/asteroid-99d.html   (1329 words)

  
 Asteroid Impact - efforts to predict asteroid collisions with Earth - Brief Article Science World - Find Articles
Result: the Torino Impact Hazard Scale, which measures both the energy of a speeding asteroid and the probability it will strike Earth.
Unlike the Richter Scale, which gauges earthquakes after they occur, the Torino Scale measures the probability of an asteroid attack in advance.
The Torino scale has assigned a level-8 rating to an asteroid that struck 91 years ago in a remote corner of Siberia.
www.findarticles.com /p/articles/mi_m1590/is_4_56/ai_57041271   (350 words)

  
 ScienceMaster - JumpStart - Asteroids
The probable consequence would be an "impact winter" with loss of crops worldwide and subsequent starvation and disease.
Still larger impacts can cause mass extinctions, like the one that ended the age of the dinosaurs 65 million years ago (15 km diameter and about 100 million megatons).
Torino Impact Hazard Scale - Planetary scientists have developed the Torino Impact Hazard Scale, a new means of conveying the risks associated with asteroids and comets that might collide with the Earth.
www.sciencemaster.com /jump/space/asteroids.php   (871 words)

  
 Another Bad Trip of Stone Age Entertainment
The current impact probability estimate for 2004 MN4 is 1.6e-04, or 1 in 6,250 that a collision will occur.
The Torino Impact Hazard Scale is the reference used by NASA's Near Earth Object Program for rating asteroids and comets.
A collision is certain, capable of causing unprecendented regional devastation for a land impact or the threat of a major tsunami for an ocean impact.
pages.sbcglobal.net /dbak/science.htm   (971 words)

  
 ScienceDaily: Near Earth Objects Scale Helps Risk Communication
Revised Asteroid Scale Aids Understanding Of Impact Risk (April 19, 2005) -- Astronomers led by an MIT professor have revised the scale used to assess the threat of asteroids and comets colliding with Earth to better communicate those risks with the public.
Potential Hazard Of Earth-Asteroid Collisions To Be Discussed At International Space Conference (July 19, 1999) -- The possibility of the Earth being struck by comets or asteroids is being given more and more attention by researchers, according to Paul Chodas of NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL).
Torino Scale -- The Torino Scale is a method for categorizing the impact hazard associated with near-Earth objects (NEOs) such as asteroids and...
www.sciencedaily.com /releases/1999/07/990726070435.htm   (2055 words)

  
 A Richter Scale for Close Encounter Asteroids — FactMonster.com
It is named the Torino Impact Hazard Scale, after the Italian city (Turin), in which the scale was initially adopted by the International Astronomical Union (IAU) in June 1999 and officially endorsed by the IAU on July 22, 1999.
The Torino Scale uses numbers and color zones that range from 0 to 10, where 0 on the white zone indicates an object has virtually no chance of impact with the Earth.
The values of 8, 9, and 10 depend on whether the impact energy is large enough to cause either local damage, regional devastation, or a global climatic catastrophe.
www.factmonster.com /ipka/A0779553.html   (803 words)

  
 [No title]   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-20)
Impact events at the Torino Scale 1 level, they say, certainly merit careful monitoring by astronomers but do not warrant public concern.
Each year, for example, several newly discovered asteroids reach Torino Scale 1 for a brief period after discovery and 2003 QQ47 was the fourth such case this year.
True, over long periods of time we are catastrophically impacted by such natural ballistic missiles that play havoc with our biosphere and ecology, and on an average of every few hundred thousand years or so, asteroids larger than a kilometre could cause global disasters.
timesofindia.indiatimes.com /cms.dll/xml/uncomp/articleshow?msid=172471   (1465 words)

  
 BBC News | Sci/Tech | Asteroid impact scale endorsed   (Site not responding. Last check: 2007-10-20)
He created the scale to help scientists, the media and the public assess the potential danger of asteroids and comets which scientists sometimes refer to as near-Earth objects (NEOs).
The Torino Impact Hazard Scale, to give it its full title, carries the name of the Italian city in which it was adopted at a workshop of the International Astronomical Union (IAU) in June.
The Torino scale works on different levels of complexity for scientists and the public.
news.bbc.co.uk /1/hi/sci/tech/401777.stm   (535 words)

  
 SignOnSanDiego.com > News > Science -- Asteroid gets initial elevated risk rating, but impact unlikely
LOS ANGELES – A recently discovered asteroid that crosses Earth's orbit has been given a higher impact hazard rating than any other seen so far, but scientists say it is likely the risk will be eliminated as further observations refine projections of its orbit.
The asteroid has been given an initial rating of 2 on the 10-point Torino Impact Hazard Scale used by astronomers to assess predictions for asteroid or comet impacts, Yeomans said Thursday.
The asteroid, however, is the first to reach a Torino Scale 2, "which means it's a bit out of the ordinary but still not of concern," he said.
www.signonsandiego.com /news/science/20041224-0001-ca-asteroid.html   (636 words)

  
 Cambridge Conference Correspondence
The Torino Impact Hazard Scale was devised by Professor Richard P.
The impact threat is predictable, and the Torino Scale is, by
The impact hazard is becoming a subject of significant media and public
abob.libs.uga.edu /bobk/ccc/ce050200.html   (2171 words)

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