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| | Presidential vote expert gives Democrats 'distinct electoral advantage' |
 | | The study, titled “Handicapping the 2004 Presidential Election: A Normal Vote Approach,” will be published in the October issue of PS, or Political Science and Politics, a publication of the American Political Science Association. |
 | | The Democrats are in such a strong starting position in the 2004 campaign because of the cumulative effects of gradual shifts in normal voting patterns across a wide swath of states outside the South. |
 | | To capture a bare majority of Electoral College votes with the smallest set of departures from established state voting patterns requires that the Republicans “hold their own” in those states where they have an electoral edge and win eight battleground states: Colorado, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico and Ohio. |
| www.news.uiuc.edu /news/04/0723election.html (896 words) |
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